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Topic: Buy the DIP, and HODL! - page 253. (Read 123911 times)

member
Activity: 174
Merit: 50
March 26, 2024, 08:55:09 AM
That's it, while the major institutions can do whatever they can and are able to buy in bulk and thousands of bitcoin. We as simple investors can do little by buying through DCA. And if you're onto the point that you want to sell, the matter is on how you are satisfied for your time of selling. But as you can see, many from the forum don't want to sell as soon as possible and there are more prolonged plans that they'd sell at the right time with a better pricing and no one knows when that time is going to come. As soon as you're wanting to cash out and you're happy with the price and that's how you reward yourself then do it.
We cannot compare what large institutions do with the investments we make. However, in this case we can conclude that currently many large companies are buying bitcoin, so don't sell your BTC holdings to those who might have difficulty finding a cheaper price like the first purchase we made. The level of complacency is always there but for now we have to be against taking it because in the coming years bitcoin will be more expensive and that is because of the scarcity that is occurring.

You have brought up a very relevant part, many big institutions have already publicly announced to buy bitcoins and many institutions are buying secretly. If small bitcoin investors like us don't decide to sell at this time it's price will go more high. For now holding is going to be easy business for us. Big institutes can buy bitcoin to meet their needs but we shouldn't sell bitcoin there. So your bitcoin keep in holding status for now.
hero member
Activity: 1358
Merit: 627
March 26, 2024, 08:02:34 AM
That's it, while the major institutions can do whatever they can and are able to buy in bulk and thousands of bitcoin. We as simple investors can do little by buying through DCA. And if you're onto the point that you want to sell, the matter is on how you are satisfied for your time of selling. But as you can see, many from the forum don't want to sell as soon as possible and there are more prolonged plans that they'd sell at the right time with a better pricing and no one knows when that time is going to come. As soon as you're wanting to cash out and you're happy with the price and that's how you reward yourself then do it.
We cannot compare what large institutions do with the investments we make. However, in this case we can conclude that currently many large companies are buying bitcoin, so don't sell your BTC holdings to those who might have difficulty finding a cheaper price like the first purchase we made. The level of complacency is always there but for now we have to be against taking it because in the coming years bitcoin will be more expensive and that is because of the scarcity that is occurring.

All those who come to invest in cryptocurrency (BTC) invest their capital by analisis the market,whatever you call trading and long term. The BTC market is a bit more volatile so it may take some time to understand but most investors are very skilled.
It is doubtful that there are any precedents for bad experiences in terms of bitcoin. As far as I know no one has suffered from short term investments in bitcoin. If someone is in too much of a hurry, it's a different matter. In the long run Bitcoin gives you greater protection of your principal. On the other hand short-term investing can cause your nerves to fray every moment. So everyone wants to protect themselves first.
Even though your explanation is confusing, I understand that you want to provide a constructive narrative on Bitcoin investment. It's just that you can mention Bitcoin directly without having to include Crypto. Apart from that, if you want to invest for the long term then don't get mixed up with trading.

If you are a beginner you can start with $10 with the DCA strategy, of course that is quite a start in approaching Bitcoin. Of course, when starting an investment, we may have to manage it as well as possible, especially since we are investing with $10, so at each stage we have to continue buying regularly every week.
member
Activity: 56
Merit: 3
March 26, 2024, 07:02:06 AM
Maybe your first few months into your accumulation might not follow the best order and you might probably not buy at the best rate or with the right amount but the reality is that you learn more by doing rather than wishing or making multiple plans that end up not being executed. Like boss JJG rightly said, it's not a complex thing as some people are taking it, you just have to start somewhere even though it's as low as $10 or $100 depending on what's convenient for you. Thier is this feeling that's associated with seeing real result which will help you accumulate more. As long as you've started already, thier is a high probability that you will likely accumulate more but if you're yet to start, then it's almost certain that you will have to wait much longer thierby putting yourself in a position where you will possibly buy at a higher price than you should have bought it if you hard started earlier.

