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Topic: Can Marine Le Pen win? - page 3. (Read 4510 times)

legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
March 02, 2017, 11:55:10 AM
#71
We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.

What does this means?! Will go on another ridiculous system like the Greeks trying to vote out their debt?
There're limits for what Democracy can and can't do...

If a majority of the Greek voters want to default on the federal debt, then their choice must be respected. The people are simply saying that they are not responsible for all that mess, and the politicians are solely responsible for the debt.
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1000
March 02, 2017, 11:47:14 AM
#70
Right... any idea on what to put there?
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
March 02, 2017, 10:57:28 AM
#69
We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.

What does this means?! Will go on another ridiculous system like the Greeks trying to vote out their debt?
There're limits for what Democracy can and can't do...

It means what it means: we end the fifth republic and create the sixth. And contrary to all the others, here the people will vote their constitution.
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1000
March 01, 2017, 09:17:25 PM
#68
We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.

What does this means?! Will go on another ridiculous system like the Greeks trying to vote out their debt?
There're limits for what Democracy can and can't do...
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
March 01, 2017, 09:12:40 PM
#67
The problem is that no one is going to ask permission from the French. Muslim immigrants just like cockroaches crawl across the country and then try them out. Soon they will begin to give birth to children and hide behind them from deportation.

Already close to 40% of the children born in France are non-white, with the vast majority of them being Muslim. Once these people get their voting rights, they will decide who should rule France.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
March 01, 2017, 01:54:00 PM
#66
I just love how people are actually talking of Le Pen as someone "trustable" while she's clearly used her deep family connexions to get maximum of money she could...

And on the other hand no one here seems to talk about Melanchon and his will to get read of corruption and politics abusing power...

We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.

Not even his supporters know Jean-Luc Mélenchon's name?

There are no explanatory patterns for this effect. Sanders, Grillo, Melenchon something makes their names disappear. Maybe they invented something water soluble  Cool that causes amnesia on everything leftwing associated.

Ahahahahah xD

Ok ok guilty here!
Well to be fair I don't give a fuck about his name.
It's his program that appeals me. He could be named "JC Dickbutt" that I couldn't care less :p
legendary
Activity: 1245
Merit: 1004
March 01, 2017, 01:40:59 PM
#65
I just love how people are actually talking of Le Pen as someone "trustable" while she's clearly used her deep family connexions to get maximum of money she could...

And on the other hand no one here seems to talk about Melanchon and his will to get read of corruption and politics abusing power...

We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.

Not even his supporters know Jean-Luc Mélenchon's name?

There are no explanatory patterns for this effect. Sanders, Grillo, Melenchon something makes their names disappear. Maybe they invented something water soluble  Cool that causes amnesia on everything leftwing associated.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
March 01, 2017, 12:17:47 PM
#64
I just love how people are actually talking of Le Pen as someone "trustable" while she's clearly used her deep family connexions to get maximum of money she could...

And on the other hand no one here seems to talk about Melanchon and his will to get read of corruption and politics abusing power...

We have ONE candidate who clearly says "I'll give back the power to the people by letting you decide on your constitution" ad no one gives a fuck.
Cool.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
March 01, 2017, 11:38:45 AM
#63
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.

Humanity will be perfectly fine, at least in France. For the sake of humanity, the French can't flood their country with unwashed hordes of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. France is a small country with a population of just around 60 million. It can't absorb all the 1.2 billion people living in the Sub-Saharan Africa.

LOL, because her whole campaign was only about immigration (I'm being sarcastic). What about her stance on Jewish citizens revoking Israel? What about her plans to greatly increase prison infrastructure and police spending to preserve "law and order"? And why are people so damned afraid of Muslims? Don't they get that the average Muslim has a life, and bills and kids and shit, and doesn't have time to actively plot the demise of non Muslims? The people blowing shit up are fucking nutjobs, it would be akin to if I screamed out " What would Jesus do bitch?! " before committing some horrible crime. That would make me a crazy head. Not Christian.


