OK so I’ll preface this by saying the following is probably a tinfoil-hat theory, but I still wanted to float it out there and see what others thought. … I’ve been thinking about the recent FCT price movements, and especially the major sells that have been driving the price down and scaring potential investors away. It’s been discussed here in the past, with the main theory being that it’s whales trying to drive the price down in order to collect cheap FCT from margin calls and the weak-handed. But as others have pointed out, this theory doesn’t fully account for what’s going on. For one thing, it’s hard to imagine that the amount being dumped could actually be recovered with a significant-enough quantity of newly bought coins. Yesterday someone sold FCT down to 4370—a massive drop in price, that lasted only briefly before bouncing back up. There have been repeated major sells since then, and in each case the price rebounds to a point higher than the whale had been selling at. So … what’s going on?
This is where things get tinfoil-ish. ... Interest in FCT has been growing rapidly recently, and each time there’s what looks to be the beginning of a run-up in the price, a whale jumps in and throws water on the fire. If they’re not looking to amass cheaper coins, then … what? As much as I respect the Factom team, I have to ask: Who benefits from a relatively stable price atm? Or put another way, how would Factom’s potential investors and clients feel if they heard that, after some huge rise, FCT corrected by 40-50%? I’m not sure how much potential clients care about FCT’s market cap, but if they witness a boom—followed by an inevitable correction—that would likely give them pause. At this point in development, such instability, even if it resulted in a significantly higher market cap, could be seen as a liability.
Again, I’m the first to admit that this all sounds a little conspiracy-theoryish. And anyway it might actually be illegal—exposing Factom Inc to a class-action brought about by ICO holders. But … bottom-line, the recent movements don’t quite add up. And this theory has been nagging at me for a few days now, so thought I’d see what others thought. #hopetobeprovenwrong