People may doubt on something they want to get in since at first they don't have knowledge about investing on bitcoin since this is new to them but once they got a lot of experience and learnings about what's better investment for them for sure that they will find holding is more better since they would compare all the losses they get from frequent trading than by just holding itself. Also for sure they would learn that its not stressful to execute this type of investment so for sure that once they learn and experience the worst on their early part of trying to earn with bitcoin they could figure out that holding is more better whatever figures they put for long term purposes.
All those who come to invest in cryptocurrency (BTC) invest their capital by analisis the market,whatever you call trading and long term. The BTC market is a bit more volatile so it may take some time to understand but most investors are very skilled.
It is doubtful that there are any precedents for bad experiences in terms of bitcoin. As far as I know no one has suffered from short term investments in bitcoin. If someone is in too much of a hurry, it's a different matter. In the long run Bitcoin gives you greater protection of your principal. On the other hand short-term investing can cause your nerves to fray every moment. So everyone wants to protect themselves first.
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 603
March 26, 2024, 05:26:03 AM
DCA never gets old and it's the strategy that the majority of us is aware of. What we need to plan is to get on how long we're going to hold the bitcoins you've bought. If you have no exit plan, that's just fine and you can get some portion of it when you want to and sell it at your will if you need some extra cash for some purposes that you need to spend it.

DCA will be the most used method especially that majority of us can't buy bitcoins in bulk  then people will go use this strategy since they can buy their bitcoins on regular intervals depends on when they can afford to do it. I think planning to sell well depends on situation and the needs of the holder itself since if he feel that he need to cashout something then they must sell their profits nothing can stop them or tell that its wrong since that's profit already they can earn that back since your balance left will still generate you a profit and also you can do your interval accumulation once you are ready again to accumulate.
That's it, while the major institutions can do whatever they can and are able to buy in bulk and thousands of bitcoin. We as simple investors can do little by buying through DCA. And if you're onto the point that you want to sell, the matter is on how you are satisfied for your time of selling. But as you can see, many from the forum don't want to sell as soon as possible and there are more prolonged plans that they'd sell at the right time with a better pricing and no one knows when that time is going to come. As soon as you're wanting to cash out and you're happy with the price and that's how you reward yourself then do it.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 1228
March 26, 2024, 03:40:13 AM

It is not as hard as you are wanting to make it out to be.

Just get started.. $10 per week or whatever you can afford, and then look at the matter 10 years from now and see where you are at.

It can not be said hard to start, invest, or afford. I can say stay with "regularity or continue" then 10th years or something. The real problem arises when someone stops investing after a few months.
it's not always an easy thing to start up investing and sometimes people wile away a good amount of time trying to figure out when best to start buying. the best thing you can do for yourself is to first start and along the line you will see how things goes for yourself.

Maybe your first few months into your accumulation might not follow the best order and you might probably not buy at the best rate or with the right amount but the reality is that you learn more by doing rather than wishing or making multiple plans that end up not being executed. Like boss JJG rightly said, it's not a complex thing as some people are taking it, you just have to start somewhere even though it's as low as $10 or $100 depending on what's convenient for you. Thier is this feeling that's associated with seeing real result which will help you accumulate more. As long as you've started already, thier is a high probability that you will likely accumulate more but if you're yet to start, then it's almost certain that you will have to wait much longer thierby putting yourself in a position where you will possibly buy at a higher price than you should have bought it if you hard started earlier.

People may doubt on something they want to get in since at first they don't have knowledge about investing on bitcoin since this is new to them but once they got a lot of experience and learnings about what's better investment for them for sure that they will find holding is more better since they would compare all the losses they get from frequent trading than by just holding itself. Also for sure they would learn that its not stressful to execute this type of investment so for sure that once they learn and experience the worst on their early part of trying to earn with bitcoin they could figure out that holding is more better whatever figures they put for long term purposes.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 255
March 26, 2024, 02:56:14 AM

It is not as hard as you are wanting to make it out to be.

Just get started.. $10 per week or whatever you can afford, and then look at the matter 10 years from now and see where you are at.