What's your definition of humanity? If we meant people acting in their own interest at the expense of others, then yes, the current wave of populist fervor sweeping the globe is quite human

People like you are the reason I haven't leaved the country yet.
Seems there are SOME (not enough, but some) people that still use their brains to think with reason and logic.

Increasing police strength and prisons can only have one consequence, the increase of criminality and uprisings in the country...
There is NOTHING in Le Pen program that is both realistic and can positively impact society. Or at least I'm still waiting for someone to point it out.
Unfortunately nowadays we see a large number of populist power-hungry. The first course opened this topic in London. Their exit from the European Union significantly weakened the position of Europe, and thus does not make life easier for ordinary Britons. Then there was Trump. Only in America a lot of limitations to Trump so he has not destroyed America. In Europe there is no such restriction and this is a big problem.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 529
March 01, 2017, 11:32:49 AM
#62
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.

Humanity will be perfectly fine, at least in France. For the sake of humanity, the French can't flood their country with unwashed hordes of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. France is a small country with a population of just around 60 million. It can't absorb all the 1.2 billion people living in the Sub-Saharan Africa.

LOL, because her whole campaign was only about immigration (I'm being sarcastic). What about her stance on Jewish citizens revoking Israel? What about her plans to greatly increase prison infrastructure and police spending to preserve "law and order"? And why are people so damned afraid of Muslims? Don't they get that the average Muslim has a life, and bills and kids and shit, and doesn't have time to actively plot the demise of non Muslims? The people blowing shit up are fucking nutjobs, it would be akin to if I screamed out " What would Jesus do bitch?! " before committing some horrible crime. That would make me a crazy head. Not Christian.


What's your definition of humanity? If we meant people acting in their own interest at the expense of others, then yes, the current wave of populist fervor sweeping the globe is quite human

People like you are the reason I haven't leaved the country yet.
Seems there are SOME (not enough, but some) people that still use their brains to think with reason and logic.

Increasing police strength and prisons can only have one consequence, the increase of criminality and uprisings in the country...
There is NOTHING in Le Pen program that is both realistic and can positively impact society. Or at least I'm still waiting for someone to point it out.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
March 01, 2017, 09:14:32 AM
#61
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.

Humanity will be perfectly fine, at least in France. For the sake of humanity, the French can't flood their country with unwashed hordes of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. France is a small country with a population of just around 60 million. It can't absorb all the 1.2 billion people living in the Sub-Saharan Africa.
The problem is that no one is going to ask permission from the French. Muslim immigrants just like cockroaches crawl across the country and then try them out. Soon they will begin to give birth to children and hide behind them from deportation.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1048
March 01, 2017, 08:52:50 AM
#60
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.

Humanity will be perfectly fine, at least in France. For the sake of humanity, the French can't flood their country with unwashed hordes of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. France is a small country with a population of just around 60 million. It can't absorb all the 1.2 billion people living in the Sub-Saharan Africa.

LOL, because her whole campaign was only about immigration (I'm being sarcastic). What about her stance on Jewish citizens revoking Israel? What about her plans to greatly increase prison infrastructure and police spending to preserve "law and order"? And why are people so damned afraid of Muslims? Don't they get that the average Muslim has a life, and bills and kids and shit, and doesn't have time to actively plot the demise of non Muslims? The people blowing shit up are fucking nutjobs, it would be akin to if I screamed out " What would Jesus do bitch?! " before committing some horrible crime. That would make me a crazy head. Not Christian.


What's your definition of humanity? If we meant people acting in their own interest at the expense of others, then yes, the current wave of populist fervor sweeping the globe is quite human
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
March 01, 2017, 08:52:25 AM
#59
Donald Trump was never supposed to win the US election and even Brexit campaigners were surprised when Britain voted to leave the European Union, so the prospect of National Front candidate Marine Le Pen becoming French president does not seem as unlikely as it once did.

