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Topic: Bitcoin price with a 4 year cycle? (Read 3513 times)

legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1039
Bitcoin Trader
April 17, 2023, 05:20:56 PM
We all know that the price of bitcoin and crypto in the past few weeks has increased maybe it's due to the effect of the halving schedule that will take place in the next year, it means that we are still on track with a 4 year cycle and it is inevitable that it will always be so until the next cycle . You can see the halving countdown below



From this thread I learned a lot from all the speculation and analysis provided by the forum community and of course there are many different opinions and even different views from each other's point of view, that's why I will close this thread because we all know that we have found the answer and in the end everyone participating in the discussion in this thread are great people, cheers

2025 To The Moon  Wink
full member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 121
Enterapp Pre-Sale Live - bit.ly/3UrMCWI
February 16, 2023, 09:03:35 PM
I heard Bitcoin since 2013 when prices skyrocketed from $ 100 to more than $ 1000, at that time Bitcoin often became trending on business TV and I thought that Bitcoin would continue to skyrocket, unfortunately in 2014 the price of dropping below $ 200, and the pattern above seemed to continue to continue Repeated and I'm sure the current year is the recovery year so I don't hesitate to buy more.
This is my opinion, that it is possible that this year there will not be a recovery, but perhaps at the beginning of next year the recovery will begin to be seen, which will be accompanied by the halving era which will indeed occur in 2024.
although indeed the current situation is there is movement to increase even though it is not guaranteed that it will continue to move up until the end of the year, so we will see that later.
sr. member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 252
January 27, 2023, 08:35:23 AM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?

I heard Bitcoin since 2013 when prices skyrocketed from $ 100 to more than $ 1000, at that time Bitcoin often became trending on business TV and I thought that Bitcoin would continue to skyrocket, unfortunately in 2014 the price of dropping below $ 200, and the pattern above seemed to continue to continue Repeated and I'm sure the current year is the recovery year so I don't hesitate to buy more.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1140
January 23, 2023, 05:42:48 PM
What would you think if this cycle happened again
--

Do we have to buy more this year?
It is a nice cycle you mapped out. Yea  this year bitcoin will be recovering itself gradually so we still have to buy and store this year so that when next year comes for halving you will be smiling. The prediction for me as of 2025, bitcoin will be it All Time High (ATH).  This year  is the time to buy enough and store it the wallet .
We could indeed make patterns and some says that it isnt really just that a coincidence on making up these listing and trying to see that we are on a recovering state.Whether these things could be real or not

but somehow we are really be able to see that it is really just indeed moving on what we are supposed to see basing up with those patterns but it wont 100% precise for you to rely on with this kind of approach.

4 year cycle? Possibly yes and possibly no, because this market is never been predictable but its not bad on following up with those patterns if you could be able to bare up with the risk.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 577
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
January 23, 2023, 04:47:45 PM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?
It is a nice cycle you mapped out. Yea  this year bitcoin will be recovering itself gradually so we still have to buy and store this year so that when next year comes for halving you will be smiling. The prediction for me as of 2025, bitcoin will be it All Time High (ATH).  This year  is the time to buy enough and store it the wallet .
sr. member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 443
January 23, 2023, 04:33:07 PM
the belief many people in the crypto community have in a 4 year cycle is inseparable from what has happened in the past, and I think it is very logical for the same thing to happen again, and I really believe in that.

and as for the profit that you get when that happens, it depends on the people who hold Bitcoin for at what time to buy it and release it, for the profit that you get I think there must be but big or small which is different.
Sure. People believe in 4 year-cycle because they learn the scheme of the previous bearish-bullish season. And people realize that BTC halving has a crucial role to determine this 4 year-cycle. So, as long as there is BTC halving, it is very logical to expect 4 year-cycle to return again. But we don't think if it always happens, there is the possibility of no return of 4 year-cycle. Crypto market is unpredictable and no one can guarantee the same thing to happen in the future.

legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 2213
January 23, 2023, 12:09:47 PM
remember sometimes for the big whales to take your bitcoins at cheap prices they need to make drama, you may remember the mtgox case in 2014 where it was a bearish year, maybe mtgox was a big exchange in its time but see if after the mtgox case bitcoin and crypto die, not really
look at the many hack dramas that are actually the people inside as the cause, I don't want to say much, maybe apart from mtgox you will see many similar cases and bitcoin will always rise from its slump so that's why I always remind you to take it when they panic and throw it away cheap , buy bitcoins in this year because we don't know next year we will stay bearish or go into bullish market, many projects failed before FTX and I think people are smart enough with that, so keep bitcoins in your wallet safely  Wink
Totally agree with the advice you gave, because of the several cases that have occurred and seen by everyone including the case of the FTX exchange at this time, everything will return to a normal track and Bitcoin will still get a better increase after there have been many cases that sinks and finishes over time.

