There doesn't any pool without sources. And Windows wallet may has virus
See this post:
Another user ran our wallet through an anti-virus. Only a chinese-based antivirus software (likely a false positive, although it could flag anything even remotely related to bitcoin) alerted. All reputable anti-virus scans clear fine.
So far, those who were interested in setting up pools and have contacted us have not taken the initiative to set up a pool themselves, as far as our development team knows. As soon as we are alerted of a new pool, we will let you guys know.
Got 2 solid connections now.
Coin is running perfect.
With my smaller work-load size, of 64*, this is my results.
Difficulty: (16.4K) 0.250244140625
Blocks: 70 accepted
Time: 9 Hrs
Hash/Pow: 3 MHs / 1200 Wh (1.2KWh)
Acc/Rej: 70/15 = 85 [17% rejects] * Due to small workload, rejects may be higher than yours
Coins: 260.40
Daily estimate: 694.40 Per day @ 3 MHs = (231.46666/MHs/Day)
Electric cost: $5.00 per day
Estimated "bottom dollar" cost per coin, at the moment: $0.0072004608294931 USD/AIR
Estimated "bottom dollar" coins per dollar, at the moment: 138.88 AIR/USD
Estimates would imply that I only made $5.00 per day mining, to cover electric costs only, at my local rates and at my estimated power consumption of my rig. That is not the trade-value I would expect/hope to get in the future. That is only the "bottom dollar", which is needed in value, to make the coin equal to zero-value. As opposed to being negative OROI (Operating Return On Investment).
Similar coin rewards of this yield, would expect to return $18.00 to $10.00 per day, at 3 MHs, after the $5.00 electric cost has been removed. ($23.00 to $15.00 if electricity was free.)
Figured this might help to determine some reasonable starting value.
Not sure how accurate those estimates are... Since it takes 24-hrs for the coin to adjust to actual workload/yield. Might be getting more than expected, or way less than expected.
We've observed that the Mining market and the Exchange market trend toward .00002500 BKD or Bitcoin-equivalent-per-kilohash-per-day (+/-.000005 BKD). This is caused by two effects:
1. Miners sell for Bitcoin, rather than buy other currencies, since they mine instead of buying
2. Miners will gravitate toward mining whatever coin is most profitable at the time
3. If a coin is not profitable to mine, it will instead be bought directly
This means that the market for mined coins (using "difficulty" as an exchange rate balancing out hashing power (demand) and block reward (supply)) and the market for buying coins (exchange sites, which have buy orders for demand and sell orders for supply) are
self-regulating. The difference is that the supply and demand of the exchange rate market, and the demand of the mining market, are all based on human action.
But the supply of the mining market is not, and can't be changed readily by humans. This makes for some interesting interplay between these markets as they try to self-regulate. This phenomena is called "trending toward the BKD".
It works like having many restaurants next to eachother. As customers flood one restaurant that tastes the best, the restaurant raises prices. This causes them to go to competitor restaurants. However, each restaurant in the area is pulling in supply from a food supplier, so if a restaurant doesn't change their price, (and people consume anyway) then the supply is going to run thin and the supplier will have to raise their price
forcing a price raise at the restaurant. The relationships between buyers and sellers can be seen as that of the customer and the restaurant, and the restaurant and the supplier's relationship is that of the miner and the mining algorithm. There are a finite number of customers (buyers or miners), but there could be an infinite number restaurants (coins) each with their own supplier (algorithm).
If the BKD gets higher than the top average BKD (somewhere around .00002500 for coins listed on an exchange, it doesn't tend to move back and forth much), then miners will mine and sell the currency, dropping the exchange rate, OR more miners will come and enter the mining pool, raising the difficulty. This brings the BKD back down. If the BKD gets too low, then miners will move on to more profitable coins, lowering the difficulty, or people will buy the coin on exchanges instead of mining, raising the prices.
This dual-equilibrium (outlined in Alexander's whitepaper as well) is one method of exchange rate control.
At the current difficulty (which is about to rise in about 100 blocks) this puts the "equivalent" exchange rate (if AIR was being exchanged) at ~.0000875 +/- .000025 BTC. If that exchange rate was any lower, then the difficulty
should drop to reflect that. That is, again, due to those three assumptions that tie demand-for-mining and demand-for-buying. This means
coins mined during this period will try to stabilize toward $0.0464 USD/AIR, with resistance to move above or below that price. As you stated, this number will too grow.
If difficulty goes from .25 to 1 in the next period, the projected exchange rate will rise to $0.232 AIR. Since blocks are being released about once every 30-50 seconds, we can expect the next difficulty to be close to 2x-4x larger, to restablize to blocks being released once every 2 minutes, bringing us to an AIR/BTC rate of .00034, which is $0.1972/AIR. Since we expect within a few days for this value to trend (as hashing power increases) to $0.50USD/AIR, we're right on track. We'll see if it gets close to $0.50 USD/AIR by the end of tomorrow.
So if you take the "minimal cost possible" from ISAWHIM's post, and allow it to trend toward the BKD-equivalent coins will be worth about .00034 BTC/AIR once we open on an exchange.
This is assuming there is not additional demand beyond being a liquid asset that can be converted to BTC, which would raise the price further.
When that "bottom dollar" cost per coin meets the "BKD equivalent" price per coin, then there will be no additional demand for mining the coin, and all further demand will be pointed at the exchange rate.
So, in other words, coins mined today are worth 27x times more than what it costs for ISAWHIM to mine, if they remain near the top and are not subject to other market forces that would drop the exchange rate.
And thank you for the suggestions, ISAWHIM, to the front post. We're still making minor improvements to our website (including finishing up our Forums) and there's a lot of wording or grammatical errors that may need fixed or made more clear. Hopefully we'll soon have it refined to the point where anyone can jump up and start mining or using AIRcoin without having any cryptocoin experience before.