It can not be said hard to start, invest, or afford. I can say stay with "regularity or continue" then 10th years or something. The real problem arises when someone stops investing after a few months.
it's not always an easy thing to start up investing and sometimes people wile away a good amount of time trying to figure out when best to start buying. the best thing you can do for yourself is to first start and along the line you will see how things goes for yourself.

Maybe your first few months into your accumulation might not follow the best order and you might probably not buy at the best rate or with the right amount but the reality is that you learn more by doing rather than wishing or making multiple plans that end up not being executed. Like boss JJG rightly said, it's not a complex thing as some people are taking it, you just have to start somewhere even though it's as low as $10 or $100 depending on what's convenient for you. Thier is this feeling that's associated with seeing real result which will help you accumulate more. As long as you've started already, thier is a high probability that you will likely accumulate more but if you're yet to start, then it's almost certain that you will have to wait much longer thierby putting yourself in a position where you will possibly buy at a higher price than you should have bought it if you hard started earlier.
sr. member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 270
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
March 26, 2024, 02:34:06 AM

It is not as hard as you are wanting to make it out to be.

Just get started.. $10 per week or whatever you can afford, and then look at the matter 10 years from now and see where you are at.

It can not be said hard to start, invest, or afford. I can say stay with "regularity or continue" then 10th years or something. The real problem arises when someone stops investing after a few months.
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 205
March 26, 2024, 02:15:09 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.
In order to invest in Bitcoin using the DCA method, you must first have an income source. If you don't have an income source, it will be difficult to hold the investment for long. You spend the money you need and invest some of the remaining money in the DCA method on a monthly or weekly basis. You should continue investing with DCA method for long time. You will invest according to your ability. If you can't invest long time with DCA method then you won't be successful.

You are actually right on this, most people have fail to understand that when it comes to Bitcoin investment, it's more suitable for a long term investor, because the current value of Bitcoin as of today doesn't reflect on the actual potential of Bitcoin price in the future, and due to it limited supply, it's even more certain that it will be more valuable, even in it price in the nearest future.

And as for the DCA method, you have actually said it all, without a source of income, it's very difficult to hold unto your investment, because you will definitely have bills to pay, and you wouldn't have to look towards your investment direction if you really want to hold on tight, for a very long time.
full member
Activity: 476
Merit: 141
March 26, 2024, 02:05:00 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.

DCA method is very good if you can plan properly.  Because how long you can keep your hold alive under DCA method will depend on your plan. So with DCA method if you can use the plan properly then you are definitely successful.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 285
March 26, 2024, 01:36:52 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.
In order to invest in Bitcoin using the DCA method, you must first have an income source. If you don't have an income source, it will be difficult to hold the investment for long. You spend the money you need and invest some of the remaining money in the DCA method on a monthly or weekly basis. You should continue investing with DCA method for long time. You will invest according to your ability. If you can't invest long time with DCA method then you won't be successful.
In as much as the DCA method is perfectly designed to meet everyone investment plan, let's also be careful about what we teach others or make them believe. I don't agree with you that if you don't invest with DCA method that you won't be successful. There are many successful bitcoin investors who didn't invest with DCA and today they are successful. People who invested with lump sum are successful in their bitcoin journey or are they not? The DCA method is effective no doubt about that, but saying if you don't use that method alone that someone won't be successful is wrong and that's not what is being taught here.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 31
March 26, 2024, 01:00:18 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.
Definitely DCAing is a great collaborative tool especially for low income people.You can invest in Bitcoin on a weekly or monthly basis according to your income and it is relatively easy. Your will power is a big factor in this. Choosing Bitcoin and DCAing as an investment can be challenging for some.
sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 345
Catalog Websites
March 26, 2024, 12:48:50 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.
In order to invest in Bitcoin using the DCA method, you must first have an income source. If you don't have an income source, it will be difficult to hold the investment for long. You spend the money you need and invest some of the remaining money in the DCA method on a monthly or weekly basis. You should continue investing with DCA method for long time. You will invest according to your ability. If you can't invest long time with DCA method then you won't be successful.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 252
March 26, 2024, 12:39:40 AM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.
DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.

