Now, I also have an optimistic evaluation.
Let`s hear that as well
Really looks like a bottom has formed by the way. Nice orderbook at bittrex.
Well, there are many factors to consider that would affect Viacoin's marketcap, such as: Marketing, Awareness, Distribution and Accessibility, Innovation and Development. If I go into that, it will be a long read.
So, I'll just give a simplistic analysis based on other coins.
If you look at the top 13 coins, you'll notice the list is dominated with ecosystems, privacy-centric coins and PoS coins (because it's the fastest confirmation method).
Ecosystems: Ripple, BitSharesX, Nxt, Bitcoindark, Counterparty
PoW coins after BTC: Litecoin, Dogecoin, Darkcoin, Namecoin
Beyond the 13th coin, Blackcoin and Crypti are the only ones who has an ecosystem.
Now, all these ecosystems have the same problem of a blockchain bloat (extra data means an enormous blockchain to download), I think Bithalo avoids it by not recording the extra data into the blockchain and Nxt shrinks the chain and leaves a full copy to trusted nodes. Bitcoindark is a clone of Nxt so same problems. Counterparty is regarded as spam data in BTC's blockchain. I don't know about the rest though.
Anyway, Viacoin's ace card is the future implementation of treechains. Ethereum devs are also aware of the bloat problem and are watching Viacoin's development. Treechain's aim is to improve blockchain scalability.
At the moment though, Viacoin is already an improvement over similar PoW systems because of the 24-sec confirmation time, beating Dogecoin/Dogeparty combo. Also AuxPoW (merged mining) may be implemented in the future.
So now, you can estimate that Viacoin will soon be among the top 13 coins. agreed. why don't more investors see this? I'd like to see VIA in top 10 coins, it's currently #22:
http://coinmarketcap.comThe investors are monitoring - people who bought Ethereum are monitoring, people in Bithalo are monitoring, and others. They are waiting for that buy signal while others are manipulating the price to go down. If viacoin is ignored or forgotten by investors, you won't see any trading activity at all. Check out the trading of "almost dead" coins and compare.