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Topic: Bitcoin Project will be making a major announcement in September - page 7. (Read 53399 times)

legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1570
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending
Okay, I'm ready to make my official guess:

Bitcoin bonds


That did come to mind when talk of bonds started escalating after the Bitfloor hack. Perfect timing, if I may say so myself.

~Bruno~
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1570
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending
My tip is public organisation funded to protect and support Bitcoin, its developers and users. (NOT like FinCEN, something like EFF.org. But, wait... BitCEN Tongue)

You mean they'll accept bitcoin for a while and then decide it's too risky because of vague conflict of interest issues and dump them?


Yup, the announcement will probably be that they'll set up a legal organization that will act as an official contact and information center for everything Bitcoin related. Hence all these legal questions. It was already proposed a while ago actually.

"Bitcoin" has no phone number, that confuses the hell out of old world people.


www.theclag.org

For some reason I trust Matthew: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/ann-cryptocurrency-legal-advocacy-group-clag-76216
newbie
Activity: 45
Merit: 0

would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

Its unlikely that Apple will let anything into their environment that they can not have control over.

you mean like 3rd party market forces where they take a cut ?
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Wat
I know!

Mitt Romney is going to accept bitcoin for his campaign finance  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 675
Merit: 502
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.

How did you come up with the $100 mark for stability?

Emphasis added ^

There is no magical point at $100, but with roughly 10 million BTC out there, $100/BTC would mean $1 billion total (making some wildly inaccurate assumptions about being able to actually sell all the bitcoins for spot price).  That's starting to be significant enough to be a little more stable.  Definitely more stable than the measly $100 million we've been bouncing around near.

I disagree. Even at $100/BTC, speculators would still be trying to figure out the 'true value' of BTC. Their idea of where that true value is could range from less than $100 to thousands of dollars per BTC. That is still a huge range for radical sentiment fluctuations. Plenty of room left for 'panic' buying and selling.

When at higher numbers, such as $100/BTC, going up/down a dollar or 2 isn't a big deal. But when you are at $11 and it drops to $9, that's big. Having it at higher amounts/BTC will cause it to be less volatile. I think that's how it works anyways. I'm no economist, just my opinion.

I know of no reason to suspect that Bitcoin at $100/BTC would have greater or smaller percentage swings than it does at $11/BTC. If the price currently swings on average 8% per day ($.88) it will probably continue to swing at 8% per day ($8) at the higher price.

What will reduce volatility is when a greater fraction of people use Bitcoin for buying and selling goods and services and a smaller fraction use Bitcoin for speculation.


edit: Look at the price of gold. Is it particularly more stable at ~$1650 than it was at $400?
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500

would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

Its unlikely that Apple will let anything into their environment that they can not have control over.
full member
Activity: 166
Merit: 101

Given that the exchange rate is free-floating (as it should be), changing the block reward from halving every 210,000 blocks to a constant 50 would probably not cause much difference at all.


This is lacking context a bit.  jgarzik: please could you clarify what you believe this wouldn't cause much difference to?  Because if you're talking about the expected value of each coin, then you're worryingly and obviously wrong.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
Okay, I'm ready to make my official guess:

Bitcoin bonds
hero member
Activity: 576
Merit: 500
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.

How did you come up with the $100 mark for stability?

Emphasis added ^

There is no magical point at $100, but with roughly 10 million BTC out there, $100/BTC would mean $1 billion total (making some wildly inaccurate assumptions about being able to actually sell all the bitcoins for spot price).  That's starting to be significant enough to be a little more stable.  Definitely more stable than the measly $100 million we've been bouncing around near.

I disagree. Even at $100/BTC, speculators would still be trying to figure out the 'true value' of BTC. Their idea of where that true value is could range from less than $100 to thousands of dollars per BTC. That is still a huge range for radical sentiment fluctuations. Plenty of room left for 'panic' buying and selling.

When at higher numbers, such as $100/BTC, going up/down a dollar or 2 isn't a big deal. But when you are at $11 and it drops to $9, that's big. Having it at higher amounts/BTC will cause it to be less volatile. I think that's how it works anyways. I'm no economist, just my opinion.
sr. member
Activity: 288
Merit: 251
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.

How did you come up with the $100 mark for stability?

Emphasis added ^

There is no magical point at $100, but with roughly 10 million BTC out there, $100/BTC would mean $1 billion total (making some wildly inaccurate assumptions about being able to actually sell all the bitcoins for spot price).  That's starting to be significant enough to be a little more stable.  Definitely more stable than the measly $100 million we've been bouncing around near.

I disagree. Even at $100/BTC, speculators would still be trying to figure out the 'true value' of BTC. Their idea of where that true value is could range from less than $100 to thousands of dollars per BTC. That is still a huge range for radical sentiment fluctuations. Plenty of room left for 'panic' buying and selling.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.

