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throwaway and thoughtfan, excellent comments from both of you. I wish all the discussion on BitcoinTalk was of this level
I'll comment on a few points.
1) I do know who one of the whales is, as he recently made himself known to me. I have no idea whether he will return in the future, but there is no reason for him not to. While there have been many wild theories on who or what he is, I'll say that in this case at least reality is far less interesting than the imagination And for the 50,000th time, no the whales aren't me nor anybody who works with me, nor any person doing such deception on behalf of the site in order to puff up numbers in any way whatsoever. Additionally, SD has never and will never run bots on itself, other than for small narrow testing purposes. There was some speculation that the last jackpot winner (~1900ish btc) was an SD bot. Not true at all, and in fact the winner of that contacted me since his payment had gotten delayed. It was fun chatting with him and learning what he plans to do with the money, nothing crazy, just somewhat inspiring and very nice to hear.
2) The wild exchange rate of Bitcoin is absolutely going to effect SD share price in one way or another. While it seems that SD maintains a reasonable floor of usage in nominal BTC terms, I think if the price of BTC doubles the amount wagered at SD will be lower in BTC terms (though not half). We can call this the "elasticity of wagering" perhaps In any case, I think people should expect that to some degree, if Bitcoin price skyrockets, the nominal price of shares (whether SD or otherwise) should fall somewhat. Does this mean it's better to invest in BTC than in shares of BTC companies? Not necessarily. It depends on your risk preferences.
3) Contrary to how it may appear, I'm spending a lot of time on SD. Much of this is in the legal world, and in putting a small team together to build it more professionally. These things aren't apparent on the surface, but they're happening. When some of this foundational stuff is in place, the visible aspects of SD will be built up further. While I have increased advertising for SD in the last couple weeks, I am also wary of making the site too high profile too soon. Read into that what you will, but it's done with purpose.
4) This wasn't mentioned in the recent comments here, but has obviously been a hugely hot topic - the matter of SD and "blockchain spam." While in general I believe that altering SD merely to coddle and soothe the blockchain is bad policy (because it enables the community to retain a false sense that the issue of dust/spam is not urgent), I am working on a couple things which will indeed alleviate some of the strain on the blockchain. These things are being done mostly for user experience, so the fact that they take burden off the blockchain is but a bonus. Regardless, hopefully some of the wild critics of SD will be happy with the move, though I assume most will continue launching attacks at me personally, saying I've been consumed by greed and don't care about the community, blah blah blah. I guess if you're not making enemies, you're doing it wrong. My intention though is not to be combative, and while I disagree with the thesis of my opponents, I nevertheless respect (most of) them as members of the community and don't want to cause unneeded angst. I guess this was a long way of saying, SD will be developing in a way that should make some critics somewhat happy. Ultimately, it is a profit-making enterprise and will act in every ethical way toward that end, and Bitcoin better be able to handle such enterprises.
Cheers,
-Erik