2012: Bitcoin goes from $12 to $1000 = ~9,000% increase
2016: Bitcoin goes from $650 to $19K = ~3,000% increase
2020: Bitcoin goes from $8K to $69K = ~1,200% increase
2024: ?
Notice how, in every consecutive cycle, the #Bitcoin returns get smaller by about ~60%.
That would imply a 450% price increase this cycle, putting Bitcoin at ~$330,000 per coin.
hereThe idea that Bitcoin has an occurrence cycle or a pattern that Bitcoin will go up because it has gone up in the past has blinded so may person to make ideal instead of realistic decisions in their investment. I presume that you are trying to give us an actual theory of why Bitcoin will maintain its value and grow over time, but you have to be realistic in doing so.
I think the value of an asset concerning time should be measured based on the quantity of the asset you have accumulated so far.
$65k = 1BTC (Longevity for one year period, perhaps value increases to 70K then profit should be 5k)
$20 = 0.00031 BTC (Longevity for one year period, perhaps value increases to 70k then profit is less than 5$)
We can be having little portion of Bitcoin or invest little and be expecting a good profit after Hodling. What should be focused on is accumulation. Every strategy that will make us have enough of Bitcoin.
An investor will fully understand how to invest from here, because once you buy the dip it will hit the highest level in the next bull market.
You're wrong here and you are giving yourself unrealistic things that were not promised by Bitcoin, and you are mistaken about everything in general. Buying the dip can be appealing but it is not a guaranteed strategy. Bitcoin is known for volatility so you should understand it. The price can go up x% and go down X% overnight for any reason. There is no guarantee that a dip you buy will be the lowest point before the next bull run. As an investor always be prepared that the uncertainty is high, and Bitcoin can go both directions. Which is the main reason why it is advisable that we should DCA and while doing that we can keep some cash for dips if it happens.