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Topic: Can Marine Le Pen win? - page 6. (Read 4510 times)

legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
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February 25, 2017, 01:13:18 AM
#11
But you can never know, to be fair I would love to see a final turn with Melanchon and Lepen

There is no chance of that happening. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has suffered a sharp drop in his ratings. As per the latest opinion polls, he enjoys less than 10% support, with the other mainstream candidates far ahead of him.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 529
February 24, 2017, 02:34:06 PM
#10
Don't think she will pass.

Mainly because she's a bitch from a rich family completely faking her character. She's a bit our French Hillary xD

But you can never know, to be fair I would love to see a final turn with Melanchon and Lepen

Hard socialist against hard... Hard nothing in fact, against a rich girl who never done anything in her life ^^
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1219
February 24, 2017, 04:03:41 AM
#9
It is going to be extremely difficult for Marine Le Pen. In the first round, I have no doubt that she is going to win. But in the second round, all the mainstream parties are going to unite against her. I am still curious about who will be her opponent in the second round. If it is either Benoît Hamon or François Fillon, then there is a small chance for Le Pen. But zero chance if her opponent is Emmanuel Macron.

That's where I think she will get more support and will get her way when all those mainstream big political parties go against her. I really hop e the best for her and we will see what will happen very soon.

Quote
Terror attacks happen every now and then in France (Bataclan attacks, truck attack, Charlie Hebdo attack.etc), and the French are more or less used to it by now. Even if some new attack occurs, it will be having only a limited impact.

Yes, the same thing that helped Trump win, will probably go into Le Pens' hand.

It is not very easy. Almost 30% of the French population is made up of immigrants, and this means that Le Pen needs to get more than 70% of the remaining vote to win the second round. It is similar to the United States, where Trump managed to win despite a heavy minority population. But Trump got 25% of the Hispanic vote. Le Pen is not going to get more than 2% of the Arab vote.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 564
Need some spare btc for a new PC
February 24, 2017, 03:48:27 AM
#8
It is going to be extremely difficult for Marine Le Pen. In the first round, I have no doubt that she is going to win. But in the second round, all the mainstream parties are going to unite against her. I am still curious about who will be her opponent in the second round. If it is either Benoît Hamon or François Fillon, then there is a small chance for Le Pen. But zero chance if her opponent is Emmanuel Macron.

That's where I think she will get more support and will get her way when all those mainstream big political parties go against her. I really hop e the best for her and we will see what will happen very soon.

Quote
Terror attacks happen every now and then in France (Bataclan attacks, truck attack, Charlie Hebdo attack.etc), and the French are more or less used to it by now. Even if some new attack occurs, it will be having only a limited impact.

Yes, the same thing that helped Trump win, will probably go into Le Pens' hand.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
February 23, 2017, 09:28:25 PM
#7
It is going to be extremely difficult for Marine Le Pen. In the first round, I have no doubt that she is going to win. But in the second round, all the mainstream parties are going to unite against her. I am still curious about who will be her opponent in the second round. If it is either Benoît Hamon or François Fillon, then there is a small chance for Le Pen. But zero chance if her opponent is Emmanuel Macron.

I agree with you.
But, if external conditions change dramatically, and, for example, another terrorist attack happen in the France during presidential campaign, than chances for Le Pen will increase dramatically.

Terror attacks happen every now and then in France (Bataclan attacks, truck attack, Charlie Hebdo attack.etc), and the French are more or less used to it by now. Even if some new attack occurs, it will be having only a limited impact.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1824
February 23, 2017, 11:39:03 AM
#6
It is going to be extremely difficult for Marine Le Pen. In the first round, I have no doubt that she is going to win. But in the second round, all the mainstream parties are going to unite against her. I am still curious about who will be her opponent in the second round. If it is either Benoît Hamon or François Fillon, then there is a small chance for Le Pen. But zero chance if her opponent is Emmanuel Macron.

I agree with you.
But, if external conditions change dramatically, and, for example, another terrorist attack happen in the France during presidential campaign, than chances for Le Pen will increase dramatically.
In the state of fear people don't think logically and can vote based on their feelings, not rational thinking.
Trump and Brexit already created very good conditions for her.
She is smarter than her father and knows how to manipulate voters.
So, everything is possible, really.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1219
February 23, 2017, 09:27:08 AM
#5
It is going to be extremely difficult for Marine Le Pen. In the first round, I have no doubt that she is going to win. But in the second round, all the mainstream parties are going to unite against her. I am still curious about who will be her opponent in the second round. If it is either Benoît Hamon or François Fillon, then there is a small chance for Le Pen. But zero chance if her opponent is Emmanuel Macron.
newbie
Activity: 5
Merit: 0
February 23, 2017, 09:07:54 AM
#4
I really do not see this happening.

Their party won a few mayor seats, and in all these cities were a lot of polemics.

One of these mayors decided to register and make a file of all dog owners along with the dog DNA.
If a dog poop is found on the street, it will be DNA analyzed and the dog owner will receive a fine.

And so on... Just imagine if they're in charge of the country. Massive files.

It just shows how these people intend to conduct the country. They were never in charge, they don't know how this works.

For these reasons, I don't think they'll win.

Last time Le Pen (her father) got to the 2nd turn of the election, he got 20% and people massively voted against (Chirac won with 80%).
If they get to the 2nd turn, something similar should happen.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 564
Need some spare btc for a new PC
February 23, 2017, 09:01:33 AM
#3
As much as I know and read somewhere, she has quite a huge chance of winning the elections. She has great support too and I like how her supporters are using the Hillary supporters phrase:" Are you man enough to vote for a woman?" Cheesy and we all know what happened with Brexit and Trumps win.

I really think she can win and I'm thinkin of putting my money on her to win. :p
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 511
February 23, 2017, 08:32:26 AM
#2
It is definitely not impossible I think.
At the moment the parties in France and their candidates for the presidential election seem to be in chaos, always affairs and irregularities, but LePen also. I think we outside of France need more and better information about the mood in this country. At the Brexit all the media in my country had written that most of the British will vote for staying in the EU. But all were wrong with their assessments, the British voted for the Brexit. The same in the presidential election in US...

staff
Activity: 3500
Merit: 6152
February 23, 2017, 08:05:44 AM
#1
Donald Trump was never supposed to win the US election and even Brexit campaigners were surprised when Britain voted to leave the European Union, so the prospect of National Front candidate Marine Le Pen becoming French president does not seem as unlikely as it once did.

Ibtimes.co.uk : http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/field-podcast-france-poised-bitter-election-battle-can-marine-le-pen-win-1607621
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