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Topic: Bitcoin XT - Officially #REKT (also goes for BIP101 fraud) - page 194. (Read 378996 times)

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
Its also interesting to think about:  What happens if the fees are too HIGH (nevermind too low?).

Will users be more willing to wait for longer blocktimes and get lower fees if they think the security is ample?

There are a fair number of people (greater than, say, 'the one-percent') who don't live hand-to-mouth and who are not very sensitive to 'long' wait times.  To such people the security of the transaction is the most critical aspect.  The same people will tend to consider transaction fees in the $10's, or even $100's per to be fairly negligible.  There are enough such people in this world to create a demand for a high security system for transfer and storage of value alone, and to be fair one needs to add in the potential as a foundation upon which more flexible and well tuned systems can be built (e.g., 'sidechains'.)

The demands that the aformentioned classes of users makes on the system is conducive to having the system being well hardened against attacks of the type which will be able to complete hamstring a real-time trinket buying solution such as Paypal or XT/BIP101.  You people (excluding the shills who know exactly what I am saying) who can only see the latter use-case should understand that the former use-case will exist.  If you wish to consider it 'competition' and be actively adversarial to it is your call.  I would suggest you do not both because it doesn't make much sense and because it could elicit a response which is problematic for your cause.



I hear you, but respectfully disagree.  I think Bitcoin should strive to handle all sizes of transactions, big and small, if possible.

legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
Its also interesting to think about:  What happens if the fees are too HIGH (nevermind too low?).

Will users be more willing to wait for longer blocktimes and get lower fees if they think the security is ample?

There are a fair number of people (greater than, say, 'the one-percent') who don't live hand-to-mouth and who are not very sensitive to 'long' wait times.  To such people the security of the transaction is the most critical aspect.  The same people will tend to consider transaction fees in the $10's, or even $100's per to be fairly negligible.  There are enough such people in this world to create a demand for a high security system for transfer and storage of value alone, and to be fair one needs to add in the potential as a foundation upon which more flexible and well tuned systems can be built (e.g., 'sidechains'.)

The demands that the aformentioned classes of users makes on the system is conducive to having the system being well hardened against attacks of the type which will be able to complete hamstring a real-time trinket buying solution such as Paypal or XT/BIP101.  You people (excluding the shills who know exactly what I am saying) who can only see the latter use-case should understand that the former use-case will exist.  If you wish to consider it 'competition' and be actively adversarial to it is your call.  I would suggest you do not both because it doesn't make much sense and because it could elicit a response which is problematic for your cause.

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
Its also interesting to think about:  What happens if the fees are too HIGH (nevermind too low?).

Will users be more willing to wait for longer blocktimes and get lower fees if they think the security is ample?
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  

If there is 'no ambiguity' in your mind that is because your mind is not very flexible.  (You a tech writer?  If so, just on contract or genuine interest?)  If one burns a lot of cycles mining an invalid block it does not count toward 'cumulative work' by any definition.

I would not even take your bet if I got to define 'longest'.  I, like every other '1MBer' I can think of except perhaps MP, would be delighted to see larger blocks as long as they are safe _and_ needed.  It's possible that that could happen within the next year and that could be great news.  I think it more unlikely than not though.



I think we all know what he means.  The "main" chain of Bitcoin.  If Bitcoin forks, then whichever main chain of a fork has more work done in the blocks.

Its irrelevant since brg doesnt want to bet.


Because he know he we will lose. Obviously.

 Grin a bunch of sheeps 

I can't imagine how bored you must be to hang around spreading such platitudes.

you go on ignore
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  

If there is 'no ambiguity' in your mind that is because your mind is not very flexible.  (You a tech writer?  If so, just on contract or genuine interest?)  If one burns a lot of cycles mining an invalid block it does not count toward 'cumulative work' by any definition.

I would not even take your bet if I got to define 'longest'.  I, like every other '1MBer' I can think of except perhaps MP, would be delighted to see larger blocks as long as they are safe _and_ needed.  It's possible that that could happen within the next year and that could be great news.  I think it more unlikely than not though.



I think we all know what he means.  The "main" chain of Bitcoin.  If Bitcoin forks, then whichever main chain of a fork has more work done in the blocks.

Its irrelevant since brg doesnt want to bet.


Because he know he will lose. Obviously.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  

If there is 'no ambiguity' in your mind that is because your mind is not very flexible.  (You a tech writer?  If so, just on contract or genuine interest?)  If one burns a lot of cycles mining an invalid block it does not count toward 'cumulative work' by any definition.

