So if this fight came into reality, not sure who will be the favorite, maybe just a slight on favor on Crawford. So it's really up to Spence to show up in this fight and maybe motivated if he will indeed the underdog as he has better resume and opposition and has more belt in the table that could swing the 60-40 purse split on him.
I think it's the other way around and Spence will be the slight favorite. But odds shouldn't that gap.
Yes, maybe just a couple, give or take, but it will not be further by maybe .10 or something. I reckon it could be like 1.8x to 1.9x as the opening line. We will just have to wait and see who is the favorite.
We still don't know the reason why the fight is still not officially announced but based on some article lurking around, we can assume that it's about the possible split. I don't know but if it's true that Crawford doesn't like the 60-40, I think he's not the Crawford before that eyes for long in facing Spence. I think regardless of the split, of course as long as it's reasonable, he will take the much smaller cut just to settle things with Spence.
Years, ago when Crawford is still with Arum, there are articles that says Spence is calling for 80/20 or 70/30. But in the last year or two, I think Crawford has close that gap, with his win against Porter.
After all, if he managed to successfully beat Spence, he will become the undisputed Welterweight champion and can demand a much higher cut in his future fight. And knowing Spence, he can bring more PPV to the fight and is known to always have a sold-out ticket in his every fight. That alone is a reason why 40% is still good money in return for Crawford.
Crawford can like it that way, if he beat Spence he will have all the belts. And as we call it, become the A-side in negotiations. If they will have the rematch, then it will be the opposite, he can demand a 60 or higher split and Spence will have to say yes as he doesn't have the bargaining power in the table.