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Topic: Bitcoin's Dystopian Future - page 10. (Read 28200 times)

legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
November 14, 2013, 06:26:22 PM
#70
Honestly though; good post, but I think the positives will far outweigh the negatives - consider this for one: The defunding of the US government will decrease their ability to wage wars for no reason and suppress the world and their population.

Not just that, it becomes impossible for any nation to build an empire, ever.  You absolutely need a centralized currency to move huge amounts of wealth from citizens and future citizens to the state in order to build an empire, otherwise no tax-payer would ever spring for such a goal.
hero member
Activity: 815
Merit: 1000
November 14, 2013, 06:23:26 PM
#69
So you're saying we will have a bleak "future" were the pensions fall apart, some are super wealthy while the governments fail to take proper care of the middle class?

Why that would be horrendous.

Honestly though; good post, but I think the positives will far outweigh the negatives - consider this for one: The defunding of the US government will decrease their ability to wage wars for no reason and suppress the world and their population.
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1022
April 23, 2013, 12:45:11 AM
#67
we already live in the dystopian future, grandma's super/pension is being taxed and devalued out of existence already

some rumor has it, it's been that way since...*cough*.....well, it's not polite to say....but you know when what's his name and co tried.....and we would be on Mars by now....but hey you can't be blamed (well maybe a little) you only have had one side of the story all your lives....and its just to awful to find out maybe that's just what it was. One side of a story. Believe what you will
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
April 23, 2013, 12:32:53 AM
#66
Sounds interesting, but . . . heart worming projections?!
Sorry I love the phonetics guide to the English language but that must have been a Freudian slip.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1031
Rational Exuberance
April 22, 2013, 07:07:43 PM
#65
A young man living in freaking San Jose in 2013 thinks life is "bleak"...
Dude, you need to see your pastor or psychiatrist or witch doctor.

My life (in Seattle) is actually quite nice. It's the future of Grandma and everyone else that I'm worried about.

You are falling into a self fulfilling trap of despair; research Medieval Europe and the Enlightenment that came out of it, we are transitioning and yes there are problems - these problems are the result of malinvestment, and will be hard for some to deal with, but most people in the world live with some of the problems you describe daily, and that innocent grandmother who did nothing wrong, she is not so innocent, she drove a car, bought tiers for that car, the rubber for which came from the Congo in a time like the one you describe, only she indirectly funding an unjust global system she didn't take the time to research, had she, she would have seen Bitcoin as a way of elevating that extreme poverty and bought in now.  

You are projecting while maintaining the same base, the world will change community will become stronger, huge impersonal cities will be relics, but with an educated population with imperial knowledge readily available the transition to the new enlightenment (Eckhart Tolle: A New Earth) will unlikely resemble anything from the medieval dark ages.  We will have to adapt and that will look uncomfortable to some, but to about 3% of the population - not involved in Bitcoin this will be the opportunity of a lifetime.

There were some other authors I would recommend but I can't remember who they were (I just heard a book review / summary in a podcast interview), but they define generational evolution in society as seasons.  Great well researched (historically speaking) with very heart worming projections.

Try applying some of that insight to your thought experiments.  
Sounds interesting, but . . . heart worming projections?!
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
April 22, 2013, 02:03:34 PM
#64
I know I shouldn't laugh at that, but I did.
Other than that, I'm kind of surprised at the high quality of thought and discussion going on here. Thanks everybody who chimed in. Some of you actually made me feel a tiny bit better Smiley

You are falling into a self fulfilling trap of despair; research Medieval Europe and the Enlightenment that came out of it, we are transitioning and yes there are problems - these problems are the result of malinvestment, and will be hard for some to deal with, but most people in the world live with some of the problems you describe daily, and that innocent grandmother who did nothing wrong, she is not so innocent, she drove a car, bought tiers for that car, the rubber for which came from the Congo in a time like the one you describe, only she indirectly funding an unjust global system she didn't take the time to research, had she, she would have seen Bitcoin as a way of elevating that extreme poverty and bought in now.  

