In this sport, we all know that it's not impossible for the heavy favorite to lose the fight, just a single solid lucky punch that converts
Tapales road to win will take his name on top!
Upsets, that's what we call them, and they can happen in any combat sport, not just in boxing. Pacquiao wasn't always the favorite before he became a legend; he had to challenge and defeat formidable opponents to become the only eight-division world champion. So, it's entirely possible for Tapales, especially since he's putting in the hard work, trying to find Inoue's weaknesses and exploit them.
However, please take note that fans often base their expectations on past results, and Inoue, who is currently a top pound-for-pound boxer, is naturally expected to win. But remember, it's just an expectation.
Upsets do happen, but they're not a frequent occurrence. So, as a bettor, you'd usually pick the better fighter to win. However, when you're supporting your fellow countryman boxer, it's a different story. You might not objectively assess who the better fighter is, as your decision could be slightly biased.
That's what we call smart money, specially for big whales in boxing, most of the time they will really bet big on the favorite, millions of dollars. And in this case Inoue has proven that he is a great boxer and so majority of us here see that he could be the eventual winner although we haven't seen them stepping in the ring yet. And with that, even if the odds doesn't look for us regular bettors, but for whales, they will take that one and make a risk. But it's not a assurance, that's why it's gambling, we've seen odds as 1.01 and someone big betting on it and then eventually lost.
But maybe for us who don't have the big pockets, and obviously supporting our own boxers here, why not throw a couple for Filipino Tapales. He is going to be a huge underdog and as we have seen, sometimes all you need is that one lucky punch. So our mind might say, Inoue, but being a Filipino, we will support Marlon Tapales no matter what, just like when we supported him against Akhmadaliev.
At least let's discuss the real odds here so we know what we're talking about. A betting odds of 1.01 isn't going to happen, especially in a unification fight where both fighters hold two belts that they're looking to unify. Such odds would be quite disrespectful to the other champion if Inoue had them.
Odds coming from this website
https://www.oddschecker.com/us/boxing-mma/boxing/naoya-inoue-v-marlon-tapalesSuggest that Inoue is -1000, means 1.10 in decimal odds, 10% of your bet is your winning if you bet on him and he'll win.
So the question is, will the smart money going to the odds like that? I mean, if they truly believe Inoue will win easily, it could be an easy 10% return on their millions of dollars in bets. They're risking a significant amount for a relatively lower reward, but if they have absolute confidence in the outcome, I think they'll bet on this one.
