Topic: Analysis - page 94. (Read 941567 times)

Oh man that would be a massive drop, probably followed by a lot of FUD with the intention to push the price down even more.
I'm not sure if that would be goodfor BTC in the long run.Mmayne people would compare it with 2014 and first half 2015.
However I think I would try to buy as much BTC as possible if it should really happen.

i too think it would not hold on a second attack.

If we go down to retest it at some point in the near future, it will break and next stop will be $540

than $465

hey

you can post on my thread

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1161207.new#new

We encourage other people's opinion on my thread

BUT

one condition, you have to post CHARTS!

NOT link to charts

or post both a chart and a link to a chart

I use imugr

It helps in dicussion

Any new updates on Masterluc position in all of this? Can some good soul translate from russian?

Many thanks in advance. This has been quite educational.

EDIT: Dmwardjr, some of those stats you posted look like schematics of Death Star.

has = had

Bringing an inventive system requiring several paragraphs of explanation is beyond the scope of this thread.

dmwardjr, please do open a thread for your analysis.

While this thread has a very general name, it has a very specific purpose that might be lost to newbies.

It is a discussion thread. Luke had enough of it ages ago. Why you guys want to drive away active posters who bring something to the discussion is beyond me.

I'll stop posting so much in here and start my own Thread.  Too sleepy to start with a proper cover page.  Will work on it some time soon.  I'll still drop in from time to time... But only links...

EDIT:  Rather NOT create a thread here on BT, I'll just keep publishings going on TV for a while.  I just don't have the time to keep up multiple threads on multiple sites and do all the other things I need to do daily.

By the way, I noticed a pattern thats worked 3 out of 3 times; in terms of where proper placement should be of 100% FIB re-tracement on the way back down from Consolidation/Dumps to the 0.618% Throwbacks we normally have after a BIG breakout from a gun firing.  It's worked 3 out of 3 times now and leaves the 0.382, 0.236 running pretty well as well.  I wrote the rules regarding the pattern I noticed that could be followed on the next Consolidation move.  We'll see in May or June if it works 4 out of 4...

Link to Screenshot of the rules written within the text bubbles repeatedly for the 3 out of 3 times it's occurred in this bull run up since 2015.  https://www.tradingview.com/x/fPfJiwiT/

Closeups of each of those 3 FIB results for each of those Consolidation moves (Dumps) are included in comments underneath the cover shot in this publication:  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/zoCDkQFg-NOTICED-A-PATTERN-WITH-FIB-RETRACEMENT-Copy-in-Comments/

EDIT:  That pattern ended up becoming known as 2 Guns Down for 0.618 RT "down" from peak of consolidation event AND 3 Guns Down for "peak" of "next" consolidation event.  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Z5uTqARD-COPIED-PASTED-for-Mobil-devices-in-Comments-GL-FLOW-CHART/

i will watch that thread closely.please get your own thread.

I second this. I am not trying to discourage you from posting, dmwardjr - quite the contrary. I find your analysis to be interesting enough to deserve its own thread.

If Masterluc wants me to stop, I will stop.  I'm not trying to be difficult.  I thought this is a forum for discussion... is it not?

EDIT:  I'm not in here trolling; saying moon, death to bitcoin, talking about other coins, etc...

Don't you think it would be simply better if you had your own thread?

This way you're just congesting masterluc's thread with stuff that some people don't expect to see when checking it.

Cheers.

Text Bubbles explain where I think we are going...

EDIT:  By the way, that's with Heikin-Ashi Candles and not regular candles on the Weekly...

