I'm no expert financial adviser or anything of the sort, but it's my observation that bitcoins priced in the hundreds of dollars is way overvalued. And dogecoin priced at well under a penny is way undervalued.
Just went to
http://coinmarketcap.com/ and checked out the 180 day trend. It's pretty obvious to me, even as a rookie investor, that bitcoin will continue to decline and dogecoin will continue to go up. More than the trends is the fact that bitcoin's image is now tarnished or tainted if you will. Bitcoin's are used for illegal activities while dogecoin are not. Bitcoins are being targeted by hackers because of their extreme value while dogecoins are not. Bitcoins are supported by what appears to be greedy hodlers while dogecoin is supported by friendly, giving compassionate shibes. The writing is on the wall. As I've grown older over the years I've observed a human tendency to lie to oneself. People tend to believe what they want to believe and not always what's true. They let their emotions or feelings shape their beliefs. It's my observation that bitcoin hodlers are lying to themselves thinking their bitcoins are going to increase to tremendous values of $10,000 or $100,000 or whatever. Yeah right. Even after piggy backing the largest nation in the world bitcoin could only muster up enough momentum to hit $1200. Bitcoin is not an ally of law enforcement, governments or banks. It's more like the enemy. And those who hold the power will sooner than later flex their muscle and squash the bitcoin movement. Nobody is going to want to use bitcoins as their method of currency. It's not going to replace fiat. Fiat in the future will move to 100% digital so all paper trails will be monitored and controlled by the government. The converting of bitcoins to cash or cash to bitcoins will become illegal and impossible once paper money is gone. Also, once paper money is gone, there is no need for bitcoin as the digital payments made will be as easy as they already are. Just whip out your iPhone, open your bank of America or whatever bank app you have, and send someone some money.
So my speculation in summary is this. In the short term bitcoin will continue to decline in price and usage as dogecoin continues to increase in price and usage until regulations and laws squash the crypto movement at which point in time all cryptos will become illegal and worthless and cease to exist. Everyone is entitled to their own opinion and this is mine. I refuse to believe that an individual named Satoshi who wrote a computer program to basically copy a system that was already in place (a digital payment system via bank apps, paypal, etc. etc.) is going to change the way money is exchanged in the future. There are far too many more powerful people who will be taking that role. Sorry Satoshi. Sorry investors.