There is always a possibility for a correction, and that is part of the reason that everyone needs to invest in bitcoin in a way in which he prepares for short-term price moves in either direction, and if he has no bitcoin, then he is not prepared for up.. .so even if the BTC price has already gone up more than 60% in the last 2.5 months, that still does not mean that it might not continue to go up from here.
I think it's not a significant problem. I'm sure with DCA's investment model and the saying we're going to lose money/rugpull will change.
The idea of rug pull is quite different from up and down market movements, even if you might get the sense that sometimes the BTC price is manipulated up or down, there are players who are trying to push the BTC price in one direction or another, yet bitcoin is likely one of the free-est of markets that currently exists, even if there are behaviors to push its price in one direction or another that may or may not end up being successful.
I see that you have been registered on the form since early 2017, so surely you may well have gotten used to various kinds of price moves in BTC, and in your earliest months of BTC accumulation, it may well not really matter so much when you accumulate BTC, just as long as you start to get into bitcoin, then you will at least have somewhat of a stash of BTC so that you are prepared for UP.
At the same time, if you are continuously worried about BTC prices dropping after you bought, then you likely bought too much and you did not save enough cash to be able to continue to buy when the BTC price goes down (that is if it ends up going down from the prices that you had bought).
Long term investing should just mean ONGOINGLY buying BTC until you get to a certain amount of BTC that you feel that you have enough.. and if you are a long term investor into bitcoin, and you have conviction in bitcoin, then the main thing that you should attempt to focus on is to make sure that you are continuing to build your bitcoin stash through ongoing buying, and it is quite difficult to know when the BTC price is going to fall or if it might fall or if it might not even fall, but as an individual investor, you can decide for yourself how much money you are going to use to continue to buy BTC versus how much you are going to have available to buy on dips. .and at what price points is that money for buying on dips going to be reserved.
If you have been in bitcoin since early 2017, then you could still consider yourself as still buying BTC in terms of long term investing for any new buys that are 4-10 years or longer from the point that you buy the BTC and not necessarily the point that you got started in BTC, even though your earlier purchases of BTC can still inform the extent to which you feel that you need to buy more BTC and what would be the terms upon which you are buying any new BTC.. are you thinking in terms of 4-10 years or longer for any new purchases or are you thinking in other kinds of terms, such as trying to play the wave with any such additional BTC that you might be buying now and planning to sell some or all of that at various points on the way up. Ether practice could work, even though you might be trying to long term invest and also to have ideas about trading at the same time, which may or may not be a good idea or a good way of thinking about how to manage your BTC accumulation if you perceive yourself to still be in BTC accumulation phases or if you perceive yourself to be in some other stage, such as BTC maintenance or BTC liquidation.. and surely the stages are not absolutes, either, they can overlap one another.
If you are brand new to bitcoin and you are largely DCA buying, then you might not even feel that it is worth it to keep any money available for buying on dips because you DCA buys are fairly regular (maybe even on a weekly basis), and you might well just choose to attempt to time your dips within the week in order to try to buy on dips during each week that you are planning to buy anyhow, but once you get to a certain level of BTC accumulation, you might end up varying your strategy beyond merely DCA buying, and sometimes you will be correct to vary your strategy, and perhaps other times you would just be better off to just keeping on with your DCA buys..
and there is also no reason to believe that DCA buying is boring and our stagnant, especially if you are trying to be aggressive in your DCA approach. The more aggressive that you are in your DCA approach, the more you need to pay attention to maintaining your emergency fund, and balancing your income versus your expenses in terms of strategizing when you are authorizing yourself to allocate parts of your income to buying bitcoin. So for example, you could have a income that is between $1,200 and $3k per month, and expenses that vary between $1,600 and $2,200 per month, and surely I tend to be on the conservative side in terms of making sure that my income has come in before I spend it, but sometimes you also might want to make sure that both your income and your expenses are in for the month before you allocate the extra amount towards bitcoin, and since your both your income and your expenses have a decent amount of variance, you might feel a need to maintain a larger emergency fund that is closer to 6 months of expenses (which would be $13,200 ($2,200x6)), and if you have months in which your income is less than your expenses, you might be drawing from those emergency expenses, but you still may or may not be in a situation in which you are maintaining a minimum amount that you continue to buy BTC no matter what... So, there are a lot of ways in which you can build cushions and priorities and do many things at once, even though some people like to describe DCA as boring, which I doubt that it has to be, except there are ways to purposefully make it boring, and that might be to choose a real lowball amount to DCA, such as $50 per month, even though you have a budget in which you could invest between $50 and $1k per month, depending on how your income versus your expenses play out for that month..