There's nothing wrong with buying Bitcoin in these bearish conditions or in situations when others are starting to panic, as that is also an option that needs to be taken advantage of by those who are patiently waiting for an increase in Bitcoin in the coming year.
Whale investors often want to keep the market somewhat artificially bearish. They can use their strategy to extract profits from the market. When Bitcoin price was $16K whalers did their job properly. General investors assume that following the cycle of Bitcoin we will see bullish next year 2024 and collect Bitcoin before that time. But big investors always do that Calculate in advance. BTC reached from $16k to $23k in less than 1 week. It is just the beginning of the year. I believe BTC will be able to be bullish again before 2024. This is because whales always take the decision first. After all it is true that Neither FTX nor Luna will keep BTC bearish.

Baring in mind that it's not just that in 2024 that Bitcoin is expected to be bullish again, but also that based on a 4-year cycle the low would be at the end of 2022 / start of 2023. So clearly enough whales were buying around this time in anticipation or speculation of a low, like buying end of 2018 or beginning of 2019 under $4K. Especially if there's the possibility of a 3-4x increase within the year.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 513
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 23, 2023, 09:39:41 AM
remember sometimes for the big whales to take your bitcoins at cheap prices they need to make drama, you may remember the mtgox case in 2014 where it was a bearish year, maybe mtgox was a big exchange in its time but see if after the mtgox case bitcoin and crypto die, not really
look at the many hack dramas that are actually the people inside as the cause, I don't want to say much, maybe apart from mtgox you will see many similar cases and bitcoin will always rise from its slump so that's why I always remind you to take it when they panic and throw it away cheap , buy bitcoins in this year because we don't know next year we will stay bearish or go into bullish market, many projects failed before FTX and I think people are smart enough with that, so keep bitcoins in your wallet safely  Wink
Totally agree with the advice you gave, because of the several cases that have occurred and seen by everyone including the case of the FTX exchange at this time, everything will return to a normal track and Bitcoin will still get a better increase after there have been many cases that sinks and finishes over time.

There's nothing wrong with buying Bitcoin in these bearish conditions or in situations when others are starting to panic, as that is also an option that needs to be taken advantage of by those who are patiently waiting for an increase in Bitcoin in the coming year.
Whale investors often want to keep the market somewhat artificially bearish. They can use their strategy to extract profits from the market. When Bitcoin price was $16K whalers did their job properly. General investors assume that following the cycle of Bitcoin we will see bullish next year 2024 and collect Bitcoin before that time. But big investors always do that Calculate in advance. BTC reached from $16k to $23k in less than 1 week. It is just the beginning of the year. I believe BTC will be able to be bullish again before 2024. This is because whales always take the decision first. After all it is true that Neither FTX nor Luna will keep BTC bearish.
hero member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 785
January 23, 2023, 09:08:18 AM
You first said that a 4 year cycle maybe inevitable so why having a doubt on your second sentence? You can doubt it if it happened 1 time only but it happened 3 to 4 times now so I think the year 2025 is going to be the fifth on the list. This year, we can see that the prices are now starting to recover but we can still buy if we want to and expect that we can still earn something later on.

I only can't say that this was a big discount but if ever there are then that would be last year when the price is at their bottom. Each of us has our own strategy but we all have similarities and that is we buy, hodl (can be short or long term) and sell for profits.
Well I believe in the 4 year cycle because this will repeat past history but we will be back in 2024/25 for the next so this word is always after the halving occurs this cycle is formed which becomes new history again.
The market is currently recovering but it won't have a bigger impact to go up I expect $30,000 so far this year (don't know what happened during this journey) but when it enters the year of the halving 2024 we will see how bitcoin reacts in the market later.
This year is still below the baseline for bitcoin, I myself still continue to earn it in my own way with the same goal, namely profit, so keep buying until the bitcoins we have accumulate.
sr. member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 450
January 23, 2023, 12:24:39 AM
It seems to me that 2023 will be a recovery for bitcoin. And already after the halving. But now there is a good opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin for a long time. Even if the price drops again, it will be very good in the future. The main thing is if you buy it, don't sell it cheaper.