Ibtimes.co.uk : http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/field-podcast-france-poised-bitter-election-battle-can-marine-le-pen-win-1607621

France need a new leader, a new breed of leader that will bring change to the country. Marine Le Pen is that person that can turn the tide of dirty politics in France. But even if she win the election she will have a hard time facing the force of the corrupt government system. If she is strong willed then probably he can restore the order and balance again in the government of France.
You can hold her some hope if she has soiled in corruption schemes. As President she will work out the money that she gave to Putin, and he is interested in the collapse of the European Union. If the French choose it they will make a big mistake.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 529
March 01, 2017, 08:44:37 AM
#58
Today they started shooting at François Hollande supporters at Villognon. But no worries, merely has been the security!

I'm eating my words regarding fascism. Le Pen will win, and we're all boned.

"We're not fascist"
Well you preach high security measures, violent law enforcement and strong state power...
You also want to do this without additional intervention of citizens...
What do you call that if that's not fascism?
legendary
Activity: 1245
Merit: 1004
March 01, 2017, 08:39:42 AM
#57
Today they started shooting at François Hollande supporters at Villognon. But no worries, merely has been the security!

I'm eating my words regarding fascism. Le Pen will win, and we're all boned.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 529
March 01, 2017, 08:21:44 AM
#56
Those two things are so highly unrelated that I think it's pretty funny that you attempted to say that they my saying of "abortion is murder" fits the saying "You're making a genocide everytime you masturbate"
I'm going to skip the part about you saying you don't want to debate / discuss with me as you simply went on to speak more into it, so please make sure next time to not contradict yourself.
That's not a discussion or a debate, it's like 2 people talking about the same blue painting, one seeing it blue and the other seeing it red. There is nothing to discuss as it's a question of one being able to understand the difference between reality and imagination, and the other not being able to do so.

How could I discuss with someone believing that an embryo is a baby? While there is no brain, no neuronal activity, no nerves... Nothing...
And please don't talk about abortion at 8 months, there is no European country where it is legal unless incredible medical problems.
Otherwise abortion is made when the embryo is not bigger than a bean. It has nothing that could qualify it as a living being.

Maybe I was a bit harsh saying you have no reasoning. It's just that your "reasoning" is based on assumptions so false that it doesn't matter how brilliantly you can conduct it.

I'm just going to leave you with a nice little week by week development chart for growing fetus' so you're able to understand all of this, as It seems that you think that I will only consider a baby an actual human being at 8 months or something along those lines. Also, I'm focusing more on Abortion on the United States even though this is a topic relating to Marine Le Pen in France.

 I may not be fully familiar with the Abortion law in France and other European countries but I'd love to be enlightened by someone like you (an expert on the topic!)
I'm a bit of an expert yeah, at least as much as anyone having sexual relations should be. (not saying you don't, saying that anyone should be aware of such rules in his own country).
Quote

All jokes aside, I'm going to be feel a baby is a ALIVE once it is Around week 8, I hate to put a number on something like this but you seem like the person who is going to pry it out of me.
I perfectly understand how hard it is to put a number on this.
I'm not saying it's obvious or whatever, it's just that you HAVE TO if you want to make a law.

Well you say week 8? In France we decided it was week 12. When the neural path is more or less finished constructed and nerves and muscles start working.
Not so wrong isn't it?
Quote
Still, killing a potential human being to the earth at ANY POINT in production is still horrible.
No.
YOU find that horrible.
I find FAR MORE HORRIBLE to make it mandatory for anyone to have a baby if they didn't want. You're going to talk about contraception? Talk again. No contraception is safe. And you could say that you can use additional contraception means? Well for a very personal example, my wife can't take the pill, it's physically impossible. So it let us one mean of contraception and it is NOT 100% reliable.