You are projecting while maintaining the same base, the world will change community will become stronger, huge impersonal cities will be relics, but with an educated population with imperial knowledge readily available the transition to the new enlightenment (Eckhart Tolle: A New Earth) will unlikely resemble anything from the medieval dark ages.  We will have to adapt and that will look uncomfortable to some, but to about 3% of the population - not involved in Bitcoin this will be the opportunity of a lifetime.

There were some other authors I would recommend but I can't remember who they were (I just heard a book review / summary in a podcast interview), but they define generational evolution in society as seasons.  Great well researched (historically speaking) with very heart warming projections.

Try applying some of that insight to your thought experiments.  
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
April 22, 2013, 01:33:00 PM
#63
A well presented and thought out thesis, and slightly terrifying to say the least.

Personally I feel your being overly pessimistic. Yes this is one set of possible futures. To me though, it has overlooked a key element or flood gate of the money flow into the crypto-currency world.

I don't believe bitcoin will destroy governments it will just change the way they work.

A young man living in freaking San Jose in 2013 thinks life is "bleak"...
Dude, you need to see your pastor or psychiatrist or witch doctor.

All government power flows from it's currency via taxation via Banking System...
Probably 80% of the population would chose this over anarchy.

Crypto-currencies will be co-opted by the Banking System, soon:

http://www.americanbanker.com/bankthink/governments-must-co-opt-bitcoin-to-avert-disaster-1058380-1.html

But I'm a BTC optimist solely due to it's global, international distribution...
It will be just one of many successful crypto-currencies.

full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
April 22, 2013, 12:55:45 PM
#62
... it could tax land (owners or renters)...
This ^

Except that land taxation always taxes owners not renters.

except where it doesn't, like in the uk. i wish more people here would learn more about the actual world before coming up with grand political or economic theories (or at least before trying to correct me).

There is no land value tax in the UK.

Besides, why would a land lord charge less than he otherwise could? I'll answer that for you - he won't. Therefore, tenants are already paying the maximum they can afford. That's why land value taxation hits the landlord instead.

Land rent is just privately collected tax. It's exploiting a coercive monopoly on a location.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
April 22, 2013, 12:49:52 PM
#61
If Bitcoin were to replace fiat currency, government would move from taxing incomes to taxing resources.  Think water rates, road tolls, etc.  The state system would tick along just fine.

Yes, agreed.

However, this would likely hit rent seekers the hardest. As rent seekers exploit violent monopolies in order to extract wealth from others, it would likely be a better situation than we have now.

In the UK for example, less than 1% own much of the land and charge rent upon it. As said people influence the state heavily (House of Lords etc) governments won't tax them until they absolutely have to.

That's not to say that you need a state in order to identify and respond to coercive monopolies (the state is one too, after all). It's just that they are more likely to tackle them when they have no alternative.

Ofc, at the other end of the spectrum, there is nothing stopping the state offering voluntary subscription services. They could then compete with any other service providers and if they do the best job, then good for them.

Ultimately, states will go after anything which can't be easily hidden or moved. However, expect their actions to come under close scrutiny when they can't print money and fund folly with other taxes. It's difficult to bury things in the figures when there are only a few sources of income.
hero member
Activity: 544
Merit: 500
April 22, 2013, 12:24:52 PM
#60
A glimpse into the dystopian future after the rise of bitcoin:



I know I shouldn't laugh at that, but I did.

Other than that, I'm kind of surprised at the high quality of thought and discussion going on here. Thanks everybody who chimed in. Some of you actually made me feel a tiny bit better Smiley



You must have some faith in the good of humanity or why bother even trying? Faced with a choice of two similar financial investments promising similar returns, surely more than 51% of us will choose the one most morally and environmentally beneficial to the planet and their fellow humans?

Keep steering the world in the direction you believe is the right one, and we will all be the better for it.

