Topic: Bets of Bitcoin - Bitcoin betting on real world events - page 13. (Read 62161 times)
Did the service get updated lately? It seems stagnant.
Sorry for the spoiler, but this bet is done:
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=577
Wins nothing, but congratulations to the predictor.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=577
Wins nothing, but congratulations to the predictor.
I guess I can wait until tomorrow for the payout on http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=240
433 \o/
Your site seems to be down, are you aware?
Edit: It's back up now. By the way http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=586 turned out to be true and I sent an email to the admin address earlier.
Edit: It's back up now. By the way http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=586 turned out to be true and I sent an email to the admin address earlier.
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This assertion is true if Bitcoin Savings and Trust is unwilling or unable to pay out requested deposits on or before December 31st, 2012 according to the opinion of Bitcointalk.org members on the Bitcoin Savings and Trust Forum Thread.
Since it seems he may be having difficulty repaying is it appropriate to keep the bet open still?
Relevant:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-and-trust-is-closing-101339
The "opinion of the community" that I've seen elsewhere considers "default" event to mean that a certain period of time, perhaps two weeks, has passed from the time the withdrawals are requested. If *all* payouts do actually occur on Monday or so, that probably wouldn't be considered a default for someone whose withdrawal requests from today are not honored.
Quote
This assertion is true if Bitcoin Savings and Trust is unwilling or unable to pay out requested deposits on or before December 31st, 2012 according to the opinion of Bitcointalk.org members on the Bitcoin Savings and Trust Forum Thread.
Since it seems he may be having difficulty repaying is it appropriate to keep the bet open still?
Relevant:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-and-trust-is-closing-101339
IMHO, all these should probably be in the waiting state now, but none of them can actually be confirmed until the actual convention. What would happen if Paul Ryan were to get hit by a bus? Its not likely that the outcome will change, but it is still possible.
This is true; there's a difference between who Mitt Romney picks and who is actually nominated. Although it seems unlikely, Mitt Romney's choice may not be nominated.
These statements were proved false yesterday Aug 11th.
Incidentally, normally a bet will be reviewed at the event date. When an event outcome occurs before the event date, notification can be sent via e-mail, as described here:
For not making the thread cluttered you can shoot a quick email to us at [admin at betsofbitco.in] for your notifications.
@Stephen Gornick: I did read the FAQ but thanks for the info. I thought it was just easier to post here, but I sent them an e-mail as you suggested.
A Higgs Boson particle will be observed before the end of 2012 should be decided.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19076355
http://www.nature.com/nphys/journal/v8/n8/full/nphys2404.html
http://blogs.nature.com/news/2012/08/higgs-discovery-papers-unveiled.html
http://arxiv.org/abs/1207.7214
Quote from: BBC
Now one Higgs-hunting team at the Large Hadron Collider report a "5.9 sigma" levels of certainty it exists.
That equates to a one-in-550 million chance if the Higgs did not exist, the team would see these same results.
The formal threshold for claiming the discovery of a particle is a 5-sigma level - equivalent to a one-in-3.5 million chance.
That equates to a one-in-550 million chance if the Higgs did not exist, the team would see these same results.
The formal threshold for claiming the discovery of a particle is a 5-sigma level - equivalent to a one-in-3.5 million chance.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19076355
http://www.nature.com/nphys/journal/v8/n8/full/nphys2404.html
http://blogs.nature.com/news/2012/08/higgs-discovery-papers-unveiled.html
http://arxiv.org/abs/1207.7214
Those two you linked to were:
Marco Rubio will be selected as Vice Presidential running mate for the GOP presidential nominee.
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=264
Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee for Vice President
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=291
Here's a another open one:
GOP convention will select Ron Paul as vice presidential candidate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=463
Here's one that is "waiting" (closed to new bets) and can be ended as well:
Mitt Romney Will Choose A Woman As His Running Mate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=481
Marco Rubio will be selected as Vice Presidential running mate for the GOP presidential nominee.
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=264
Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee for Vice President
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=291
Here's a another open one:
GOP convention will select Ron Paul as vice presidential candidate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=463
Here's one that is "waiting" (closed to new bets) and can be ended as well:
Mitt Romney Will Choose A Woman As His Running Mate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=481
IMHO, all these should probably be in the waiting state now, but none of them can actually be confirmed until the actual convention. What would happen if Paul Ryan were to get hit by a bus? Its not likely that the outcome will change, but it is still possible.
These statements were proved false yesterday Aug 11th.
Incidentally, normally a bet will be reviewed at the event date. When an event outcome occurs before the event date, notification can be sent via e-mail, as described here:
For not making the thread cluttered you can shoot a quick email to us at [admin at betsofbitco.in] for your notifications.
As far as bets made once the event outcome was known:
It is still open and I think people bet false on it yesterday after the VP announcement.
Any bets made on those after Aug 10th (last day before the event's outcome was determined) get canceled. This is described in a previous post:
Post hoc bets are cancelled.
And it also referenced in the Help page:
"Q.) What happens after I bet?"
"A.) [...] If the statement turns out to be true or false before the deadline, bet deadline is changed to the end of previous day and bets are closed."
- http://betsofbitco.in/help
Those two you linked to were:
Marco Rubio will be selected as Vice Presidential running mate for the GOP presidential nominee.
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=264
Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee for Vice President
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=291
Here's a another open one:
GOP convention will select Ron Paul as vice presidential candidate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=463
Here's one that is "waiting" (closed to new bets) and can be ended as well:
Mitt Romney Will Choose A Woman As His Running Mate
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=481
These statements were proved false yesterday Aug 11th. It is still open and I think people bet false on it yesterday after the VP announcement.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=264
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=291
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=264
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=291
Cool idea ! 
I just won 4.42BTC in a bet I made months ago! Haha. 
congratulations
I just won 4.42BTC in a bet I made months ago! Haha.
Quote
Does anyone have any suggestions of categories of bets they would like to see?
In fact many bettors there are from USA.So, the popular statement must be interesting for them.
Or, maybe just clone some popular statements from Intrade ?
Or, maybe just clone some popular statements from Intrade ?
… and do arbitrage between these platforms if people bet differently here than there. Save way to win
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