Only if you modify your playing strategy optimally, taking the size of the jackpot into account.
If you only know how to play optimally for a 4000 jackpot and always play that way then the pot has to reach 4921 before the game is expected to pay out 100%.
And if you're using the auto mode then it probably has to be even higher than that, since auto mode doesn't even play optimally when the pot is 4000.
1) I'll get my hard core video poker associates to take a look at this and tell me:
1a) when it's +EV to play for the progressive jackpot
and
1b) if auto-play is making the right holds and which ones, if any, are wrong. I'm pretty sure I can find some differences between the holds I saw it make and wizard of odds strategy for 9/6 jacks or better.
will run some trials in a moment and try to find an example
Hey guys -- just chiming in here.
Basically everything you guys have said is correct:
1. 4888 is the breakeven progressive jackpot, IF and only if you're playing optimally.
2. The autoplay bot does NOT play optimally, though according to Wizard of Odds, it plays very well -- 99.46%.
2.a. I don't think we're going to improve the autoplay algorithm because we plan on opening up the api for other players to write more autoplay bots. Plus, if we wrote the most optimal strategy taking into account progressive jackpot sizes, that would take all the fun out of our site:)
3. Jacks or Better does offer the highest EV for the player. We tried to pick paytables that were close enough to JoB, but we wanted JoB to be the main focus.
4. Congrats to whoever just landed the 4500 RF jackpot.
5. We've got some pretty big things coming up for everyone...stay tuned:)