So what do you think is worse? Let a child live in a family that is not able to support him and doesn't want him (cause yeah some people don't want children) or just getting rid of a foetus which, even at week 36, still has nothing much in common with a living human being?
Quote
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 544
March 01, 2017, 07:42:53 AM
#55
Donald Trump was never supposed to win the US election and even Brexit campaigners were surprised when Britain voted to leave the European Union, so the prospect of National Front candidate Marine Le Pen becoming French president does not seem as unlikely as it once did.

Ibtimes.co.uk : http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/field-podcast-france-poised-bitter-election-battle-can-marine-le-pen-win-1607621

France need a new leader, a new breed of leader that will bring change to the country. Marine Le Pen is that person that can turn the tide of dirty politics in France. But even if she win the election she will have a hard time facing the force of the corrupt government system. If she is strong willed then probably he can restore the order and balance again in the government of France.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1219
March 01, 2017, 06:48:59 AM
#54
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.

Humanity will be perfectly fine, at least in France. For the sake of humanity, the French can't flood their country with unwashed hordes of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. France is a small country with a population of just around 60 million. It can't absorb all the 1.2 billion people living in the Sub-Saharan Africa.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1285
Flying Hellfish is a Commie
March 01, 2017, 06:40:57 AM
#53
Those two things are so highly unrelated that I think it's pretty funny that you attempted to say that they my saying of "abortion is murder" fits the saying "You're making a genocide everytime you masturbate"
I'm going to skip the part about you saying you don't want to debate / discuss with me as you simply went on to speak more into it, so please make sure next time to not contradict yourself.
That's not a discussion or a debate, it's like 2 people talking about the same blue painting, one seeing it blue and the other seeing it red. There is nothing to discuss as it's a question of one being able to understand the difference between reality and imagination, and the other not being able to do so.

How could I discuss with someone believing that an embryo is a baby? While there is no brain, no neuronal activity, no nerves... Nothing...
And please don't talk about abortion at 8 months, there is no European country where it is legal unless incredible medical problems.
Otherwise abortion is made when the embryo is not bigger than a bean. It has nothing that could qualify it as a living being.

Maybe I was a bit harsh saying you have no reasoning. It's just that your "reasoning" is based on assumptions so false that it doesn't matter how brilliantly you can conduct it.

I'm just going to leave you with a nice little week by week development chart for growing fetus' so you're able to understand all of this, as It seems that you think that I will only consider a baby an actual human being at 8 months or something along those lines. Also, I'm focusing more on Abortion on the United States even though this is a topic relating to Marine Le Pen in France.

 I may not be fully familiar with the Abortion law in France and other European countries but I'd love to be enlightened by someone like you (an expert on the topic!)

All jokes aside, I'm going to be feel a baby is a ALIVE once it is Around week 8, I hate to put a number on something like this but you seem like the person who is going to pry it out of me. Still, killing a potential human being to the earth at ANY POINT in production is still horrible.

http://www.babycenter.com/fetal-development-week-by-week
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1048
March 01, 2017, 01:28:13 AM
#52
In the US presidential elections, the opinion polls had it very close. According to the polls, Hillary had a lead of only around 2% or 3% during the last week of the elections. But in France it is different. The other candidates are polling around 20 points more than Le Pen in the second round.

We're not on the last week before elections, and the polls at 2 months before were showing spreads like Mrs. Clinton 46%, Mr. Trump 39%.
At Iowa, the spread went from 2.5% at last poll to 10% of actual result or Wisconsin giving on the last polls Mrs. Clinton an 8% advantage being the electoral result of 0.5% on Mr. Trump's favor.
So, yes, polls can't predict much and can fail for a large margin. Being FN way worse than Mr. Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if the error margin was somewhere between 10 to 30 pp.

In the rust belt states such as Wisconsin and Michigan, they got it completely wrong. No one expected Trump to sweep the rust belt (with the exception of Minnesota and Illinois). Can this repeat in France?

Exactly. If Trump can win, with a decidedly divisive campaign platform, well dammit, Miss Le Pen should do just swimmingly.

But how this augurs for the current state of humanity, is another topic entirely.
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