I would not even take your bet if I got to define 'longest'.  I, like every other '1MBer' I can think of except perhaps MP, would be delighted to see larger blocks as long as they are safe _and_ needed.  It's possible that that could happen within the next year and that could be great news.  I think it more unlikely than not though.



I think we all know what he means.  The "main" chain of Bitcoin.  If Bitcoin forks, then whichever main chain of a fork has more work done in the blocks.

Its irrelevant since brg doesnt want to bet.
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  

If there is 'no ambiguity' in your mind that is because your mind is not very flexible.  (You a tech writer?  If so, just on contract or genuine interest?)  If one burns a lot of cycles mining an invalid block it does not count toward 'cumulative work' by any definition.

I would not even take your bet if I got to define 'longest'.  I, like every other '1MBer' I can think of except perhaps MP, would be delighted to see larger blocks as long as they are safe _and_ needed.  It's possible that that could happen within the next year and that could be great news.  I think it more unlikely than not though.

hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  

Yes you can all stop bickering about it I'm never going to spend a satoshi on such a worthless endeavour.

"Let's bet" Seriously?!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.


Regardless of anyone's definition of validity, one chain will be longer than the rest (it will contain more cumulative work).  I am betting that this (longest) chain will contain a block greater than 1 MB in size by this time next year.  

There is no ambiguity in that definition.  
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.

It's not simple at all of the blockchain forks because different groups consider different blocks to be 'valid.'  This is a very real possibility and within this timeframe.

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.


Clearly the longest proof-of-work chain built from Bitcoin's Genesis Block.  The terms and definitions are trivially simple.
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283

Clearly we haven't seen a change yet so it seems presumptuous for you to pretend knowing what the market will want "eventually".


I'll even put my money where my mouth is: I would like to wager you 1 BTC that by this time next year (September 8, 2016) that the longest proof-of-work chain will include a block greater than 1 MB in size.  If you agree, we will both deposit 1 BTC into a 2-of-3 multisig address.  We will have a neutral third-party hold the third key.  

Would you like to accept this wager?

 Roll Eyes

I am not interested in your wager Peter, I have better use for my money.

-snip-

That says a lot.

The trouble with most of these bets (which have been ubiquitous as long as I've been around) is that it is extraordinarily labor intensive to prepare the terms and definitions.  For instance, there is a very good chance that within a year there will be a >1MB block on 'the longest proof-of-work chain'.  But which chain is 'the'.

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
Maybe he doesn't have that much money or risk tolerance.

Still, you should bet at least .01 BTC if you are that confident
you are right.  Think of it as a gentlemen's multisig bet Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?

Clearly we haven't seen a change yet so it seems presumptuous for you to pretend knowing what the market will want "eventually".


I'll even put my money where my mouth is: I would like to wager you 1 BTC that by this time next year (September 8, 2016) that the longest proof-of-work chain will include a block greater than 1 MB in size.  If you agree, we will both deposit 1 BTC into a 2-of-3 multisig address.  We will have a neutral third-party hold the third key.  

Would you like to accept this wager?

 Roll Eyes

I am not interested in your wager Peter, I have better use for my money.

-snip-

That says a lot.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks

Clearly we haven't seen a change yet so it seems presumptuous for you to pretend knowing what the market will want "eventually".


I'll even put my money where my mouth is: I would like to wager you 1 BTC that by this time next year (September 8, 2016) that the longest proof-of-work chain will include a block greater than 1 MB in size.  If you agree, we will both deposit 1 BTC into a 2-of-3 multisig address.  We will have a neutral third-party hold the third key. 

Would you like to accept this wager?

 Roll Eyes

I am not interested in your wager Peter, I have better use for my money.

Let me ask you again, have you considered Adam's block extension proposal?
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
Bitcoin as it is works fine and it can scale globally as it is, the proper way to see things is to think that bitcoin simulates gold with the added property of being portable. you would not buy a soft drink using gold or a $100 dollar bill, for that reason alt coins like litecoin o dash have a purpose, we do not need 500 alt coins, but maybe a few are needed.

Bitcoin whitepaper describes it as "A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System" right in it's headline and "an electronic payment system based on cryptographic proof". Wouldn't redefining it as e-gold be breaking the social contract and alienate lot of users? Only time gold is mentioned in the whitepaper is to explain mining, not usage.

When you reduce the use cases for Bitcoin you also reduce its demand. With the reduced demand its valuation will decrease, unless you get enough new e-gold bugs to join to compensate for disappearing sectors of bitcoin economy.

