The dilution fee is way too high in my opinion.
Let´s take the hypothetical example of a guy, who is in love
with a girl, who only dates 6+ ft guys, who have more than 20 million $ in
their bank account and own several properties in exquisite
towns across various continents. In order to at least have a remote
shot at getting a date with this girl, he decides to get his
precious Bitcoins from cold storage with the aim of
investing them all into the Bustabit bankroll - his only
shot at getting the money to get a date with the girl
of his dreams.
1. He deposits and invests the 1000 BTC at Bustabit and his investment
immediately declines to 980 BTC due to the 2 % dilution fee.
2. At the time of writing his investment would represent
a share of ~15 % of the total bankroll (1000 BTC / 5539 BTC (currently invested) + 1000 BTC (his investment)).
3. The investors have an expectation of 0.75 BTC for every 100 BTC that are wagered.
4. Let´s say players lose a combined 100 BTC in the month of February and the house bankroll therefore
increases by 75 BTC. If we assume that no additional investments or divestments have been made, the
hypothetical investor gets 15 % of this amount, which is roughly 11.25 BTC.
5. Even though he was invested for a month and the house made a healthy profit of
100 BTC (which is far from guaranteed) he is still down a whopping 8.75 BTC due
to the dilution fee. With the used numbers players would need to lose at
least a combined ~178 BTC just so he can recoup this
daylight robbery dilution fee.
If players run exceptionally well or a whale puts a dent in the house bankroll, it could
take our guy months just to breakeven due to the dilution fee.
I understand the rationale behind the dilution fee, but I think that it is too heavily
skewed towards protecting existing investors at the cost of attracting new investors.
Now you will probably argue that the site bankroll is already the biggest of all BTC sites
and the max profit is high enough, which is why Bustabit doesn´t really need
additional BTC investments. But this misses the obvious fact that many investors
tend to gamble from time to time and investors going crazy (or simply trying to recoup
investment losses by gambling) has been the fuel for
a big percentage of site profits from time immemorial (the Just-Dice days
).
A dilution fee is fine, but the breakeven point shouldn´t be reached after several
months for a new investor if we assume that the site makes a profit. Of course
you can´t protect new investors from a downturn due to players running better then
expected.
I´m not sure whether I should be more appalled at the entitlement mentality of
the woman in my example or at the daylight robbery dilution fee that new
investors are currently charged at Bustabit
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And of course Happy Birthday to Bustabit!