I believe it’s the best occassion to tell your annoying friends, and family who are asking about Bitcoin to have their exchange accounts ready, and crammed with fiat. Buy the DIP, and HODL season will start within days/weeks for a short time, before moon.
![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif)
I would not have phrased it exactly like that even though I agree with your overall point, but I have my doubts about whether we can assign any kinds of high expectations on any presumption of further BTC price dippenings, even if we are currently within a short-term dippening and many of us understand that the trend tends to be your friend.. even though on the short-term that trend can reverse at any time and punish the fuck out of you, if you presume too much or assign too high of values to price direction expectations - especially betting on down in a bull market.
In other words, I do agree with the point that we are currently having a short-term sale in which buying should be seriously considered (and prepared for).. possibly executed at this very price point, and there might be even further BTC sales prices coming within the near term future (not guaranteed, but may well happen, which means you should be HODLing and or buying lillie fiends, but not selling them and expecting to buy back lower like some kind of demented (or quasi-demented) gambling addict ... hahahahahhaha)
![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
Strategic preparation remains the name of the game which is preparation for both UPpity and DOWNity even when the odds for short-term DOWNity feel decently strong at the moment.
OR, it could be the finish line for this bull cycle, and the starting point of another 2 - 3 year bear cycle.
Yeah.. anything "might" happen, and sure we have to prepare for either price direction, but seems like a whole hell of a lot of wishful thinking if people are postulating that $42k happens to be the blow off top for this particular cycle and that another 2-3 year bear cycle is likely to come from here.
The fact of the matter to me seems to be that way too many normies tend to be preparing for down rather than UP.. and this has been a common mistake throughout the years..
And, even you, Wind_FURY, seem to be making postulates that are contrary to the underlying theme to this thread.. which is supposed to be ongoingly pushing people to prepare for up by buying on dips and holding... which is quite sound advice - even if some seemingly unlikely scenario of a 2-3 bear cycle would happen from here.
Furthermore, what actually seems to be happening in this particular cycle is that BTC prices are getting a bit ahead of themselves in terms o where they should be at this particular time in terms of the various currently sound BTC price prediction models of 1) stock to flow, 2) four year fractal and 3) exponential s-curve adoption based on networking effects and metcalfe principles.
But in my thinking I doubt that getting ahead provides high justification to start to believe that an actual blow off top has occurred for this cycle.. and there are even decently likely scenarios that we could have something like 2013 in which there ends up being a double top for this upcoming year rather than a more gradual one top.
We might not want it,
I surely am NOT making any proclamations in regards to bitcoins price performance or in terms of price dynamic scenarios that are playing out or might play out in terms of what I want.. Shit just happens, and sure you might be coming to conclusions that you believe that more negative scenarios might play out, and you are entitled to whatever opinion that you like. I just think that you are talking in terms of what seems to be less likely scenarios....and if you want to play your hand like that, then that's your choice.. seems a bit bearish to me.. even though my actual finances and my psychology is prepared for long ass dips, even from here.. I just don't ascribe them as being very highly probable at this point, and it has hardly anything at all to do with what I actually want.
but it must happen for the next phase up, going to 6 digits.
That seems to be a pretty BIG ASS fallacy in thinking if you actually believe that some kind of "down"
must happen in order for BTC to reach 6 digits.... Sure if you were treating bitcoin as some kind of a mature asset class or it was not paradigm shifting technology then sure maybe there would be some need for DOWNity before UPpity.
Did someone take over your account Wind_FURY?
(Maybe you are trying to be a devil's advocate in this responsive post, but com'mon....
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