Everyone tries to do their best in investing and sometimes the implementation is different. Some say changing habits is difficult, especially changing investment patterns which in the past we often saw people putting in/buying everything at once, everything was considered appropriate and not wrong, but if we lower the tension just a little, in my opinion it would be wiser to arrange it, do it in such a way and that not that difficult.
I agree with you that each of us comes to investing in a way that is somewhat aligned with our past ways of doing things, and sometimes there could be ways that we can learn to improve our systems, and some people are more able to adapt than others, even though we still draw from our past experiences in terms of how we think about investing and if we also might have some bad habits that might not involve enough figuring out what are budget limits are and to make sure that we are not overly gambling or not understanding our cashflows well enough.
If we don't have a good idea for our cashflow 3-6 months into the future, and then we end up overly investing into bitcoin or into something else, then we might end up putting too much stress upon ourselves when our cashflow shortage comes later down the road, and we are not really sure from where it came (except if we would have planned in advance, we would have already been able to see how our income versus expenses were lining up and maybe we even have various cushions in our accounts that end up serving as the places in which we draw from for investing, so for example, if we are young and have hardly any responsibilities, then we might maintain at least a $500 cushion in our account at all times, and we can see the times of the month in which our various cashflows are close to the cushion. and maybe much of the month we have $2k to $5k extra, but every once in a while it we can see it gets close to the cushion so we make sure that we take measures to never go below that particular cushion.
If our finances are more complicated with family obligations, business expenses, and even uncertainties of income, we might try to create a cushion that never goes below $3k... so yeah we realize if at any point we end up going below $3k, we are in a real bad place, so we have to scramble a bit to get it back above $3k, so the one with a cash cushion of $3k, might have regular cash balances that are in the $5k to $10k territory, but they can project ahead and see that each month they get close to $3k, and so they can use those kinds of balances to figure out how much they are able to invest and when to authorize their abilities to invest.. whether weekly, monthly or some other time period.
That's right, as you said, there is always the possibility of a market correction and sometimes it is beyond our understanding and just look today at how it can suddenly go down even though if we look at the graphic data it shows it will go up. So, what is needed in this situation is fresh funds to be able to absorb any downturn. Apart from research and observation before buying, the luck factor is not needed at all here because DCA is a pattern of buying every drop if we have savings.
DCA is buying based on your own budget, and buying the dip is buying the dip. They are different, and even if you might be at a point that you have accumulated quite a bit of BTC and you feel that you prefer to buy on dips rather than DCA, those kinds of decisions should be based on your own sense of whether you have accumulated enough BTC, and sometimes the BTC price action might inspire you to buy more or to buy less, but those likely are luxuries that come from having had already accumulated a decent amount of BTC so that you are already feeling sufficiently/adequately prepared for up.
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Correction always happen that's why we always need to look at this situation and don't play around since we think bitcoin will continue to pump.
Corrections do not "always" happen in the way that you are describing, yet each of us should always be prepared (psychologically and financially) for corrections to happen whether they end up happening or not.
If we do that for sure we regret these since for sure there's so many fuds will scatter and might we get affected with those situation.
Yes.. .We do not want to prepare for only one direction, even though ONLY 1 direction might end up happening, but we are prepared for either.
One thing about preparing for UP, an overwhelming majority of the persons of the world are not even close to sufficiently/adequately prepared for UP, so any of us who prepare for UP are going to be way more advantaged over them, and we are also going to be advantaged because we are prepared for both up and for down, and many of the persons of the world are also not prepared for down because they are not prepared to buy BTC when (or if) the BTC price goes down.. so there is one thing of being prepared to HODL through the down, but there is even a greater bonus to be prepared to buy on the way down (if it goes down), and to have some ideas before the downs happen, at which price points we are going to buy how much BTC... so preparing for UP and for DOWN does better prepare you for UP, too.
