Shower thought. If there was a person who would start a debate and tell me that Bitcoin's price today is "too high", I would argue back that, although Bitcoin's price might be "too high", it might also be mispriced towards the lower extreme of the cycle. The market hasn't truly priced in the Halving, AND the true nature of the Bitcoin spot ETF.
But we can see the proof of that in a simple chart. Research Gold ETF - when it started, then look at the Gold chart after it started.
When Bitcoin was created some people didn't believe Bitcoin would grow this big in price so yes Bitcoin price is high but not too high,
Surely part of the challenge for anyone, and maybe even moreso for a bitcoin newbie, is trying to figure out the extent to which BTC prices might be high or not. In several senses, bitcoin prices seem high to newbies not only in terms of the price of one bitcoin (the unit value if not looking at satoshis), but also describing bitcoin in terms of how much it has appreciated does not necessarily inspire confidence that it is going to continue to appreciate - especially for someone who is just looking at bitcoin at a superficial level and also someone who is not very well informed about bitcoin might be buying into some of the negative bitcoin talking points, so if they don't know much about bitcoin and they might be getting confronted with conflicting narratives about bitcoin, then they have difficulties evaluating it.
however a time is coming when it will be very high in price but the good thing about Bitcoin investment is that no matter how high in price Bitcoin is one can still invest by Accumulating little by little since is divided into small units. For now one can't say Bitcoin is too high in price, but I will love to ask at what price will one say Bitcoin price is too high.
Surely part of the solution to uncertainty continues to be choosing a position size that is comfortable, and getting off of zero is one angle that normies should be considering to be important, and so if they realize that they should get off of zero, that still does not necessarily mean that they need to go all in, so normies should be able to justify their entrance into bitcoin by choosing some kind of a position size that is comfortable to them, comfortable to their budget and also allows them to balance their assessment that they need to get into bitcoin, even if they might have some fears about their getting into it (or feelings that the BTC price might be high).
When it comes to Gold and Bitcoin, Gold has been in existence for thousands of years but Bitcoin is just some years since it's Creation but is growing so fast more than Gold, one can't compare the rate at which Bitcoin grew to Gold because from the chart one will see Bitcoin is doing much more better.
Bitcoin still remain one of the best investment in the world, 20 years to come people will be shocked that the growth of Bitcoin and I want to be part of Bitcoin till then.
It seems that your conclusion is fair SuperBitMan, even though I doubt that there is really any need to get into assessing bitcoin versus gold in order to reach such a conclusion that bitcoin is likely to perform much better than gold, both in terms of its direct spot value, yet also in terms of how the BTC spot ETFs affect bitcoin's price. I doubt that it is going to take several years for the Bitcoin ETFs to influence bitcoin's price and/or even to put upward price pressures on bitcoin to such an extent to push its price up. It seems that a lot of the BTC's upward price pressures and movement since October 2023 was influenced by the BTC spot ETFs, and even if we have been experiencing some pause in the UPward BTC price movements in the past 6 months, there still are likely ongoing BTC price pressures that continue to add to BTC's prices likelihood to continue to move upwardly... whether we are talking about this cycle or even in future cycles.. and also in regards to the Bitcoin Spot ETFs there continue to be new entrants and new availability of Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) to be able to offer bitcoin spot ETFs to their clients. I am not exactly a fan of so much third party custody of bitcoin, even though such third party custody still does seem to put upward pressures on BTC prices as long as the third parties are mostly holding the BTC that they claim to hold.. and they might end up getting in trouble both legally and financially if BTC prices end up shooting up and they don't end up having the BTC that they claim to have.