 I know I am.    Wink
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1031
Rational Exuberance
April 22, 2013, 09:36:04 AM
#59
A glimpse into the dystopian future after the rise of bitcoin:


I'm sorry, just couldn't resist.


I know I shouldn't laugh at that, but I did.

Other than that, I'm kind of surprised at the high quality of thought and discussion going on here. Thanks everybody who chimed in. Some of you actually made me feel a tiny bit better Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 672
Merit: 258
https://cryptassist.io
April 22, 2013, 03:06:59 AM
#58
Bitcoin allows capital flight to a degree never before seen in history.  This will enable people to vote with their feet much much more easily than ever before.  People will choose to live in places where security against physical and economic violence is best.  This should result in higher quality governance as places with poor governance experience massive capital flight, leaving them poor and ineffective.  This boon is worth minor negatives.  We must get away from the status quo in which optimizing for conquering others is a more effective strategy than optimizing for standard of living.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1003
April 21, 2013, 05:34:18 PM
#57
I think OP fails to realize that the money with decentralized currencies is going to flow to the most creative/productive and those types of people are the ones who can "create" jobs.

There will be LESS unemployment - not more. Government jobs will be eradicated, but replaced by even more free market jobs. In fact, for every regulatory agency that shuts down there will be whole new industries that spring up as a direct result.

I think the problem will be that those who have gotten their money through our current system of looting and mooching will suddenly find themselves at the bottom of the income brackets instead of the top. ( A municipal judge, having no actual productive skills, may have to work at McDonald's someday.)

To those people I say -"too bad"
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
In Hashrate We Trust!
April 21, 2013, 05:32:44 PM
#56
It is obvious to me that the OP has missed a major piece of the puzzle.

It's not just cryptocurrency that is making all of these changes... It is decentralization itself that is... And those changes will be far, far larger than monetary.

Decentralization is nothing less than the removal of power from those who have it and scattering it around to all that want it.

Decentralized governments is actually not a new concept, between 10th to 15th century Italian cities was independent states.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italian_city-states

With the help of technology and p2p currencies it is easier and more efficient to run small states today than 1000 years ago. When our current governments fail, smaller states will be formed which means smaller gap between the leaders and the people. When people have a stronger connection to their government they will also be more loyal to each other and the government which decreases the chance of the worst case scenarios.

Switzerland is a good example of a functioning small country with decentralized democracy already:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_democracy#Switzerland
hero member
Activity: 526
Merit: 508
My other Avatar is also Scrooge McDuck
April 21, 2013, 04:48:26 PM
#55
It is obvious to me that the OP has missed a major piece of the puzzle.

It's not just cryptocurrency that is making all of these changes... It is decentralization itself that is... And those changes will be far, far larger than monetary.

Decentralization is nothing less than the removal of power from those who have it and scattering it around to all that want it.

Gnutella was technically the first decentralized program. (That I know of.) They may have fizzled, but today we have Bittorrent, Mega, and TOR, among others, to share information through. Together these make IP laws start to seem kinda silly.

Bitcoin is a bigger jump, because it represents half the economy; any product or service that someone wants to sell, worldwide, we can now buy in a decentralized way. But it's just the buying half...

3D Printing using DEFCAD search and the resulting industry built around downloadable products will represent an even larger jump... They are the other half of the economy, and everything one could sell will eventually be manufactured and sold this way. (Destroying pretty much all existing industry worldwide.)

But that's not all! What else can we decentralize?

Well, if the government does it today, why can't we decentralize that too?

Security? But of course. Why use the .govs police when you can have free-market security services bought and sold in a decentralized environment?

Law? No problem. There are already websites like judge.me that offer non-nationalized law... Making those into a decentralized solution would be childsplay.

Whenever you think it can't be decentralized, trust me, it can. Even roads can be built privately, and decentralized marketplaces can expedite them. Fire services? Same as security. It can all be done without any government once the interest to do so is there.