But for sure over the time we are trading we can learn a lot base on our experiences
Hopefully if we are trying to accumulate BTC, we are not so dumb as to engage in trading (and/or gambling) tactics because an overwhelming majority of people will be better off to engage in more strict forms of BTC accumulation that includes various kinds of buying of BTC to accumulate more BTC, and selling BTC to accumulate BTC is not a very good practice for the overwhelming number of normal people of the world... in other words trading is a specialized practice and not advisable to do.. especially for beginners to bitcoin, and maybe ONLY once you establish your BTC stash after several years and maybe ONLY less than 10 % of the size of your BTC stash.
then for sure we can choose whether we do DCA or do long term HODL since we are well equip with knowledge we get thru our experiences in the market.
DCA and long term HODL go together, but surely anyone is free to sell their BTC at any time that they like, even if selling their BTC might not be a good idea in terms of longer term kinds of financial preparations.
When bitcoin started gaining big rise, Investors would wait for the price to go down and when it does they go all in the market. And back then the price was more affordable when the price has not exceed $10,000. A lot of persons where doing lump sum. Now the price is way high for a regular citizen to afford to buy once this is why the DCA method is adopted by many.
Price is relative, so I doubt that BTC price is too high to perform lump sum or other tactics such as buying on dips, even though DCA can help to mitigate some of the affects of lump sum buying and/or buying on dips if the BTC price moves against what you expect, so if you buy on the dip or lump sum buy and the BTC price goes down, then DCA can help to mitigate the price exposure from having had chosen to engage in such lump sum purchasing of BTC.
Just to let you know, there are likely going to be folks who are new to bitcoin who are going to be buying a lot of BTC, and they are going to want to get exposure quickly rather than over an extended period of time, which is one of the advantages that lump sum (and buying on dip - if the dips happen) can have over the DCA approach to BTC buying.
Even if the BTC price went up 50% to 60% in less than 2 months, that still does not necessarily mean that BTC prices are currently high. Also, recall BTC prices went up around 3x from their November 2021 bottom, so in about 2 years, but even now, as I type this post, BTC prices are ONLY right around 42% above the 200-week moving average (
which is currently $29,634), which is hardly high prices, even if we might end up getting a BTC price correction... but we might not.. There are no guarantees... Historically the BTC price has gotten between 5x to 16x higher than the 200-week moving average, so surely the higher that the BTC price gets above the 200-week moving average, the more we might start to sense that the BTC price is frothy and due for a correction.. and on the short term basis, such corrections may or may not end up happening.
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If we keep money in the bank, there is a possibility that the bank will go bankrupt and if the bank goes bankrupt, we will be burdened with debt as soon as we save money in the bank, why do we invest in it? It seems to me now that investing in Bitcoin is much safer than keeping money in the bank if you can store your investment in a good wallet.
I am keeping money in the bank and the bank is doing business with my money so what is my profit there.
Instead of keeping money with others, you should invest yourself and create a great chance of profit by investing. We all love to save and keep money in the bank but many have different opinions when it comes to investing.
Honestly now I don't trust the bank so I invest the remaining money in bitcoins and I consider this investment as savings and a way to get big profits in the long run.
All the money from my signature campaign is invested and I spend part of the money I get from my job for my family and the rest I invest in bitcoin consistently. Prior to consistent investment and DCA method I used to save some money in bank but now along with consistent bitcoin investment I have decided to invest the amount of money I have in bank and it will be a good decision for me. I earned the money hard so I don't want to lose that money by keeping it in the bank.
I would consider that there is nothing wrong with keeping a certain amount of money in the bank, including some of your cash reserves, and especially if you have expenses in fiat, then maybe some (or all) of your emergency fund might be in a bank or in several banks or even other kinds of places in which you can access if you need that money.
Emergency funds should not be in your various investments, but instead various forms of fiat. Of course, if you get so rich that you have 20-30 times or more of your annual expenses in various investments, then it becomes less critical regarding how well you protect your investments with an emergency fund, but newbie investors need to have an emergency fund to protect their investments, otherwise they could spend 3-10 years investing, and then not getting anywhere because they have to sell their investments at a time that is not of their own choosing because they failed/refused to maintain an adequate emergency fund.
People invest because your money is not likely going to be keeping up with inflation if you are keeping it in various fiat forms, but it still does not mean that you should not be keeping some money in various fiat forms.. even though you are going to get your growth (or even your abilities to keep up with inflation and the degradation of various kinds of fiat) through investing in assets and bitcoin is likely to be a good one (if not the best one) of the choices of where to put extra money.