It is not as hard as you are wanting to make it out to be.

Just get started.. $10 per week or whatever you can afford, and then look at the matter 10 years from now and see where you are at.

In other words, a guy like you needs a 10-20year investment plan, and maybe you should not even look at it in 10 years, just keep buying and at some point it might make sense for you to tweak your plan, even though we likely can presume that as soon as you go to tweak it you are going to end up fucking it up.. .. because you just cannot resist thinking about getting fiats as soon as possible... so yeah, you might not be eligible to buy bitcoin, because there is a need to be able to defer gratification... and DCA can help in that regard.  You just have to figure out what is a reasonable amount of money that you can put away weekly and not get tempted to dip into t for 10 years or longer.
You're right DCA not hard when you're using it properly, as long one is using the money he can afford to start his DCAing either monthly or weekly. Aslong the individual is being consistent with it for about 10-20 years he or she will definitely go far with hiss accumulation, securing a better and mature portfolio. Where alot of people do missed it , is when they are trying to be aggressive as they can without a strong source. Expecially that are not too financially stable, using more than they can afford in accumulating without thinking of having emergency funds. So individual would endup selling his investment at the wrong time , he won't be able to keep up with his expenses and same time with his investment. That why one need to be aggressive base on their financial capability.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
March 25, 2024, 11:22:09 PM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.
DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.

It is not as hard as you are wanting to make it out to be.

Just get started.. $10 per week or whatever you can afford, and then look at the matter 10 years from now and see where you are at.

In other words, a guy like you needs a 10-20year investment plan, and maybe you should not even look at it in 10 years, just keep buying and at some point it might make sense for you to tweak your plan, even though we likely can presume that as soon as you go to tweak it you are going to end up fucking it up.. .. because you just cannot resist thinking about getting fiats as soon as possible... so yeah, you might not be eligible to buy bitcoin, because there is a need to be able to defer gratification... and DCA can help in that regard.  You just have to figure out what is a reasonable amount of money that you can put away weekly and not get tempted to dip into t for 10 years or longer.
sr. member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 270
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
March 25, 2024, 11:11:47 PM
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you
May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.

DCA is definitely a great collaborative tool, but it's very difficult to use it properly. The reason is that most people make mistakes in regular investment. In this case, it seems to me that there is no problem with the DCA method, the problem is with our decision here.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 355
The great city of God 🔥
March 25, 2024, 10:50:24 PM
I left for a while to get ahead with some research concerning what DCA is all about, so basically it's all about splitting your capital into equal parts and investing then on intervals, so let's say I have 500$ to invest in bitcoin, I can just divide it into 4 parts which would be 125$ and invest them weekly,
Not exactly what they mean. Because from your explanation you sound like dividing your income into 4 parts and be investing %25 every week, if that is what you mean you got it wrong. Investing in  DCA can be quit different from people narrative, First of all you have to get a job which either pays you weekly or monthly if for example you get a weekly payments of about $100 just for example, you may decide to split it into 4  parts which may be 25 * 4 $25 for bitcoin Investment &25 for emergency $25 for reserved fund $25 for feeding and note my application might differ from your own you can as well invest as low as $10 in Bitcoin per week $20 for emergency $20 for reserved and $50 for feeding depending on how large your house hold may be . But if you are Alone you may decide to also invest $30 in Bitcoin per week and program the rest as it suites you. DCA strategy is just a strategy to accumulate btc per week by buying bitcoin in fraction or Little portion and also setting aside some other fund so that it will not affect your accumulated btc by selling it off when it's not yet time. And mind you in which ever way you decide to split your investment it doesn't matter what matters is how you can be able to maintain the system of accumulation continuously without having a thought of selling the btc, because the btc holding is the main Target 🎯 so selling it when it's not yet time is just like wasting your time.