So I submit that bitcoin's influence on our future is one of many 'decentralizers.' -And not the largest one by far.


One much more likely outcome is that US government will pass a bill to have full and unrestricted access to ISP traffic, outlaw peer-to-peer technology and cryptography in all forms, and crack down on anyone they catch using cryptography and / or peer-to-peer technology.
So I guess you haven't heard yet that you don't have to use their internet?

We'll all be our own ISPs in a few short years. Wireless Mesh networking is real tech and they've even had it in the One-Laptop-Per-Child computers for several years now.

The range of wifi has been the largest stumbling block, however we are only 1 wifi standard away from having complete and total wireless freedom without any centralized points in it that governments can control.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
April 21, 2013, 04:48:01 PM
#54
All the world’s wealth has essentially been stolen, but by whom? By you, dear reader.

We’ll be very lucky if we aren’t all rounded up and summarily executed. Thankfully, you’ll be able to use some of that money to purchase protection, but I’m not at all convinced that it will be enough. A wrathful government backed by an enraged population is a fearful enemy. Satoshi foresaw this long ago, and I doubt he/she/it/they will ever voluntarily come into the light.
Nah, everyone else will just mine Bytecoin, Trytecoin, Crumbcoin, or Hexcoin or whatever name they come up with next.  Tongue Bitcoin's current value is based mostly on the fact that most people don't know how it works. Once the other iterations of bitcoins start getting attention, the value will probably even out between them.

Ever heard about the network effect?

He obviously hasn't  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1019
April 21, 2013, 04:09:54 PM
#53
All the world’s wealth has essentially been stolen, but by whom? By you, dear reader.

We’ll be very lucky if we aren’t all rounded up and summarily executed. Thankfully, you’ll be able to use some of that money to purchase protection, but I’m not at all convinced that it will be enough. A wrathful government backed by an enraged population is a fearful enemy. Satoshi foresaw this long ago, and I doubt he/she/it/they will ever voluntarily come into the light.
Nah, everyone else will just mine Bytecoin, Trytecoin, Crumbcoin, or Hexcoin or whatever name they come up with next.  Tongue Bitcoin's current value is based mostly on the fact that most people don't know how it works. Once the other iterations of bitcoins start getting attention, the value will probably even out between them.

Ever heard about the network effect?
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
April 21, 2013, 03:33:56 PM
#52
All the world’s wealth has essentially been stolen, but by whom? By you, dear reader.

We’ll be very lucky if we aren’t all rounded up and summarily executed. Thankfully, you’ll be able to use some of that money to purchase protection, but I’m not at all convinced that it will be enough. A wrathful government backed by an enraged population is a fearful enemy. Satoshi foresaw this long ago, and I doubt he/she/it/they will ever voluntarily come into the light.
Nah, everyone else will just mine Bytecoin, Trytecoin, Crumbcoin, or Hexcoin or whatever name they come up with next.  Tongue Bitcoin's current value is based mostly on the fact that most people don't know how it works. Once the other iterations of bitcoins start getting attention, the value will probably even out between them.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
In Hashrate We Trust!
April 21, 2013, 11:26:49 AM
#51
The OP believes that criminality will increase if anonymity can be guaranteed in communications and transactions but we already have criminality and trafficking today. The society won't change a lot because of some more anonymity.

Anonymity is a tool. You can use it for good or bad. I believe the consciousness and morality of humanity is evolving, therefore increased anonymity is not a threat to the society.

Some people thinks that the rulers (Governments, Bankers and Big Corporations) will buy into bitcoin, they probably won't.
The rulers will watch how the bitcoin experiment unfolds, learn from it and create their own cryptocurrency. Their primary goal will of course be control, so they design their cryptocurrency in a way that gives them 100% control over who, where and when was involved in each transaction, each wallet must be connected to a person or company. Cash-fiat will be totally abandoned since it is anonymous. Gold, Silver coins might emerge as an easy alternative for anonymous transactions offline.
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