this year should be a good year to buy it gradually if there is a price drop in the middle of the year or the end of the year i think the cycle seems to be continuing to work and people have faith in it

The four-year cycle is indeed the foundation of long-term investors to jump into the market and it continues, so it is likely that recovery will be carried out this year as we have seen that bitcoin has been improving day by day for two weeks this month. people who have plunged at the bottom price were very lucky in the previous month.
A decline may occur in Q2 or Q3 for the price of bitcoin as a correction before continuing to increase. I think that is a natural thing in the market, I agree that gradual buying is very important to control our emotions towards the market and of course it is safer when there is a decline because we have funds left over and we can buy it at the drop time.
hero member
Activity: 2828
Merit: 611
January 21, 2023, 01:16:39 PM
2025......? maybe we inevitably have to follow the 4-year cycle that has occurred in several bullish periods in previous years.
to be honest I doubt a little if this will ever be a 4 year cycle like it was but if we speculate looking at the movement of the cycle it is a bit true and this year is like a big discount to buy bitcoins and collect more.
but back to each strategy because everyone has their own goals.
this is just my speculation, that this will happen again.
You first said that a 4 year cycle maybe inevitable so why having a doubt on your second sentence? You can doubt it if it happened 1 time only but it happened 3 to 4 times now so I think the year 2025 is going to be the fifth on the list. This year, we can see that the prices are now starting to recover but we can still buy if we want to and expect that we can still earn something later on.

I only can't say that this was a big discount but if ever there are then that would be last year when the price is at their bottom. Each of us has our own strategy but we all have similarities and that is we buy, hodl (can be short or long term) and sell for profits.
sr. member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 339
January 20, 2023, 08:44:47 AM
yes as speculation and poll that has been collected in this Utas that people say yes that this cycle will work again to do the umpteenth time, so this is an inseparable faith by the crypto community and I must appreciate it
And it is still very reasonable for the crypto community to believe about the next cycle in Bitcoin because it has seen evidence of passing the previous two cycles every four years. So if speculation about the next cycle can really happen again, of course the crypto community, especially those who still hold Bitcoin, will be very happy and it can be a very big fortune in their life. So just pray that it can happen again in Bitcoin.
the belief many people in the crypto community have in a 4 year cycle is inseparable from what has happened in the past, and I think it is very logical for the same thing to happen again, and I really believe in that.

and as for the profit that you get when that happens, it depends on the people who hold Bitcoin for at what time to buy it and release it, for the profit that you get I think there must be but big or small which is different.
hero member
Activity: 2576
Merit: 579
January 19, 2023, 09:54:33 AM
yes as speculation and poll that has been collected in this Utas that people say yes that this cycle will work again to do the umpteenth time, so this is an inseparable faith by the crypto community and I must appreciate it
And it is still very reasonable for the crypto community to believe about the next cycle in Bitcoin because it has seen evidence of passing the previous two cycles every four years. So if speculation about the next cycle can really happen again, of course the crypto community, especially those who still hold Bitcoin, will be very happy and it can be a very big fortune in their life. So just pray that it can happen again in Bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1039
Bitcoin Trader
January 19, 2023, 08:18:01 AM
It seems to me that 2023 will be a recovery for bitcoin. And already after the halving. But now there is a good opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin for a long time. Even if the price drops again, it will be very good in the future. The main thing is if you buy it, don't sell it cheaper.

this year should be a good year to buy it gradually if there is a price drop in the middle of the year or the end of the year i think the cycle seems to be continuing to work and people have faith in it

