Topic: Bitcoin price with a 4 year cycle? - page 9. (Read 3513 times)

yes i know the price of ATH last year was $69k but it didn't reach the target completely and the price was dropped in mid 2021 and not exactly the same as the history of the previous 4 year cycle, only 5 months held in 2021 the bitcoin price increased after it was dropped by big traders because they know the public will certainly believe the 4 year cycle they have been waiting for all this time will push the bitcoin price up for a full year in 2021, but the price was dropped and I believe yesterday's 2021 moment is still not finished from its true purpose, all playing out when prices fell at that time, so understand what I mean here that not all cycles and history will repeat itself in the exact same way see 2013 and 2017

at that time not many companies or big people came for bitcoin but for this and later we see a lot that will support bitcoin and this technology, do you think that 4 year cycle will work and repeat the exact same history, it's something easy also predictable and can be played by big holders, why this thread was created because I think the 4 year cycle is no longer worthy of being used as a benchmark to get another ATH and I believe no we don't have to wait for the next 4 years to touch another ATH


that's an opinion that should be respected here, that's why I'm happy to get a lot of thoughts from all my friends on this forum about this 4 year cycle, I'm not sure bitcoin will touch $200k, while that $100k is hard to come by in 2021 yesterday, so stop dreaming high like that, there is still a lot of time to get it and always invest wisely

That's too high for Bitcoin and too long for everyone to wait. I will even sell Bitcoin when I see the price of Bitcoin has passed $70K because usually after such a high increase, there will always be a moment of decline before increasing again in a bigger direction. So I can still make more purchases when the Bitcoin declines again.

If we look at the track record of the previous 4 year cycle which was fairly successful, which is like you said Bitcoin could reach its highest price
in 2021. This means that it is quite possible for the next 4 year cycle the Bitcoin price will reach the new ATH price, I don't care if Bitcoin will hit
$100k or even $200k, the most important thing is that the price of Bitcoin is higher than the price of the previous 4 year cycle, it can provide
a large profit. Therefore don't waste the opportunity to collect Bitcoins from now on. Especially now that the price of Bitcoin is very low,
so imagine if we have a lot of Bitcoin in 2025, we can make a very big profit. That's why making Bitcoin a long-term investment is very profitable.
Because the price of Bitcoin is getting more expensive every 4 year cycle occurs.

So what is your ATH for Bitcoin?  If it is $100k then what will you call if the price of Bitcoin hits way past that?  I am kinda confused since you are talking about ATH and yet do not recognize the current ATH recorded by Bitcoin.  As far as the cycle is concerned, I believe it is the time when the Bear market transitioned to the bull market, the halving, and the highest price recorded during the peak of the bull market.  Isn't the recent cycle done that?  The current ATH peaked at $69k which is higher than the ATH of 2017.  So why do you call the current cycle a fail one?

before this thread i made a previous thread here , i also discussed about that cycle but sadly many people ignore that and don't take the previous moment as well as now, although i'm sure the 4 year cycle won't work anymore in the future because i feel 2021 is failed cycle, but thanks for your opinion


that's the speculation and analysis that I made before this thread, but I will still respect anyone's speculation here because again it's just a speculation, but if we really look at history we should get the right price, but let's both see if there is a movement bitcoin price increase after the end of this year or vice versa, if before 2025 we get another ATH I will raise this thread

If you think 2021 was a failure, what do you think as a success? I mean we reached 68k, previous ATH was 20k, we weren't even there, the bottom of 2020 was 3.4k, which means that from bottom of 2020 to peak of 2021 it was 3.4k to 68k, that is 20x increase just in bitcoin, do not get me started on all the altcoins that did 100x and more. This is why I believe that we shouldn't be really considering 2021 as a failure, it was one of the best years of bitcoins history.

You may dislike it because it didn't reach 100k, but that is a personal thing and not what the market in general thinks. We are going to have the same type of amazing increase in 2025 for sure, maybe not enough for your taste but a good increase for sure.

Why doubt the fact that the current ATH (all time high) was reached last 2021.  You cannot tell a price of Bitcoin that didn't happen yet to be the ATH of Bitcoin market.  The four year cycle is still working, IMO.  And the one you are wishing about, Bitcoin reaching a new ATH may happen a year or several months after the next Bitcoin halving.


I think Bigholders will play the bitcoin market to their advantage but they will never cheat because whales cannot modify the blockchain to apply their cheat.    BTW, how can you prove that the 4-year cycle isn't working anymore?

yes i agree with you and i have confirmed it is just part of my thinking and i still appreciate every thought of anyone here including you, as we know the price of bitcoin has not really reached $100k as predicted since 4 years ago, everyone may invested their money 4 years ago and held it hoping in 2021 to experience the ATH price, finally the price fell in mid last year 2021, that's why I say that we haven't really hit the real ATH

There is no such thing as true ath but bitcoin can increase as long as it wants, sky is only the limit. As long as we break the previous price highest price then that is already considered to be an ath, we can now sleep peacefully after that because the price can now go down. If you still didn't sell on that point then that was already your fault.

