"....starting from block 200,000 (very roughly X days from now), the difficulty will undergo an exponential increase which will only become noticeable in about a year...."
Note - Block 200,000 was hit just this week. What a coincidence. The clock is ticking.
Edit: Vitalik says you're good for a little bit longer, yay...
https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/4iozgf/in_around_14_month_the_difficulty_bomb_will_make/d30c0lqIt looks like end of November should be the deadline. Up to 20 seconds per block is probably not fatal. Over a minute (January 2017) would drop mining revenue by 75%, would the price rise 300% to compensate?
Removing the bomb shouldn't be a big change but it looks like this will be pulled in all sorts of different directions, POS, POS/POW, etc. The focus should be just the bomb and done ASAP. Then the bickering can start.
Difficulty on 2016-06-03 is 35.15 T and average blocktime is 14.99 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-07-07 is 35.18 T and average blocktime is 15.00 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-08-02 is 35.25 T and average blocktime is 15.03 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-09-06 is 35.56 T and average blocktime is 15.16 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-10-02 is 36.40 T and average blocktime is 15.52 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-11-06 is 40.17 T and average blocktime is 17.13 seconds.
Difficulty on 2016-12-02 is 48.56 T and average blocktime is 20.71 seconds.
Difficulty on 2017-01-05 is 88.83 T and average blocktime is 37.88 seconds.
Blocktime over one minute in January 2017
Difficulty on 2017-02-09 is 249.8 T and average blocktime is 106.5 seconds.
Difficulty on 2017-03-07 is 679.3 T and average blocktime is 4.829 minutes.
Difficulty on 2017-04-02 is 1.753 P and average blocktime is 12.46 minutes.
Difficulty on 2017-05-07 is 6.907 P and average blocktime is 49.09 minutes.
Blocktime over one hour in May 2017
They are worried!
