hi tempus...
i sell my NeuCoin at 6600...
i do a good gain...
i'm waiting for a good support where peoples will accumulate NEW.
but reading you, i think this floor will be really more and more low...
The price is hard/impossible to predict. Reason is that I don't believe that's a normal market. Most likely it's highly manipulated and most likely they bought themselves the majority of the public ICO and I'm sure that they build the buy-walls. Wouldn't surprise me if they already hold 90% of the public ICO but I can't know that for sure.
What I want to say with that: They have control about the price and it's possible that they won't let it go down too low. It's even possible that they'll let it rise hoping, that a rising price will bring new and more people in. But everybody should know: That's an very old strategy and we saw that in hundreds of little Shitcoin-Scams. It's no mystery to double or quintuple a price if a Whale-Group holds the majority and has enough BTC.
That's a possible scenario in my eyes, because what's pretty sure: The project would die about the price... if it falls too low and they stake their millions every day, nobody will invest in this. Time is really not on their side. Because it won't be easier to explain to new Investors why they should invest if the distribution get's worse. And everybody who sees it the first time and looks into this:
http://www.neucoin.io/richlistWhat will he see? A highly centralized supply and just a few addresses with relevant amount on it:
Top 10: own 96.71 % of the total supply
Top 100: own 99.8 % of the total supply
The next what a potential new Investor will recognize is the high staking rate... why should anybody buy 100k of this if they make that amount out of nothing through staking? Every fact is "off-putting".
But that's also the reason why this project is very interesting, because I'm really eager to see what they'll do with that... if they have something like a strategy and it will be visible. But with every scenario they'll have to face some problems.
Example:
They could make much PR and let the price rise at the same time. They could pay for articles, Jango could implement it (but I really doubt that any company would like to be associated with it) and as I said... lifting up volume and price.
What would be the result? Some who don't do any research would buy it. They would get some new Investors in. But: They have at least two serious problems. If they get more attention, they'll also get more attention of people who look deeper and explain what they're doing. As I said: It will be visible. Second problem: It won't be enough. And everytime they sell and distribute Coins, they lose a little bit control about it and they'll make loss with every trade if they have to stable the price in higher ranges.
The third problem, like I said: Time is not on their side, because distribution get's worse. With every day this project looks more bad.
And, what's also very interesting to me, but very speculative: They have some guys with money in it. They have some guys with a big name. And you can be sure they don't want to lose any money and they don't want to lose credibility. So, will the group behind this stay calm? Can they trust each other? Because if they're not united... they can't do much on the market. The one would fear the other. The one builds up buy-support and stabilize the price, the other could dump into it because he lost hope and just wants out.
And if you look on their list... 12 people in the core-team and with strategic-angeld-blablabla-Investors they're many more. I'm sure they are not united and that they are arguing and they don't have a strategy for the project.
There could be a strategy to get out:
They could buy as much they can in lower price-range and just let it down and vanish. That won't be a big problem for the public because the group could buy the majority of all Coins they don't already own. Nearly nobody would complain about it. But.. they would lose much credibility and most likely they won't have any future in Crypto. And it's possible that there are some bigger names who lost money and could hire a lawyer...
But, it's really speculative. What's not speculative in my eyes: This project has no future. It's designed to fail and maybe they believe that it could succeed if there would've been a hype right from the beginning with millions of users, but that's wrong. With millions of new Coins everyday and just 100 Mio on the free market at a price like now... there is absolutely no way. Everybody can calculate how fast they would've to grow to hold the value and give them the opportunity to distribute all that smoke.
And, just another little scenario and another reason why this will never survive: If there are just 100 Mio on the market, and even if there would be a great user-increase and demand so they could inflate the market without damage... that it would be 200 Mio in 3 months and let's say 1 billion in a year, there would be always the risk that anybody from the core team would dump a large amount. There is no reason to trust a large group that doesn't show any professionality. Who knows if those wallets are really safe? If anybody would get control about the first wallet... he would have control about the whole project. It's so centralized like a central bank and worse, because of the inflation.
So... many words to line out what I believe what will happen. With just a few words: No chance, this will die soon.