Can't say yet that the 4 year cycle was a failure not until if the price broke to its last ath but I really wish it was a failure because man, 4 years of waiting is pretty long but I guess this is one of the challenges or consequences if you are going to hod for long term. No one is being forced to do it anyway and there are still more flexible terms out there.

yes i believe it's really real the same as i discussed in my thread before this thread here , it's just that i believe more that we don't have to wait 4 years to get the next ATH, thanks for your opinion

unfortunately 2021 looks like a failure in my opinion how do you believe 2025 will succeed

Again, you just have to look at the cycle itself, the block halving will be sometime in May 2024, so that will be biggest event as it will be the catalyst, the fuel for the bull run that we are going to witnessed and it will last till 2025. The only contention is how far the bitcoin bull run is. And as obviously, we have speculated that it could be in the $100k range bare minimum. So for me and this is based on the history of bitcoin that 2025 might be the bull run and it will be the biggest so far.

We can see that the previous 3 Bitcoin halvings succeeded in making the Bitcoin price reach new ATH and finally the crypto market became bullish.
This means that in 2024, where the next 4 year cycle will occur, the same thing should happen with the last 3 cycles. This should be enough
to motivate us to buy more Bitcoins, especially now that Bitcoin prices are still cheap. Buying Bitcoin at a price of $24k should be enough to give us
a big profit if we can hold it until the next cycle occurs. Moreover, we do not have to buy 1 BTC, we can buy Bitcoin according to our respective
financial capabilities. The most important thing is to buy with the extra money we have, don't force borrow money to buy Bitcoin. Although investing
in Bitcoin is safe and profitable, because the price is volatile, it carries a high risk.

yes and no,

yes because halving and it usually does so

no because as you can see right now there is bunch of more people investing and get involved in crypto industry, Head of state, artist(obviously), bank and investment company that usually invest in traditional investment now are watch the crypto closely. so maybe we can see the new ATH but the 4 year cycle is offcourse will be more crazy in future

The 4-year cycle is undoubtedly real. Having the block reward coded to lower directly impacts the supply of the market. Since price is the result or supply vs demand, the block reward being on a 4-year reduction cycle directly causes the price to increase. This will continue until it doesn’t, at which point we’ll see a crash like never before witnessed. I think we likely have another cycle or two before that’s a big concern though. For now it’s party on.

because I believe Bitcoin hasn't really reached its true ATH in 2021 yesterday, where the 4 year cycle in 2021 is a complete failure in my view and that means no more 4 year cycles will succeed, the bear market is unlikely to last long, but this is just my speculation and by the way thanks for giving your opinion in this thread

I think Bitcoin's 4-year cycle this time will be different if the market is bullish again in the next few months,
because I've heard about an article on telegram that expert traders say that this bear market will end faster than the previous bear market,
if that happens then Bitcoin's 4 year cycle will no longer be valid

I also doubt that 2021 we have really reached ATH or not? sadly it didn't really hit $100k as expected maybe ATH might actually be there some other time, when people believe that 2021 will hit ATH and people start to believe the cycle is working, of course there won't be a price correction in mid-2021 until the price falls when that, although it's just my speculation but we will see in some time not necessarily in 2025 it will reach ATH maybe earlier or in the near future

big holders will find it easier to cheat and play with the price of bitcoin itself when the little people under them believe that the cycle is still working, when in fact the cycle is no longer working and is very ancient too because it is easy to guess.

So far, bitcoin will always repeat itself, this has become a character that will continue to do so. each approaching the halving period, bitcoin will experience a decrease in price and after the halving occurs then a few months later bitcoin will create ATH again.
bitcoin has proven that, so for those who already understand, they will usually hold on until the halving period ends.
but it is clear that investing in bitcoin requires a long time of patience and the funds are indeed quite large, because events like this happen every 4 years.

I would say it's because some entity try to push that hard last year, that bitcoin will breach $100k base on some price modeling. So now we are back to basics, I mean the price tank after that, went as low as $17k and we still didn't think it will the lowest low in this bear market.

So maybe in the next bull cycle, we might see $100k and with that, the trend will continue, unless there is some changes along the way. But I highly doubt it, 2017 and 2021 is bullish, and then the next run should be in 2025.

Unique things happen with Bitcoin every 4 years, if previously Halving Day but people will talk a lot of prices that occur every 4 years, this is because it has happened 3 times, namely the significant drop price that had previously occurred in 2014 and 2018.