Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN? - page 64.

zby

legendary

Activity: 1594

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Quote from: naima53 on January 29, 2012, 09:16:47 AM

there is a good strategy when the volume is small (need to have enough money) -
hourly trend is up - go long on bitkoiniсa 10:1, buy Gox 500B (1000B ...) and quickly fix on bitcoinica, 50% of profits to send Gox,
hour trend down - go short on bitkoinica 10:1, sell 500 (1000 ...) on Gox, quickly fix profits, 50% of profits to send Gox ... Again and again ... More attention analytics and trend lines ... mood on this forum ... draw your own conclusions ...

this works, it was much much more profitable around $3 or so a few weeks back.

Who loses on that? bitcoinica? So they are a bucket shot after all?

rebuilder

legendary

Activity: 1615

Merit: 1000

Quote from: naima53 on January 29, 2012, 09:16:47 AM

there is a good strategy when the volume is small (need to have enough money) -
hourly trend is up - go long on bitkoiniсa 10:1, buy Gox 500B (1000B ...) and quickly fix on bitcoinica, 50% of profits to send Gox,
hour trend down - go short on bitkoinica 10:1, sell 500 (1000 ...) on Gox, quickly fix profits, 50% of profits to send Gox ... Again and again ... More attention analytics and trend lines ... mood on this forum ... draw your own conclusions ...

Hmm. Would this end up looking more or less like the spikes we've been seeing lately? (such as the several pushes to 5.4 in the last day or so)

naima53

hero member

Activity: 616

Merit: 502

there is a good strategy when the volume is small (need to have enough money) -
hourly trend is up - go long on bitkoiniсa 10:1, buy Gox 500B (1000B ...) and quickly fix on bitcoinica, 50% of profits to send Gox,
hour trend down - go short on bitkoinica 10:1, sell 500 (1000 ...) on Gox, quickly fix profits, 50% of profits to send Gox ... Again and again ... More attention analytics and trend lines ... mood on this forum ... draw your own conclusions ...

zby

legendary

Activity: 1594

Merit: 1001

I used it together with chodpaba graphs and decided that there is too much risk that the support zone will be broken. And also on the up side it was rather difficult climb - both because of chodpaba graphs and asks on tradehill.

N12

donator

Activity: 1610

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Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: M4v3R on January 29, 2012, 08:25:11 AM

proudhon: the update was actually quite bullish.

I thought it was very neutral. I read it as if it goes down, it might go down more, and if it goes up, it might go up more... But as almost always the bullish side was stressed.

So the analysis acts as an amplifier for either direction.

naima53

hero member

Activity: 616

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Quote from: M4v3R on January 29, 2012, 08:25:11 AM

proudhon: the update was actually quite bullish.

Yes, but do not try that - would be silly ...

Hawkix

hero member

Activity: 531

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Quote from: S3052 on January 29, 2012, 05:18:52 AM

Juts issued an interim bitcoin technical analysis update in the subscriber section.

As the content of this S3052's analysis is private only to subscribed members, I would vote to make the notifications about private too. I know that some PR is always needed, but this reveals hints to the market. Instead, do some week-ago or so POST MORTEM analysis, where you will publish the previous analysis and discuss the outcome.

proudhon

legendary

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Quote from: N12 on January 29, 2012, 08:25:57 AM

Quote from: M4v3R on January 29, 2012, 08:25:11 AM

proudhon: the update was actually quite bullish.

Maybe someone is using it as a contrarian indicator? Grin

That's what I think is going on.

N12

donator

Activity: 1610

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Quote from: M4v3R on January 29, 2012, 08:25:11 AM

proudhon: the update was actually quite bullish.

Maybe someone is using it as a contrarian indicator? Grin

M4v3R

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proudhon: the update was actually quite bullish.

proudhon

legendary

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Quote from: S3052 on January 29, 2012, 05:18:52 AM

Juts issued an interim bitcoin technical analysis update in the subscriber section.

And then the price went down.

S3052

legendary

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Juts issued an interim bitcoin technical analysis update in the subscriber section.

Lord F(r)og

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S3052 ALWAYS provides plenty of information to choose from and what to extract of it is your very personal task. Besides, a bullish attitude (remaining in a financial parlance) is the least to do for Bitcoin.

S3052

legendary

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Quote from: Technomage on January 27, 2012, 08:08:24 AM

He hasn't always been a bull. He is a bull when the trend is up and there is no evidence that it isn't up. Even the short term is, you heard it, up, from $4.6. I'm genuinely surprised by the sudden pessimism, fear and panic in the speculation forum. I have realistic and low expectations for most things and I seem to underestimate the stupidness of the Bitcoin market.