and I learnt we do this to reduce the impact of market volatility on out investment.
According to what I have learnt so far the reason for DCA is to relieve or save yourself from the stress of not knowing when to buy, since bitcoin is volatile The practice changes at any given time so now the DCa help you to buy
Btc at any given time basically weekly. Sometimes you May buy when the price is low and also by when the price is high. When you buy in some week it is low, you are indirectly replenishing the lost value when you bought higher. So DCA is the best sofar in investment strategy it's a middle man between dip and HODL and lump-sum.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
March 25, 2024, 10:25:59 PM
So we can safely assume that if we are taking 200-WMA is reference then most time its below Bitcoin price. With 200-WMA one can easily figure out how much room he has for withdrawal. 
If the BTC spot price starts getting close to the 200-WMA, then that will likely mean that the 200-WMA is not going to go up as fast and those might be periods to sell fewer BTC (if we are talking about sustainable withdrawal) and maybe even times to buy more BTC if we are in our BTC accumulation stages, and yeah it has tended to take a whole cycle before the BTC price gets back down to the 200-WMA.. and so right now we are more than 2x higher than the 200-WMA, but in 2021 we were 5-6x higher in early 2021 and around 3x higher in late 2021, and in late 2017 the BTC price had gotten around 14x higher than the 200-WMA.  You can see the numbers through the sustainable withdrawal tool and putting in various dates.
So it's best to accumulate during the phase when spot price getting closer to 200-WMA. Since we are going for three ways i.e. DCA, Buy the Dip and lump sum.

Of course, when we are in our earliest stages of BTC accumulation, we try to consider how to maximize our strategies, yet at the same time, if we are brand new to investing in bitcoin, then we just have to establish a position, and try to get to our target level as quickly as possible.... so once we have established a bit more of a stash we might want to tailor our DCA buys a bit more, yet at the same time, we run the potential error of holding back too much because we are waiting for dips to buy rather than buying regularly.

So yes, you are better off buying more BTC if the BTC price is at, near or below the 200-WMA, but if you don't have enough BTC, then you likely are not advantaged by trying to figure out those kinds of matters but just to invest as aggressively as you can until you start to begin to feel that you have enough BTC or more than enough BTC... and during periods that you feel that you have more than enough BTC, then you can start to be more strategic in terms of waiting with some of your buys, but if you wait too much, then you might end up screwing things up and holding too much dollars when the BTC price is shooting up.

In the last 6-9 months, we had a lot of folks waiting for lower BTC prices, and they kind of got fucked and they might have been better just to keep buying as their paycheck comes in... or however they are authorizing their BTC purchases.

If someone wants to go for aggressive accumulation then it's the best time.

You can always be aggressive in your BTC buys, especially if you are still new to bitcoin and still building your BTC stack.  I frequently say that you should be as aggressive as you are able to be, and in your earliest stages of accumulating BTC, you have to figure out getting your BTC position... but yeah, between June 2022 and October 2023, we spent quite a bit of time at historical BTC lows that were near or below the 200WMA for a lot of that time (and the BTC price got as low as 35% below the 200WMA) , and the BTC price had not been in such relatively low territories previously... so they were really great times to buy, but it was also great times to buy when the BTC price was within  20% of the 200-WMA and before it dropped below the 200WMA, so it is quite possible that a lot of guys used a lot of their money buying BTC prior to it even dropping below the 200-WMA, so they run out of money and all that they have left is the DCA amounts that are coming in.. and these guys are not making mistakes by being aggressive prior to the BTC price going below the 200-WMA because no one would have been speculating that the BTC price was going to go so low and to stay there for so long.  But it did.

With the sustainable withdrawal tool, one can easily figure out how much he can withdraw per month. It's easy you dont have to figure out yourself, the tool do the job.

You still have to figure it out, and you have to figure out how to use the tool to your advantage. I surely am not recommending guys start to use the tool when they have not stacked enough sats and when they have not over accumulated BTC.  So guys have to come to a kind of over accumulation status when they start to use either the basic aspects of the selling portion of the tool and especially if they are going to use the selling in advance portions of the tool... A guy could end up selling way too many BTC too soon if he does not even have enough BTC in the first place.

