I also like to look at it this way...
here's 2 scenarios for the average trader:
Trader #1: the cautious type
-always stores coins outside of exchanges
-has a solid entry, exit, & stoploss strategy before taking the trade
-has some sort of "bankroll" management and never puts more than a certain percentage into a single trade
Trader #2: the ambitious newbie
-likes the idea of margin trading because he thinks it can boost his profits
-habitually stores coins on exchanges
-has little concept of "bankroll management" and routinely puts more than 50% of his current account balance on a single leveraged trade
Trader #1 has set himself up to remove all unnecessary risk, as well as found a comfortable level of "risk" so he can sleep at night and isn't constantly worried about his position. He has a plan & knows he can afford to lose a few trades and still live to trade another day.
Trader #2 is seeing Altcoin-bought Lambos and has his judgement clouded. He neglects to realize that his leveraged position not only carries Margin-call risk, but also carries the risk of the exchange taking off with his coins. His leveraged position will also have giant swings in value, giving him a larger chance of trading on fear/emotion & closing his position at a loss.
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Now let's talk about the fallacy of Margin trading:
With 2.5x leverage (Poloniex), you aren't really doing that much... in example:
balance: 1 btc
100% of balance @ 1 leverage = 1 btc (buying outright gives you zero chance of force liquidation because the coins are actually yours)
50% of balance @ 2.5 leverage = 1.25 btc (+0.25 extra trading capital)
75% of balance @ 2.5 leverage = 1.875 btc (+0.875 extra trading capital)
Current hypothetical saltcoin price: 0.001
Now let's say you open a long salt/btc position for 75% of your balance using full 2.5x leverage for 1.875 btc total. You now need to keep 20% of the borrowed value (1.875 * 20% = 0.375 btc) in your account at all times or you will have a forced liquidation.
1.875 btc / 0.001 = 1875 saltcoins
now say tomorrow saltcoins drop to 0.0009, a 10% decrease:
0.0009 * 1875 = 1.687 btc (-0.188 total loss & current balance of 0.812 btc)
now say the next day saltcoin drops to 0.00072, a 20% decrease:
0.00072 * 1875 = 1.35 btc (-0.535 total loss & current balance of 0.465 btc)
now say the next day saltcoin drops to 0.000666, a 7% decrease:
0.000666 * 1875 - 1.2487 btc (-0.6263 total loss & current balance of 0.3737 btc)
The salt is real.By just day three,
Trader #2 is now in forced liquidation, if he is lucky he will walk away with 0.35 btc out of the 1 btc he deposited, a 65% forced loss due to a 37% move.
Was it worth the extra 0.875 btc to have the risk of being margin called? I see coins move 35% EVERY DAY gentlemen, you lose your edge by not being able to hold through the down days... The same thing can be said for using 50% of your balance margin trading on 2.5x leverage, is the 0.25 btc extra trading capital worth the added risk of a margin-call?
Sounds like a good way to rig it against your favor, and these numbers don't even begin to include interest rate payments.
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Say both
Trader #1 &
Trader #2 get lucky and call the market correctly. Saltcoin rises 10x.
Trader #1 has turned his 1 btc investment into 10 btc, a fantastic profit, with minimal risk of losing their coins to an exchange hack & zero risk of a forced liquidation.
Trader #2 has turned his 1 btc investment into 18.75 btc (minus interest) with giant risk of being margin called (*think bitfinex flash crash*) and absolutely zero ways to mitigate the risk of storing his coins on an exchange.
Trader #1 trades for longevity & a prosperous future.
Trader #2 just wants a Lambo and doesn't mind gambling.
What type of trader are you?
(Lol sorry Canada)