First we saw totally inflated expectations for the Good Wife episode, for me it was the opposite because it was much more than I expected. Now we have seen some unrelated issues but nothing huge and the result is a wave of fear. I see the attitude of S3052 as very healthy right now when we seem to have a large amount of unfounded fear and pessimism.

The most realistic scenario is still that this is a correction to to an overly bullish rally. It's not about to crash to $2, people who say that are manipulators who simply want people to panic more to get their money back in at a lower rate. It's ridiculous.

+1

There is a history about my bitcoin forecasts that shows bullishness and bearishness when the analysis and the time warranted it.

N12

donator

Activity: 1610

Merit: 1010

Quote from: Technomage on January 27, 2012, 08:08:24 AM

He hasn't always been a bull. He is a bull when the trend is up and there is no evidence that it isn't up. Even the short term is, you heard it, up, from $4.6.

If you only consider trendlines, then

Short term trend is down since 6.2, one might argue up since 5.05.

Mid term up since 4.64, trendline was tested at 5.05.

Long term up since slightly below 2, trendline not tested since 19th Dec.

Mid/long term indicators continue to be bearish and implying that 7.2 was a bear market retracement.

BadBear

legendary

Activity: 1652

Merit: 1128

Quote from: Technomage on January 27, 2012, 08:08:24 AM

He hasn't always been a bull. He is a bull when the trend is up and there is no evidence that it isn't up. Even the short term is, you heard it, up, from $4.6. I'm genuinely surprised by the sudden pessimism, fear and panic in the speculation forum. I have realistic and low expectations for most things and I seem to underestimate the stupidness of the Bitcoin market.

First we saw totally inflated expectations for the Good Wife episode, for me it was the opposite because it was much more than I expected. Now we have seen some unrelated issues but nothing huge and the result is a wave of fear. I see the attitude of S3052 as very healthy right now when we seem to have a large amount of unfounded fear and pessimism.

The most realistic scenario is still that this is a correction to to an overly bullish rally. It's not about to crash to $2, people who say that are manipulators who simply want people to panic more to get their money back in at a lower rate. It's ridiculous.

Technomage talking about fundamentals and health again, time to sell. Wink

Technomage

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Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com

He hasn't always been a bull. He is a bull when the trend is up and there is no evidence that it isn't up. Even the short term is, you heard it, up, from $4.6. I'm genuinely surprised by the sudden pessimism, fear and panic in the speculation forum. I have realistic and low expectations for most things and I seem to underestimate the stupidness of the Bitcoin market.

First we saw totally inflated expectations for the Good Wife episode, for me it was the opposite because it was much more than I expected. Now we have seen some unrelated issues but nothing huge and the result is a wave of fear. I see the attitude of S3052 as very healthy right now when we seem to have a large amount of unfounded fear and pessimism.

The most realistic scenario is still that this is a correction to to an overly bullish rally. It's not about to crash to $2, people who say that are manipulators who simply want people to panic more to get their money back in at a lower rate. It's ridiculous.

molecular

donator

Activity: 2772

Merit: 1019

Quote from: BadBear on January 27, 2012, 07:53:55 AM

Indeed he is. Maybe he's hoping it will be a self fulfilling prophecy.

At least this time, it's not working.

BadBear

legendary

Activity: 1652

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Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: pent on January 27, 2012, 07:30:43 AM

Quote from: S3052 on January 26, 2012, 04:19:51 PM

We just issued the weekly bitcoin price analysis and newsletter to subscribers.

Exciting times ahead of us!

Absolutely useless. For each time. I get usefull info from short term updates, but they also became useless.

blah-blah-blah we wil expire awful times.... You report became a 99% copy-paste of previous reports while a market issues big movement. The one thing you are predicted 4.86 - 7.22 moving zone. Well, cool. almost 50% height.

RSI, MACD shows downtrend this and prev week. And you talking about upside spikes and all of your trends are UP. Even short within days.

madness...

He is almost always very bullish. I don't know why.

Indeed he is. Maybe he's hoping it will be a self fulfilling prophecy.

pent

hero member

Activity: 490

Merit: 500

Quote from: S3052 on January 26, 2012, 04:19:51 PM

We just issued the weekly bitcoin price analysis and newsletter to subscribers.

Exciting times ahead of us!

Absolutely useless. For each time. I get usefull info from short term updates, but they also became useless.

blah-blah-blah we wil expire awful times.... You report became a 99% copy-paste of previous reports while a market issues big movement. The one thing you are predicted 4.86 - 7.22 moving zone. Well, cool. almost 50% height.

RSI, MACD shows downtrend this and prev week. And you talking about upside spikes and all of your trends are UP. Even short within days.

madness...

Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN? - page 64. (Read 540249 times)