I remember Dec 19, 2017 since it was my early days when I came to know about Bitcoin (not investing at that time). You figure it out right, spot price on that particular day was 14x higher then 200-WMA.

Yeah, but if you did not have any BTC, then how are you going to know to wait before you buy?

Even if you started buying $100 per week of BTC on December 19, 2017, by now you would have had invested $32,700 and you would have accumulated 2.66 BTC (currently worth about $186k), so you would be right around 5.7x in profits... so there is no reason to be greedy or to be trying to second guess these kinds of matters.  The main thing is to get the fuck started and to establish a position, and surely a guy with 2.66 BTC is in a good place right now, but he still might feel that he does not quite have enough and he might feel that he needs to continue to invest at $100 per week or maybe even to be more aggressive in his weekly DCA amount.

Perhaps the guy would like to get up to 4 BTC in the next 10 years, and so he figures he might have to increase his DCA from $100 per week to $200 per week in order to have a good chance of reaching his target of having 4 BTC in 10 years, when he already has 2.66, so he only needs to accumulate another 1.33 BTC to meet his target, and yeah he would not be locked in that target, but it would not be a bad one or an unreasonable one if he had already spent around 6.5 years accumulating BTC at around $100 per week, and he might feel that he has enough confidence to raise his DCA amount to $200 per week.

And, yeah, maybe he cannot get up to 4 BTC in the next 10 years, even if he increases his DCA amount to $200 per week, yet he is still likely going to be in a better position by continuing to aggressively DCA into bitcoin rather than not.. .no guarantees of course, but I see no reason why such a guy should be trying to be strategic, especially if he continues to have a reasonable goal, and even if he does not reach 4 BTC and he might only reach 3.5 BTC or some other amount, but with the passage of time, it likely takes fewer and fewer BTC to get to fuck you status (or whatever the guy's goals might be).. he might not even be trying to get to fuck you status, but instead just trying to make his life the best that he can in terms of potentially improving his possible options in the next 10 years.

[edited out]
I think you should stick with investing in Bitcoin, whether short-term or long-term. Given this investment, you can be safe with your capital, which is guaranteed by Bitcoin.

There are no guarantees, not even in bitcoin.

Bitcoin may well be the best investment available, but it is still not guaranteed.

Example let's say I want to start investing right now in bitcoin and I have a monthly income of 1000$(it's assumption figures) and I decide that I want to invest about 300$ from that amount into a weekly DCA investment which should be about 75$ weekly invested in bitcoin and then I also had some cash from my savings that I also wanted to use to invest in bitcoin maybe to give myself some kind of head start and the money was about 3000$ and I decide to use 1500$ to invest right away, that is what a lump sum buying would mean.

Yes.. that is an accurate description.  The extra $1,500 that is used to buy BTC right away would be considered lump sum investing and/or perhaps even front loading your investment at the current price that may or may not be going up, but the front loading/lump sum investment is a kind of preparation for up and a kind of insurance for up, just in case the BTC price does not come down, you are prepared for up by employing the lump sum.  And, so yeah, from your $3k, you can choose any amount of that and call it lump summing, especially if it is higher than your regular DCA amount.. and perhaps if it is higher than the whole amount that you are going to put in for the month.. It is not exactly clear how much it would need to be in order to consider it a lump sum, but under that facts that you describe it seems to be a lump sum.. and maybe even if it was as low as $500 it could still be a lump sum, even though in that hypothetical, you are already planning to DCA $300 per month (at $75 per week).

