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Topic: Analysis - page 28. (Read 941582 times)

legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
December 22, 2018, 04:06:46 PM
New comment from the master:

Cross-пиздoc нa cтoкax пo днeвным мa 50 и 200

Я вce eщё дyмaю, чтo биткoин мoжeт cвoзить в cвязи c этим дo 2к. Ho этo дoлжнo быcтpo и бoдpo oтcкoчить, ecли бyдeт. Taк чтo coвeтyю гoтoвить бaкcы. Ecли oни y вac кoнeчнo ecть ))

A вooбщe нeдeльнaя мa 200 (oкoлo $3000) нe мoжeт быть пpoбитa нeдeльным зaкpытиeм. Пo этoмy, я дyмaю, чтo вce чтo нижe 3к бoдpo oтcкoчит.

Google Translate:

Cross pizdos on the day 50 and 200 drains

I still think that bitcoin can bring up to 2k in this regard. But it should quickly and cheerfully bounce, if it is. So I advise you to cook bucks. If you have them of course))

In general, weekly ma 200 (about $ 3000) cannot be broken through weekly closure. By this, I think that everything below 3k will bounce cheerfully.

Thanks for sharing.

Does anyone know what he means about the 50-day and 200-day MAs? I don't see why they'd be relevant here (except the 200-day being a selling target). It sounds like he's alluding to a death cross, but that death cross already happened back in April.

I've been making the same assumption about the 200-week MA. Hopefully we're both right! Lips sealed
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
December 22, 2018, 07:19:54 AM
New comment from the master:

Cross-пиздoc нa cтoкax пo днeвным мa 50 и 200

Я вce eщё дyмaю, чтo биткoин мoжeт cвoзить в cвязи c этим дo 2к. Ho этo дoлжнo быcтpo и бoдpo oтcкoчить, ecли бyдeт. Taк чтo coвeтyю гoтoвить бaкcы. Ecли oни y вac кoнeчнo ecть ))

A вooбщe нeдeльнaя мa 200 (oкoлo $3000) нe мoжeт быть пpoбитa нeдeльным зaкpытиeм. Пo этoмy, я дyмaю, чтo вce чтo нижe 3к бoдpo oтcкoчит.



Google Translate:

Cross pizdos on the day 50 and 200 drains

I still think that bitcoin can bring up to 2k in this regard. But it should quickly and cheerfully bounce, if it is. So I advise you to cook bucks. If you have them of course))

In general, weekly ma 200 (about $ 3000) cannot be broken through weekly closure. By this, I think that everything below 3k will bounce cheerfully.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
December 17, 2018, 09:33:06 PM
New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom

He's been way off for a long time now.

Yep.

Shows the fallacy of trying to rely on sorcery to give too much weight to probabilities about BTC price movements, especially short-term.
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
December 17, 2018, 08:51:13 PM
New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom

He's been way off for a long time now.
ImI
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1019
December 17, 2018, 07:44:02 PM
New post, master says to buy anything 10k and under before the train takes off.  This is the last week.

boom
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
December 17, 2018, 06:28:56 PM
The point about the stock market is this loops in any leveraged  investors even if they are not in borrowed money for Bitcoin because its an asset like everything else.   So they lose their bet on a bullish call for stocks and especially those without dollars such as some in Asia, will sell BTC to fund repayment of margins they made on stocks.   Commodities also fell, oil and so on.  

If theres a recession especially globally, BTC definitely loses its icing no matter what separate dynamic it might claim as there is definitely ordinary business involved who will retract from that outside influence.    In any case it was already pulling back, so its a blow when its trying to get back up which is not helpful.   Nothing unexpected though, the only truly bearish case is the unknown unknowns
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
December 08, 2018, 06:31:09 PM
Onward to the next decade....
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
December 02, 2018, 04:48:04 PM

either the timeline or the magnitude of recovery seems a tad optimistic.

if we compare to the 2015 bottom, there was a 6-month recovery that confirmed the end of the bear market, same as his current prediction. but price only doubled from bottom to top in that recovery. he's potentially talking about a 10x or better before falling back to $6k support, which seems a bit hard to believe.

i agree with the overall idea, but i'm not sure about the target levels/times.
member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
December 02, 2018, 10:02:05 AM
re-test of log trend line 10k-20K in 2019 seems positive to me, I'm not expecting alot in 2019
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 3015
Welt Am Draht
December 02, 2018, 09:51:24 AM
$1300-3000 low in early 2019 followed by highs beyond 2020. Seems fairly believable to me and what I've been expecting for a while. It seems less adventurous than his previous predictions but in line with what's been unfolding. 

member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
December 02, 2018, 09:48:22 AM
full member
Activity: 714
Merit: 100
November 30, 2018, 07:55:34 PM
I don't believe of shared predictions, forecasting and even analysis anymore as i believed that no one could really predict the future of Bitcoin that in fact, most of these guys are already proven a foolish for so many times before because of the bearish so better just wait and see of what will come next.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
November 29, 2018, 01:10:23 PM
Двoйнoe нa cтoкax.