What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?
2025......? maybe we inevitably have to follow the 4-year cycle that has occurred in several bullish periods in previous years.
to be honest I doubt a little if this will ever be a 4 year cycle like it was but if we speculate looking at the movement of the cycle it is a bit true and this year is like a big discount to buy bitcoins and collect more.
but back to each strategy because everyone has their own goals.
this is just my speculation, that this will happen again.
yes as speculation and poll that has been collected in this Utas that people say yes that this cycle will work again to do the umpteenth time, so this is an inseparable faith by the crypto community and I must appreciate it
hero member
Activity: 1330
Merit: 585
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 18, 2023, 09:06:24 PM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?
2025......? maybe we inevitably have to follow the 4-year cycle that has occurred in several bullish periods in previous years.
to be honest I doubt a little if this will ever be a 4 year cycle like it was but if we speculate looking at the movement of the cycle it is a bit true and this year is like a big discount to buy bitcoins and collect more.
but back to each strategy because everyone has their own goals.
this is just my speculation, that this will happen again.
sr. member
Activity: 2282
Merit: 439
Cashback 15%
January 15, 2023, 10:11:00 AM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?
It seems to me that 2023 will be a recovery for bitcoin. And already after the halving. But now there is a good opportunity to buy cheap bitcoin for a long time. Even if the price drops again, it will be very good in the future. The main thing is if you buy it, don't sell it cheaper.
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1039
Bitcoin Trader
January 15, 2023, 09:50:46 AM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?

Looks like that's what we need to do this year by accumulating a lot, we realize that this four-year cycle has become a mandatory or unavoidable matter for Bitcoin to continue to benefit those who did not enter the previous cycle.
I call this a price discount given by institutional investors or whale investors.
The recovery phase might be very boring for holders, because the movement is said to be very slow so that DCA in the price recovery phase is highly recommended to maintain the mentality in the event of another decline and we still have funds to buy when the decline occurs.
yes that's what everyone should stay aware of that when it comes to the recovery stage it doesn't mean there is no price decline but I see a lot of difference each cycle so I think this year is a good year to buy some crypto gradually as a long term investment
sr. member
Activity: 826
Merit: 460
January 12, 2023, 01:15:42 PM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?

Looks like that's what we need to do this year by accumulating a lot, we realize that this four-year cycle has become a mandatory or unavoidable matter for Bitcoin to continue to benefit those who did not enter the previous cycle.
I call this a price discount given by institutional investors or whale investors.
The recovery phase might be very boring for holders, because the movement is said to be very slow so that DCA in the price recovery phase is highly recommended to maintain the mentality in the event of another decline and we still have funds to buy when the decline occurs.
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1039
Bitcoin Trader
January 11, 2023, 06:13:52 AM
What would you think if this cycle happened again

2012 bitcoin halving
2013 bitcoins to the moon
2014 bitcoin bearish
2015 bitcoin recovery
2016 bitcoin halving
2017 bitcoins to the moon
2018 bitcoin bearish
2019 bitcoin recovery
2020 bitcoin halving
2021 bitcoins to the moon
2022 bitcoin bearish
2023 bitcoin recovery
2024 bitcoin halving
2025 Huh you can fill it yourself

Do we have to buy more this year?
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1039
Bitcoin Trader
November 16, 2022, 03:22:28 AM
remember sometimes for the big whales to take your bitcoins at cheap prices they need to make drama, you may remember the mtgox case in 2014 where it was a bearish year, maybe mtgox was a big exchange in its time but see if after the mtgox case bitcoin and crypto die, not really
look at the many hack dramas that are actually the people inside as the cause, I don't want to say much, maybe apart from mtgox you will see many similar cases and bitcoin will always rise from its slump so that's why I always remind you to take it when they panic and throw it away cheap , buy bitcoins in this year because we don't know next year we will stay bearish or go into bullish market, many projects failed before FTX and I think people are smart enough with that, so keep bitcoins in your wallet safely  Wink
Totally agree with the advice you gave, because of the several cases that have occurred and seen by everyone including the case of the FTX exchange at this time, everything will return to a normal track and Bitcoin will still get a better increase after there have been many cases that sinks and finishes over time.

There's nothing wrong with buying Bitcoin in these bearish conditions or in situations when others are starting to panic, as that is also an option that needs to be taken advantage of by those who are patiently waiting for an increase in Bitcoin in the coming year.
people new to bitcoin and crypto will say bitcoin has died after this FTX incident, but indirectly they don't realize how many bitcoins were announced to have died before almost 400x and until now bitcoin is still surviving, then why are people panic throwing the price bitcoin was yesterday lol that was really a golden opportunity to go even cheaper whereas $20k bitcoin was already cheap in my opinion, but bitcoin hit the $15k floor yesterday and it was definitely a big whale opportunity to buy more
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