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Topic: Analysis - page 25. (Read 941579 times)

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
May 10, 2019, 03:03:05 AM
I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?

And THAT may have been the very recipe Composite Groups (Whales) were looking for to implement their next bullish move; knowing they would have to contend with less resistance.  In fact, they would receive additional assistance without having to spend as much capital.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
May 10, 2019, 02:58:20 AM
I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
May 09, 2019, 11:20:57 PM
If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink

pussy.


fuck off and #dyor jjg.



 Kiss



Nope.....

I am going to wait for "what's his name" to tell me what to do. 

 Tongue Tongue Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 4185
May 09, 2019, 10:57:14 PM
If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink

pussy.


fuck off and #dyor jjg.



 Kiss

legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
May 09, 2019, 09:59:32 PM
If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
May 09, 2019, 09:12:55 PM
If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
May 09, 2019, 01:21:37 PM
I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

I believe the market is running out of steam, and looking for a correction, possibly an ABC. I plan to buy back around 4.5k$, since I doubt it will go much lower.

Yeah, you and EVERYBODY else. The only way this gets anywhere close to 4.5k is if we fomo from here. Otherwise you'll be lucky to get to 5k.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
May 09, 2019, 11:16:00 AM
I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

I believe the market is running out of steam, and looking for a correction, possibly an ABC. I plan to buy back around 4.5k$, since I doubt it will go much lower.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1318
Technical Analyst/Trader
May 08, 2019, 09:40:12 AM
Litecoin Block Halving Event Will have us Stair-Stepping Up till around the second week of July in my opinion.  My indicators have us reaching peak exhaustion in the 2-Week Time Frame on the 2-Week Candle beginning July 8, 2019.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5140701.new#new

NEW VIDEO Publication titled, "Follow Up Explanation WHY Upward Pressure To This Weekend." See additional charts and comments in the comments section.  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/DBnESTh9-Follow-Up-Explanation-WHY-Upward-Pressure-To-This-Weekend/

20 Minute Video Publication posted yesterday:  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ydOQmsfF-2012-REPEAT-in-My-Opinion-till-7-820-or-9-222-to-New-High/
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1010
he who has the gold makes the rules
May 08, 2019, 12:51:53 AM
I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

The 1st bear fib level is at around 7400 and the next around 10k, it already broke the 200 dma I would super surprised if we got another opportunity to buy at $4000... it’s like when it dipped to the $200s and then went back up once it crossed $400 it never saw $200s ever again. Wishful thinking which then results in fomo later when people miss the train...
sr. member
Activity: 807
Merit: 423
May 07, 2019, 06:53:30 AM
Bitfinex xbt price differs from other exchanges mostly because you can't arb it in direct fiat.  Arbing through usdt and usdc doesn't work because of disadvantageous exchange rates.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
May 07, 2019, 01:52:22 AM
I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
May 07, 2019, 01:43:44 AM
I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1010
he who has the gold makes the rules
May 07, 2019, 12:36:23 AM

I wonder why he charted Bitfinex, now of all times. I agree with him but if Bitfinex reverses at the triangle apex, the rest of the market will reverse much earlier as there is a $300 disparity right now. Bitfinex is already in his reversal zone.

Maybe we'll tag $6K on Stamp and Coinbase and that'll be it.

looks like we are about to find out soon what will happen.  personally i think it needs to head more north, time will tell.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
May 04, 2019, 04:57:06 PM

I wonder why he charted Bitfinex, now of all times. I agree with him but if Bitfinex reverses at the triangle apex, the rest of the market will reverse much earlier as there is a $300 disparity right now. Bitfinex is already in his reversal zone.

Maybe we'll tag $6K on Stamp and Coinbase and that'll be it.
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
May 04, 2019, 01:55:55 AM
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Ybv5PkjN-Almost-at-resistance/

Quote
Я жe гoвopил cюдa вepнeмcя.

Quote
I told you that we will be back here.


I feel sorry for the people who shorted the "Bitfinex FUD". They got burned, which they had to cover very quickly. Plus that might also have been the catalyst of the rally. Cool
sr. member
Activity: 687
Merit: 259
May 03, 2019, 08:17:22 AM
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Ybv5PkjN-Almost-at-resistance/

Quote
Я жe гoвopил cюдa вepнeмcя.

Quote
I told you that we will be back here.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
April 25, 2019, 12:33:50 PM
^^lol  Those are just basic trend lines, I never remove old trends as they can remain relevant in future.     They forked bitcoinwisdom ?   the old one I noticed stopped updating

Daily MA200. My forecast changed to bearish when we were under it. Now the opposite situation.


I noticed similarly, we bounced under the 200 day last couple weeks and then passed it with not much drama.    Currently BTC seems in a very different mood to what dropped in late last year.   It cant just be FED influence and a shift is risk appetite.
However the 200DMA is still dropping daily and until that plays out I'm not expecting the same action to be repeated continually in such a positive way.   This is a natural area for hesitation despite passing that major moving average, I'm sure I've heard its direction and momentum is still important and to be bearish or at least cautious so long as that negative sentiment is in the price history and within 200 days it is

His long term prediction being so positive is still surprising to me and I would not guess such a path in as little time as 18 months.   It would take alot to convince me 2019 is not just a revision of 2018 and at lower prices if anything
hero member
Activity: 870
Merit: 585
April 25, 2019, 11:05:57 AM
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