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Topic: Diablo Mining Company - page 49. (Read 96370 times)

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
May 07, 2012, 10:14:59 PM
#67
I updated the plan to use BFL instead of ZTEX. Much cheaper to get of the ground and reaches full profitability much faster.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
May 07, 2012, 09:54:34 PM
#66
I just ran these numbers in another thread, this proves why I need to focus on green energy production:

Using the calculator at http://bitcoinx.com/profit/index.php using 1.5m diff, $5.00 BTC prices, $0.103 per KWH

BFL MiniRig is 25200 mhash @ 1250 watts for $15,295, 1.64 mh/$, 20.16 mh/w
Enterpoint Cairnsmore1 is 800 mhash @ 40 watts for $640, 1.25 mh/$, 20 mh/w
BFL single is 832 mhash @ 80 watts for $600, 1.38 mh/$, 10.40 mh/w
Lancelot is 500 mhash @ 25 watts for $500, 1 mh/$, 20 mh/w
BTCFPGA ModMiner is 800 mhash @ 40 watts for $1070, 0.74 mh/$, 20 mh/w
ZTEX 1.15y is 850 mhash @ 38 watts for $1359, 0.62 mh/$, 22.36 mh/w
FPGA Mining X6500 rev3 is 400 mhash @ 17.20 watts for $580, 0.68 mh/$, 23.25 mh/w
GPU mining is 2700 mhash @ 1050 watts @ $2600 for mobo, cpu, mem, psu, 4x 7970s, 1.03 mh/$, 2.57 mh/w

BFL MiniRig's peak profit is at 57 months at $22222.48, 145% return
Cairnsmore1 peak profit is at 57 months at $544.26, 84% return
BFL single's peak profit is at 47 months at $490.04, 82% return
Lancelot's peak profit is 57 months at $243.54, 48% return
Modminer's peak profit is at 57 months at $119.61, 11% return
X6500's peak profit is at 60 months at $25.78, 4% return
1.15y's peak profit is at 60 months at -$75.37, 5% loss
GPU mining's peak profit is at 24 months at -$917.51, 35% loss
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
May 05, 2012, 09:58:34 PM
#65
This looks like its going to be an awesome expedition. Will you, or your company rather, be in possession of the most BTC?

I would like to say yes, but in the end, its up to the investors.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Ad astra.
May 05, 2012, 05:06:25 PM
#64
This looks like its going to be an awesome expedition. Will you, or your company rather, be in possession of the most BTC?

You probably want to post on this thread instead. Wink
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
What's a GPU?
May 05, 2012, 04:46:41 PM
#63
This looks like its going to be an awesome expedition. Will you, or your company rather, be in possession of the most BTC?
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
May 02, 2012, 01:18:52 AM
#62
The poll ended 49 for, 64 against. However, most of the people who voted against this liked the plan but considered 1m impossible (although they gave no evidence to back this up).

So, another poll this time o see what the initial IPO should be: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/im-starting-diablo-mining-company-but-how-much-should-the-initial-ipo-be-for-78919
hero member
Activity: 731
Merit: 503
Libertas a calumnia
May 01, 2012, 02:09:15 PM
#61
I'm not an hardware expert so I concede to you.

The potential of an ASIC should be far more appealing of FPGAs: an ASIC can run at multi-Ghz frequencies, while AFAIK FPGAs are not yet reaching the Ghz barrier.

Also, after the (indeed enormous) development phase you can have new chips at a ridiculous low price, while high-end FPGAs are very expensive even for large quantities.

Of course FPGAs have a *lot* more in addition to ASIC, like evolving the bitstream as it become possible, but I don't know if that can be so useful for this project.

Anyway, good luck with your project Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
May 01, 2012, 06:38:07 AM
#60
I find this strategy far from optimal, spending so much for FPGA is not wise, with such an amount of money you should develop your own ASIC...?

It would cost about $10 million just to get to the first ASIC run unless you want really shoddy chips and/or SASIC (which isn't particularly much better than FPGA). Plus, shitty ASIC or the best SASIC designs at >=45nm is going to be pretty hard pressed to beat 28nm FPGA at mhash/$ and they'll be in the same ballpark for mhash/watt.

So, given that, I'd rather be the first major ASIC customer, and although I'd love for that to be my first gen hardware, I'm not seeing it happen.
hero member
Activity: 731
Merit: 503
Libertas a calumnia
May 01, 2012, 05:02:49 AM
#59
I find this strategy far from optimal, spending so much for FPGA is not wise, with such an amount of money you should develop your own ASIC...?
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
April 27, 2012, 01:04:30 PM
#58
I've updated the plan to further cover green cooling and power generation further.

tl;dr: Reducing operating costs is good, alternate income sources are also good, state and federal incentive programs are good as well.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 25, 2012, 01:39:41 PM
#56
Okay here is the link for the promotional video I did on youtube for reputable bitcoin lending operations.

