You guys are all the same - except for the real dummies here who just get whipsawed by your blather. Yeah... who are we kidding?
In response to any specific challenge you either make grand statements about civilization, global politics, and economics in general, or drop back to charting minutiae because, well, charts drive the market. Or a half dozen other obfuscatory arguments.
Anunymint is most regrettable, though most risible, because his acidic ranting is so inflammatory. Those with no knowledge of history or any perspective, and perhaps with few personal prospects, will be attracted and possibly radicalized. Hitler worked the same way. Anunymint (A) posits destruction of conventional finance (!) but... but (B) in such a way that his blockchain accounts are still valued (!) which requires believing that (C) it's all a world government conspiracy, ignoring the fact that (D) our governments couldn't secretly conspire on a surprise party at McDonalds and (E) that the 300 million desperate folks around him won't come for his assets while (F) farmers will still give him bread for BTC. I could go on, but the man is a fool. Or a complete hypocrite and just writes crap like that as hysteria clickbait for his blog.
Extasie and others resort to exaggeration, distortion, and slogan. How can I know the future utility of bitcoin? How can such an asset be worthless? How can we value censorship resistance (yeah, how can we - beg the question much)? On and on.
What I said and showed was clear. The 2017 bulge in bitcoin value was manufactured. So it will tend to sink back to its former value. Too little has changed in the macro picture to drive anything else. What about that don't you understand? I gave you numbers: $400-$600 in 18 months. So then you switch from generalities to argue about the exact value... It doesn't matter - your account will drop by 90%! Or 85%. Or 95%. It's all terrible.
https://imgur.com/a/QTYOQyLThen, because I'm in mutual funds - an utterly different vehicle - I have to somehow compare aspects of those with aspects of bitcoin, as if that's relevant to the main point.
I never said bitcoin won't someday be very valuable! Maybe it will; nobody knows. I never said it doesn't have profound economic and perhaps social significance. I'm in awe of blockchain technology and hope it will help the world. But between now and the end of 2019, the MOST LIKELY (read that phrase and THINK ABOUT IT - those that have the brainpower) event for BTC is a coastdown to near its pre-Q3 2017 level. If you're simply betting, you never go against "most likely".
Clelland wants to bet. I won't really, but would in theory be glad to put down $10K if I could get 20:1 odds on the BTC 30-day MA reaching $600 in 18 months + 30 days. Or 10:1 odds on $800. Or something similar. So big forum guys with all the answers (and I mean literally), who would take that bet? Remember that by the time you have to pay off (in dollars), your bitcoin will be worth one-tenth of what it is today.
You'll find me on the sidelines, as stated. I wouldn't put a nickel into bitcoin right now.