How did you come up with the $100 mark for stability?

Emphasis added ^

There is no magical point at $100, but with roughly 10 million BTC out there, $100/BTC would mean $1 billion total (making some wildly inaccurate assumptions about being able to actually sell all the bitcoins for spot price).  That's starting to be significant enough to be a little more stable.  Definitely more stable than the measly $100 million we've been bouncing around near.
sr. member
Activity: 288
Merit: 251
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.

How did you come up with the $100 mark for stability?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id as a credential to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.

There is absolutely nothing that could possibly add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term because stability won't happen until we get well past $100/BTC.  Anything less is too small a market to be stable in an era of fiat money printing.
newbie
Activity: 45
Merit: 0
linking an account to an apple id would scale*


*i have no idea whether gavin et al, almost certainly including the CIA, have done a deal with apple to include a bitcoin friendly keypair in every embedded secure element in the iphone 5 out next week, using the well established apple id credentials to access the keypair to transfer funds or make purchases on the app store.**

** no really i haven't, but wouldn't it be a good idea if they had. would save apple a buck or two in fees too. can't say it would add stability to the bitcoin price in the short term tho.
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
Figured it out:
"Hey, I've got this fantastic idea!"

"Really!  Tell me all about it!"

"We're going to buy one of the islands of Greece and turn it into a libertarian country and use Bitcoin as the currency!"

"Uhh... did you talk to a lawyer about that? That might be illegal."

"Uhh... really? no."

"And where will you get the money to do it?"

"Uhhh... haven't figured that out yet."

"And if I want to participate, what should I do?"

"Uhh... I dunno, we don't really have a process for that yet..."

Idk, maybe my opinion will change after the announcement and it will be obvious why it had to be kept secret.

"Hey, I've got this fantastic idea!"

"Really!  Tell me all about it!"

"We're going to blah blah blah."

"Uhh... did you talk to a lawyer about that? That might be illegal."

"Uhh... really? no."

"And where will you get the money to do it?"

"Uhhh... haven't figured that out yet."

"And if I want to participate, what should I do?"

"Uhh... I dunno, we don't really have a process for that yet..."

I made the mistake of asking a reporter when her deadline was, because if it was far enough away I could tell her about the neat idea. I should have kept my mouth shut or sworn her to secrecy.

Announcing a half-baked idea is counterproductive; you'll just get a gazillion questions that you can't answer, or, even worse, people will assume they know the answers and then be disappointed when it turns out the idea they thought they heard you describe isn't the same idea they thought they heard.

Announcing a fully-baked idea and then modifying it based on what everybody thinks and how it works out in practice is the right way to do things, in my humble opinion.

legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
Quote
Yup, the announcement will probably be that they'll set up a legal organization that will act as an official contact and information center for everything Bitcoin related. Hence all these legal questions. It was already proposed a while ago actually.

"Bitcoin" has no phone number, that confuses the hell out of old world people.

Lol ... "the Interweb tubes bit-money people don't have a phone number, they need to get one so we can call them and complain" ....

Quite frankly, it shouldn't .... I don't know which part of "decentralised" people cannot understand. It is a democratic concept that goes back to the ancient Greeks.

Putting one guy on a phone to answer bitcoin questions from old world people will just give a whole lot of people a biased view as to what it is .... get on-line a read about, that is where it lives, how hard is that?
full member
Activity: 150
Merit: 108
My tip is public organisation funded to protect and support Bitcoin, its developers and users. (NOT like FinCEN, something like EFF.org. But, wait... BitCEN Tongue)

You mean they'll accept bitcoin for a while and then decide it's too risky because of vague conflict of interest issues and dump them?


Yup, the announcement will probably be that they'll set up a legal organization that will act as an official contact and information center for everything Bitcoin related. Hence all these legal questions. It was already proposed a while ago actually.

"Bitcoin" has no phone number, that confuses the hell out of old world people.


www.theclag.org
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1004
"Bitcoin" has no phone number, that confuses the hell out of old world people.

What's the phone number of "e-mail"?
My parents manage to use it, though.

I'm not sure I'd like to see some "legal organization" claiming to represent Bitcoin... well, let's see.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1007
Yup, the announcement will probably be that they'll set up a legal organization that will act as an official contact and information center for everything Bitcoin related. Hence all these legal questions. It was already proposed a while ago actually.

"Bitcoin" has no phone number, that confuses the hell out of old world people.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
My tip is public organisation funded to protect and support Bitcoin, its developers and users. (NOT like FinCEN, something like EFF.org. But, wait... BitCEN Tongue)

You mean they'll accept bitcoin for a while and then decide it's too risky because of vague conflict of interest issues and dump them?
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