I made a few mistakes as to names but I think the general idea was made in a clear and concise manner Smiley

Here is the link for review:https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67446.0
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1005
this space intentionally left blank
April 25, 2012, 01:36:50 PM
#55
noted
rjk
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
1ngldh
April 25, 2012, 09:17:14 AM
#54
This has easily been the most entertaining thing I read all week.

Small minds are easily amused.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
April 25, 2012, 09:15:06 AM
#53
This has easily been the most entertaining thing I read all week.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
April 25, 2012, 08:35:32 AM
#52
This a very relevant issue for the future of the bitcoin and all its participents.

A mining operation of this scale can place a permanent stranglehold on the uprise of the bitcoin's price margin as well as ensure large amounts of coinage do not fall into unscrupulous hands.

I will definitely making positive reference to this as well as the BTK lending operation on a vlog I'll be posting today.

Great work and stay tuned Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
April 25, 2012, 06:23:30 AM
#51
There are more errors.  Your calculations assume 50 BTC per block, and this is going to halve during the first year of operation.  If you get started after December 9th or thereabout, your block reward will start at 25 BTC.
No, I already included a disclaimer for that: I have not factored that in, and I think BTC prices will double because of it.
You don't want to predict any difficulty increase, but price doubling is assumed?  In that case try another calculation.  Spend all the USD to buy BTC before the block reward halves, and sell afterwards when the price has doubled.  Much more profitable than this mining operation, and less risky because you don't depend on constant difficulty.  :-)

Can't predict difficulty, however. I've seen it swing wildly up AND down.
legendary
Activity: 1437
Merit: 1002
https://bitmynt.no
April 25, 2012, 04:58:50 AM
#50
There are more errors.  Your calculations assume 50 BTC per block, and this is going to halve during the first year of operation.  If you get started after December 9th or thereabout, your block reward will start at 25 BTC.
No, I already included a disclaimer for that: I have not factored that in, and I think BTC prices will double because of it.
You don't want to predict any difficulty increase, but price doubling is assumed?  In that case try another calculation.  Spend all the USD to buy BTC before the block reward halves, and sell afterwards when the price has doubled.  Much more profitable than this mining operation, and less risky because you don't depend on constant difficulty.  :-)
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1000
DiabloMiner author
April 25, 2012, 04:15:53 AM
#49
At 1.5m diff and prices north of $5: 54 BTC a day or $270 a day or $98,550 a year.
[...]
156 * 85 ghash is 13 thash, or enough to completely secure the cryptographic safety of Bitcoin, or make about $9.6 million dollars in the first year, assuming, again, difficulty does not greatly spike or prices do not greatly plummet.
The addition of 13 Thash/s will by itself more than double the difficulty.  Mining is a game of diminishing returns.  When your share of the total network get to large, you mostly compete with yourself.  You at least need to take your own hashrate into account when calculating the resulting difficulty, and don't assume all other innovation in mining will stop.
No, I did the math wrong. Its 3.5 thash, not 13.
There are more errors.  Your calculations assume 50 BTC per block, and this is going to halve during the first year of operation.  If you get started after December 9th or thereabout, your block reward will start at 25 BTC.

No, I already included a disclaimer for that: I have not factored that in, and I think BTC prices will double because of it.
legendary
Activity: 1437
Merit: 1002
https://bitmynt.no
April 25, 2012, 04:11:01 AM
#48
At 1.5m diff and prices north of $5: 54 BTC a day or $270 a day or $98,550 a year.
[...]
156 * 85 ghash is 13 thash, or enough to completely secure the cryptographic safety of Bitcoin, or make about $9.6 million dollars in the first year, assuming, again, difficulty does not greatly spike or prices do not greatly plummet.
The addition of 13 Thash/s will by itself more than double the difficulty.  Mining is a game of diminishing returns.  When your share of the total network get to large, you mostly compete with yourself.  You at least need to take your own hashrate into account when calculating the resulting difficulty, and don't assume all other innovation in mining will stop.
No, I did the math wrong. Its 3.5 thash, not 13.
There are more errors.  Your calculations assume 50 BTC per block, and this is going to halve during the first year of operation.  If you get started after December 9th or thereabout, your block reward will start at 25 BTC.
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