EDIT:  Link to Monthly TF:  https://www.tradingview.com/x/D9mUG8BY/

EDIT:  Link to 2 Month TF: https://www.tradingview.com/x/PUljnfzG/

EDIT:  Link to 2D TF:  For whatever reason, the link is not showing up here but it's in the "Edit Message" content.  hmmmmm  [img]https://www.tradingview.com/x/AlccMaJq/[/img

[img]https://www.tradingview.com/x/RZ7PujsU/[/img

EDIT:  

DIFFERENT Numbering System:

First BIG Gun [G-1a, On Stamps Monthly History] was being formed, beginning August, 2012 UP TO G-1c on November/December, 2014. A BIG consolidation had to take place at some point, it ended up being Mount Goxxed that continued until September 2015.

Then was CONFIRMED a SPRING had begun and we are still on it to this day ON THE MONTHLY. This SPRING will likely end up in growing into an Up Thrust soon. Especially, once we have one more consolidation round Beginning in May or June, 2017 with a group of similar dumps as before.

The reason the names of each consolidation point (Dumps) has changed from "G" to "LG" is because the gun is loaded and getting ready to fire with a volatile wave after wave up bull rally's with consolidation dumps and LIKELY some UP THRUSTS with consolidation dumps along the way.

Once the gun has Fired as we continue a bull run, We will have begun forming Gun Number 2. The numbers of Gun 2 will begin as G-2a for each wave of Pumps with consolidation dumps until we get to a point of a VERY LARGE Consolidation move to fall into a bear cycle to work towards another Wyckoff Cycle to a Spring and/or Up thrust. Which at that time is LOADING Gun 2. That is when we begin labeling each Pump with Consolidation Dumps LG-2 [For Loaded Gun - 2] instead of G-2 [That's not formed yet to be loaded].

It's only natural for Bitcoin to collocate with this kind of logic because of the way it's designed.  Deflation is getting ever closer...

[img]https://www.tradingview.com/x/H0WAJJCG/[/img

I'm curious, are EW's being numbered in this fashion?  I probably need to look back again in the thread to understand exactly...  I renumbered mine in the link below to see if anyone gets what I'm getting to with the numbering.  I'm simply trying to devise a Long Term outlook based on my theory with "Loaded Guns."

I would rather say that coins change hands when trades happen, not when time passes.

When times does pass, people get accustomed to the prices, so in that regard, time spent here is much more bullish than 2013, I agree.

Same here!

If there are no objections, I'll leaving them up.

By the way, I edited that chart in previous post on log scale.  The link should be different from what it was originally.

EDIT:  Changed that link again because I changed a note.  https://www.tradingview.com/x/CILEay4o/

dmwardjr, I personally don't mind you leaving the charts visible.

After seeing Loaded Gun, I have [What I believe is] a legitimate question concerning "historical" waves numbering with EW's ...

Is it possible, since wave 2 was rejected [My opinion with Loaded Gun] that we are repeating historical wave 2 [To finish it out so to speak] before beginning to historical wave 3 [Loaded Gun 3]?  Or am I getting the concept of "historical" waves all wrong?

I'm saying Historical EW Number 2 (Loaded Gun 2) was rejected and forming again at this "breakout/soon support" level Loaded Gun 2 was before in order to say Historical WAVE Number 2 is completed and NOW we can progress towards Historical EW Number 3 (Loaded Gun 3).

Loaded Gun on a 'log" scale if you are curious:  https://www.tradingview.com/x/CILEay4o/

By the way,  The gun is not loaded unless it's a bull trend.  Wyckoff's Cycle to a Spring marks the end of a bear trend into a bull trend that leads to loaded guns.  Bad and good events/news and World GEO Politics can affect trends as you know...  Which can make changes to formation of guns, size of guns (caliber with or without modifications) and the power of the round in the chamber (number of grains in the round) in a BULL TREND ONLY.  The trend determined by the outer bands of this modified BB Hybrid.

Certainly agree with that as well.  I was just wondering if everyone noticed that timeline pattern I mentioned in those particular 4 months...

Without the guns and a little bit of a close up.  Honest everyone...  Taking down the charts and leaving only the link to it in about an hour.

[img]https://www.tradingview.com/x/niuKMqH9/[/img