A guy who has no bitcoin is not prepared for up.  A guy who is a low coiner might feel himself without enough bitcoin, but he might already be investing as much as his finances and psychology permit him to invest, so in that case he is not a low coiner who is fighting the idea of bitcoin, and so there could be low coiners who really are not very passionate about bitcoin that they might be like a no coiner who is against bitcoin, so those guys would not invest, but it is difficult to call a low coiner as being against bitcoin, since the fact that he has some coins means that he is not likely completely against bitcoin, even if he might be skeptical of it and lacking passion in terms of the level of his investment into it.
IMO some low coiner might not be thinking that they are so far behind and even last the motivation to invest in bitcoin or just bought some bitcoin for the bull and with such psychology and attitude towards bitcoin you would notice that they don't value bitcoin or lack any personal conviction about it, ever since you started making comments about a convenient level of bitcoin one should have in a long term of investing (fuck you status), I think everyone should start planning a long term investment with bitcoin one that involves a long term accumulation plan.

I consider entry-level fuck you status merely to represent more of a financial status and not necessarily an attitude status.. and so in that regard, entry-level fuck you status would be when you are financially in a strong enough place that your bitcoin is able to support all of your expenses in a sustainable way and without dipping into principle.

So in traditional assets a guy may well need to accumulate something like 25x his annual expenses/income in order to be able to draw from those traditional assets/investment at a rate of about 4% per year.  So $2 million in assets would generate $80k per year and $6,666 per month.

It is starting to seem pretty likely that a guy could merely reach around 10 years of expenses and income in bitcoin if he measures the value of his bitcoin from the 200-WMA and then draw upon his bitcoin at about 10% per year in order to be at fuck you status, so in order to achieve that same $6,666 per month in bitcoin then he would merely have to have $800k in bitcoin measured at the 200-WMA (which right now would be 24.6 BTC).

Just curious I was thinking if the rest of the 1500$ can go into as emergency funds cause I saw no plans for having such set up, its also very important to ensure we don't dip our hands into our holdings especially at such a beginning stage, do I felt its also a good plan to keep that in Check too, or if not all going in cause we also need to be prepared for dip then splitting then into reserves and emergency funds to help create dome kind of cushion of extra cash as an early investor.

It seems somewhere in my discussion, I had mentioned that I was presuming that the guy already had his shit together in terms of his emergency fund already being in place, but also, there were a couple of different scenarios. One scenario was the guy who already had been investing a year or two and then he gets an extra $3k that he hast to decide what to do, and the other scenario is the brand new investor, of course the guy who had already been investing into bitcoin for a year or two, then he should have had already established good practices including an emergency fund and also learning how to manage his reserves and his float.

Yet, it may be that I might not have had been clear, but I was presuming that the emergency fund was already adequately funded, and so when we are investing, our ongoing working state should be that our emergency fund is already established and we never need to access it because we also have reserves too that we would access prior to accessing any emergency fund and prior to accessing our investment (bitcoin in this case), and yeah if the guy has $3k that is available and he invests $1,500 right away then yeah, he would need to consider where to put the other $1,500 and you are right that if he does not have an emergency fund, then it would go there first, but then if he did not have $1,500 for an emergency fund, then maybe he should not be putting $1,500 into bitcoin right away either...

because he no longer has $3k available, but instead he has $1,500 available, so it change the calculation regarding how much to invest right away versus how much to hold back for buying on dips or DCA.. so of course, there trade offs, balancings and priorities, and if the guy does not have various aspects of his finances in order then he is going to have worse psychology and he is also going to have fewer options if he does not have a handle on those kinds of things when he all of a sudden gets a $3k bonus, he has to use some of that to get his shit together before he can even allocate any of it towards investing into bitcoin.. since once he invests into bitcoin, that money should be considered as no longer available for 4-10 years or longer.
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March 25, 2024, 08:59:46 PM
I left for a while to get ahead with some research concerning what DCA is all about, so basically it's all about splitting your capital into equal parts and investing then on intervals, so let's say I have 500$ to invest in bitcoin, I can just divide it into 4 parts which would be 125$ and invest them weekly, and I learnt we do this to reduce the impact of market volatility on out investment. While lump sum is the exact different which involves just buying at once and immediately, it could be in whole or a large amount, but from what u read its mostly in whole.
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March 25, 2024, 08:44:15 PM
Example let's say I want to start investing right now in bitcoin and I have a monthly income of 1000$(it's assumption figures) and I decide that I want to invest about 300$ from that amount into a weekly DCA investment which should be about 75$ weekly invested in bitcoin and then I also had some cash from my savings that I also wanted to use to invest in bitcoin maybe to give myself some kind of head start and the money was about 3000$ and I decide to use 1500$ to invest right away, that is what a lump sum buying would mean.