Double on drains.


Двoйнoe днo*. Moжeт быть кaтaлизaтopoм paзвopoтa биткa.

Double bottom*. It can be a catalyst for the turn of the cue ball.


Better translation?

i think the first part is a reference to the stock market. the daily chart shows an adam & even double bottom on the S&P 500---a possible turning point. masterluc has always seen a connection between stocks and bitcoin.

similarly, there's an adam & eve double bottom on the 4-hour chart off the $3500 level in bitcoin. maybe it's enough. i'm doubtful, but also pretty cautious with shorting at this point.

to me, the $3000s feel like the $200s felt in 2015.
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
November 29, 2018, 12:26:49 PM
Двoйнoe нa cтoкax.

Double on drains.


Двoйнoe днo*. Moжeт быть кaтaлизaтopoм paзвopoтa биткa.

Double bottom*. It can be a catalyst for the turn of the cue ball.



Better translation?
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
November 26, 2018, 05:08:48 AM
Does luc think bear market will continue after bounce?

he left things somewhat ambiguous. his tradingview chart says:

Quote
Weekly SMA200 should be a perfect bullish entry point as candidate #1 of "THE BOTTOM".

it sounds like he expects the $3000 zone to be the bottom. then he expects a bounce to the daily 200ma and broken triangle support. then we'll see if the bottom is truly in. maybe we'll see a retest of the weekly 200ma like in 2015, or maybe we'll see a higher low as confirmation.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
November 25, 2018, 01:04:56 PM
Does luc think bear market will continue after bounce?
newbie
Activity: 32
Merit: 0
November 25, 2018, 08:33:02 AM
It means
"the price will surely return to the following levels:
1) broken support of the triangle ($ 6000)
2) weekly ma20
3) daily ma200
"
These levels will be re-tested at some point...said MasterLuc..the Greatest  Smiley
do you understand these 1-2-3 as steps?
full member
Activity: 144
Merit: 100
November 25, 2018, 08:10:54 AM
It means
"the price will surely return to the following levels:
1) broken support of the triangle ($ 6000)
2) weekly ma20
3) daily ma200
"
These levels will be re-tested at some point...said MasterLuc..the Greatest  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1073
November 25, 2018, 05:28:09 AM
what does he mean "returned"?

I don't know, it is a google translation.... But I guess he mean the price "will definitely" return to that level?

He ends saying that its about time to buy.

Maybe someone that understand Russian could give as a better translation.

Frankly speaking, even perfect knowledge of Russian doesn't really help to understand those sentences much. They sound as unclear in Russian, as in Google translate (I mean this time only, as usually google mangles his sentences badly).
My only guess is he means those levels will be returning as resistance, but thats my guess, he just told they will be returning.

Here is a bit corrected translation anyway, just for your reference:
Quote
I would like to remind you that the following levels will definitely be returning:
1) broken support of the triangle ($ 6000)
2) weekly ma20
3) daily ma200

Weekly ma200 (about $3000) - I think this is the Stalingrad. It can not be broken in the medium term.

So I think the time to buy is coming. If you have money))

"Stalingrad" in this context means - the last line of defence, which should not be broken and will be defended madly with all the resources - its the place of "The Battle"...

His last few posts are more or less consistent with each other, but taking into account that his last two predictions failed miserably (first - "no more sub 10K bitcoin", second - "6-7K is the long term accumulation zone") I would be cautious with this one too. He is a good trader, but he is a human, and he is not the one who manipulates this market, so... he just makes a guess, like any of us.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1530
Self made HODLER ✓
November 25, 2018, 05:04:00 AM
what does he mean "returned"?

I don't know, it is a google translation.... But I guess he mean the price "will definitely" return to that level?

He ends saying that its about time to buy.

Maybe someone that understand Russian could give as a better translation.
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