Betting odds are 2/1 in favor of staying in atm.
Whether that will reflect in the result depends on how many stay ins bother to vote. That's why the pro camp pushed for the inclusion on that list, dire warnings of economic chaos might have some effect on turnout.
The only people who have strong opinions in my experience are antis, who generally believe coming out will "Make Britain Great Again" or some such bollocks.
It's a Xenophobia poll as much as anything, the economic effects are incalculable.
the reality is.....snip
we need out we really do
That's quite a common view in the UK these days, the isolationists UKIP got about 3.8 million votes out of 30 million cast in the 2015 General Election, when 2 out of 3 entitled to actually voted.
If that 3.8 million vote 'out' and are joined by say half the 12 million Tory voters, then a low turnout would probably swing it. Rule Britannia.
There is no actual legal obligation for the Government to do anything as a result of the referendum. A close call would be quite a problem, especially for a neocon government whose leader wants to stay in.
When people say stuff like this......