As bitcoin is obviously intended to work as payment system. Wouldn't it be better to create an alternate coin with a whitepaper that tells its users that it's main purpose is to work as e-gold? No one would feel cheated and everyone would be happy.

If you felt cheated it's only because of your wrong interpretation of what Satoshi meant by p2p cash. It seems you are suggesting he meant a low-cost, frictionless means-of-exchange. Surely if that was his intention one must be left to wonder why he'd decide on an expensive and inefficient POW algorithm.

Have you considered that maybe what he truly meant was a censorship-resistant bearer instrument free of third-party reliance?

That would seem to fit the design he chose and reflect what Bitcoin is truly great at.

Understand that the use cases you refer to are not what can serve as the makings of an economy. The next paypal maybe, but not the next gold standard which is what we should all hope Bitcoin becomes. Do you have any idea of what the valuation of Bitcoin would be if we attracted a majority of the existing gold bugs? Here's a little more on this:

It is also important that you reconsider this myth that capping Bitcoin's transactions is a cap on its userbase.

Bitcoin, as is, can provide a refuge for the wealth of ANY person on the planet. It can currently accommodate an infinite amount of capital.

The distinction is important because reality shows us that actual Bitcoin users are by and large not much interested in transacting or spending their coins. A great majority of the coins in existence have been and should continue to sit pretty in their cold wallets for years to come.

Why should we expect this to be different for future users? If you believe, much like I do, that the next trove of adopters is likely to be institutional investors with an interest in Bitcoin as a commodity/asset then why should we be worried so much with the system's transactions throughput? Do you expect the Winklevies to go on a shopping frenzy with their 100,000 coins? The analogy with gold is tired but it remains true: it should be expect that most bitcoins in circulation will be stored in digital vaults and shall remain untouched for a long period of time.

All of this is to say that you should stop focusing on "mainstream" users and what you assume their interest in Bitcoin will be. We should expect these to be last in line in your mass adoption scenario.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007

Clearly we haven't seen a change yet so it seems presumptuous for you to pretend knowing what the market will want "eventually".


I'll even put my money where my mouth is: I would like to wager you 1 BTC that by this time next year (September 8, 2016) that the longest proof-of-work chain will include a block greater than 1 MB in size.  If you agree, we will both deposit 1 BTC into a 2-of-3 multisig address.  We will have a neutral third-party hold the third key. 

Would you like to accept this wager?
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007



I get your chart.

Just to play devil's advocate for a second, the cap advocates would
say that once the political measure is introduced, both the
lower and higher bounds of the miners revenue price per byte will shift up dramatically.


Correct.  Furthermore, we can even rigorously show that the equilibrium hashing rate will increase when the political measure is introduced--holding all other variables constant. 
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 504
Bitcoin replaces central, not commercial, banks
If a rule is "consensus approved" it means the rule is what the market wants.  This is why the anti-spam (1 MB) limit was enforced for the past five years.  However, now the market wants a higher limit.  It will get that higher limit eventually.

Clearly we haven't seen a change yet so it seems presumptuous for you to pretend knowing what the market will want "eventually".

Right now the "consensus approved" limit on the inflation rate is <= 25 BTC / block.  Since the market wants this limit, there is no pressure to change it.  If the market wanted a different limit--and I suspect it will when the halving hits--then we will get a different limit (in this case 12.5 BTC per block). 

Your last sentence doesn't make much sense... the halving is baked into the protocol, the market has no responsibility over the upcoming change in inflation rate unless it wants to change it.

The invisible hand of the market is always in charge of the consensus rules and will eventually prevail.  What you're missing is that since this "market" is composed of the community of Bitcoin holders, it will never vote for changes that it believes would hurt it's interest.

Funny you say that. You are aware that the same applies to the block size change? How can you claim to have a genuine picture of what the Bitcoin holders want?

I think this chart (which I've shown you several times but I don't believe you've understood) shows the effect best: the blocksize limit was accepted as an anti-spam measure.  It is no longer accepted now that it's beginning to serve as a political measure instead.  The area shaded in brown represents the unmet demand clamouring for change…

I understand it very well thank you and I do believe it continues to serve a great purpose as an anti-spam measure. Do you understand that only a fraction of the current network load are true p2p transactions between users? By all estimate we are sitting near an average of not much more than 300kb of legitimate transactions. Why would you want to lift the anti-spam measure under these conditions?
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political


 
 

I get your chart.

Just to play devil's advocate for a second, the cap advocates would
say that once the political measure is introduced, both the
lower and higher bounds of the miners revenue price per byte will shift up dramatically.


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