Yes.. that is an accurate description.  The extra $1,500 that is used to buy BTC right away would be considered lump sum investing and/or perhaps even front loading your investment at the current price that may or may not be going up, but the front loading/lump sum investment is a kind of preparation for up and a kind of insurance for up, just in case the BTC price does not come down, you are prepared for up by employing the lump sum.  And, so yeah, from your $3k, you can choose any amount of that and call it lump summing, especially if it is higher than your regular DCA amount.. and perhaps if it is higher than the whole amount that you are going to put in for the month.. It is not exactly clear how much it would need to be in order to consider it a lump sum, but under that facts that you describe it seems to be a lump sum.. and maybe even if it was as low as $500 it could still be a lump sum, even though in that hypothetical, you are already planning to DCA $300 per month (at $75 per week).

A guy who has no bitcoin is not prepared for up.  A guy who is a low coiner might feel himself without enough bitcoin, but he might already be investing as much as his finances and psychology permit him to invest, so in that case he is not a low coiner who is fighting the idea of bitcoin, and so there could be low coiners who really are not very passionate about bitcoin that they might be like a no coiner who is against bitcoin, so those guys would not invest, but it is difficult to call a low coiner as being against bitcoin, since the fact that he has some coins means that he is not likely completely against bitcoin, even if he might be skeptical of it and lacking passion in terms of the level of his investment into it.

IMO some low coiner might not be thinking that they are so far behind and even last the motivation to invest in bitcoin or just bought some bitcoin for the bull and with such psychology and attitude towards bitcoin you would notice that they don't value bitcoin or lack any personal conviction about it, ever since you started making comments about a convenient level of bitcoin one should have in a long term of investing (fuck you status), I think everyone should start planning a long term investment with bitcoin one that involves a long term accumulation plan.

Just curious I was thinking if the rest of the 1500$ can go into as emergency funds cause I saw no plans for having such set up, its also very important to ensure we don't dip our hands into our holdings especially at such a beginning stage, do I felt its also a good plan to keep that in Check too, or if not all going in cause we also need to be prepared for dip then splitting then into reserves and emergency funds to help create dome kind of cushion of extra cash as an early investor.
jr. member
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March 25, 2024, 07:58:59 PM

That is correct, and if you lump sum (or front load) right away, then you run a risk that the BTC price might go down, so you can either supplement your having had front-loaded (at a higher than the subsequent dipped price) by continuing to DCA while the prices ended up being lower or to have some extra that had been set aside to be able to buy on dips (that you had not known were going to happen but that you kept the extra money, just in case the dips happened, and they did end up happening so you use some or all of it to buy more BTC).


It's very true about DCA beign the best supplement to front loading with a lump sum cause you know we can never predict what would happen next, while preparing for up it's also good we prepare for down, and if we have not kept that extra money for buying on dips then DCA would be a good back up, after I read this comment I began to have a better understanding of why they said DCA helps protect us from market volatility as in this persons case where immediately after front loading the market had a dip, and yeah he woudl be on a loss immediately in his portfolio, but let's assume it to happen this way. After investing 1500$ Into bitcoin, the market dipped up to 30% and his original investment would be down to 1050$(I don't know if I'm right on this calculation, quite new to this), and then immediately he woudl be thinking about trying to take his portfolio back to 1500$ which would be about a 500$ dip buy if he has the amount but in a case where is has already used up his reserves and disposable cash to dip buy  and only has DCA allocation then its still not a very bad situation for him cause with time his DCA can Balance up his average buying and maintain his portfolio as long as he remains consistent in doing it. So I think the power of DCA comes with beign consistent on your investment as DCA can only be good and protect from volatility as long as you continue using it.
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