Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc - page 3.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: RichBC on March 29, 2016, 05:40:59 AM

So looks like this Period has unfortunately entered a new upward phase. Yesterday was +18.06% with 170 Blocks. Things have calmed down a lot this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate is, 10 Hours in, +1.36% however there has been a distinct turn up.

Rich

Well looks like an upgrade on the part of bitmaintech.

So if they pull a s-7 at 4.7th off the shelf they are adding lets guess an 8th 1200 watt s-9. And off to the races we go.

we are close to the all time highs of 1300ph see the rectangles below

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

So looks like this Period has unfortunately entered a new upward phase. Yesterday was +18.06% with 170 Blocks. Things have calmed down a lot this Morning and the Period to Date Run Rate is, 10 Hours in, +1.36% however there has been a distinct turn up.

Rich

alh

legendary

Activity: 1846

Merit: 1052

While I forgot to make a guess this round, I probably wouldn't have guessed high enough. Looks to me like it's going to be north of 3%.

As for Bitmain and what it's shipping, I think that anybody that is expecting to receive a pristine newly manufactured device is deluding themselves. They are clearly selling "well tested" gear (i.e. used hardware with a full warranty). There may be some new production hardware mixed in, but the bulk of the latest batch will be used gear, just like it was with S5 in it's last batches. If you were to buy 10 of the latest batch, I'd be stunned if at least 6 weren't obviously used.

I have no idea what they are doing with any newly cleared shelf space.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

The good news to is the 424 price right now. We seem to be holding in 420+ currently... which is nice if we can have a new spot instead of 400. If that lasts we all really win.

I don't see a huge jump up on difficulty considering S7 current batch say's shipping in 5 working day's. It makes me wonder if bitmain is shipping and clearing shelves or if they are making a batch and shipping as they make. I think watching them over next week or two will be interesting.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

all picks are closed the

final picks are below:

-3.0 = Amph

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.5 = blindminer

-1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in

-1.0 = Last of the V8s
-0.9 = indiemax

-0.7 = Notist3d
-0.6 = edonkey
-0.5 = Brob12321

-0.3 = Zebedee

-0.1 =kipper01

0.0 = adaseb

+0.3 = tertius993
+0.5 = RichBC
+0.7 = ezeminer
+0.8 = wpt1wpt1
+0.9 = mavericklm
+1.0 = ingiltere
+1.1 = flikflak
+1.2 = mikestang
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 =pusttiu
+1.9 =HerbPean
+3.7 = fr4nkthetank
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Good luck everyone!

time is ticking down

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   169,662,027,581 (+2.52%)
Adjust time:   After 449 Blocks, About 3.0 days
Hashrate(?):   1,271,860,550 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated:

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 28, 2016, 01:33:46 PM

Quote from: Mikestang on March 28, 2016, 12:57:02 PM

Quote from: flikflak on March 28, 2016, 11:31:06 AM

Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool Sad

And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.

I see a sharp rise from april 15 to july 15 then the ½ an a big drop.

this should be a lot of fun to watch

A big thing is once we hit next gen to. Once we hit it we likely will see a skyrocket on difficulty and likely they will fill up internal farms of the lucky one that hit's it first before selling to public.

Bitmain is either pushing to make another batch or they are clearing shelves with new coupon price. I personally hope it's just another batch as I would enjoy some extra time mining current gen before next gen.

Your right that the next month will be something intersting to watch for sure.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: Mikestang on March 28, 2016, 12:57:02 PM

Quote from: flikflak on March 28, 2016, 11:31:06 AM

Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool Sad

And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.

I see a sharp rise from april 15 to july 15 then the ½ an a big drop.

this should be a lot of fun to watch

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

Quote from: flikflak on March 28, 2016, 11:31:06 AM

Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool Sad

And there are new ~30PH pools popping up in China all the time, it's scary how fast they toss up farms over there. I'm really hoping the halving makes big farms not cost efficient to run and we start seeing chunks of 30-40PH drop off the network instead of add to it.

flikflak

sr. member

Activity: 408

Merit: 259

Antpool was @ 300PH/s around 10 days ago and now they are mining with 342+ PH/s. Those 40+ PH/s are +2.5% of the network... and its only one pool Sad

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: mavericklm on March 28, 2016, 07:04:29 AM

Estimated Next Difficulty:    168,533,193,229 (+1.83%)
Adjust time:    After 560 Blocks, About 3.8 days
Hashrate(?):    1,215,308,390 GH/s

Looks like the silence before another storm!....

my guess is the storm hits in the april 15 to april 30 jump

this jump ends say april 1 say +1%

next one after that ends april 15 say -1%

but april 15 to april 30 + 5% to + 10%

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

Estimated Next Difficulty:    168,533,193,229 (+1.83%)
Adjust time:    After 560 Blocks, About 3.8 days
Hashrate(?):    1,215,308,390 GH/s

Looks like the silence before another storm!....

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

So thigs looking quite stable at the moment. Yesterday was -2.08% 141 Blocks. This Morning, 6 Hours in, the Period to Date Run Rate has just sneaked into positive territory at +0.12%

Rich

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

all picks are closed the

final picks are below:

-3.0 = Amph

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.5 = blindminer

-1.2 = philipma1957 since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in

-1.0 = Last of the V8s
-0.9 = indiemax

-0.7 = Notist3d
-0.6 = edonkey
-0.5 = Brob12321

-0.3 = Zebedee

-0.1 =kipper01

0.0 = adaseb

+0.3 = tertius993
+0.5 = RichBC
+0.7 = ezeminer
+0.8 = wpt1wpt1
+0.9 = mavericklm
+1.0 = ingiltere
+1.1 = flikflak
+1.2 = mikestang
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 =pusttiu
+1.9 =HerbPean
+3.7 = fr4nkthetank
+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Good luck everyone!

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   168,241,179,470 (+1.66%) A little high
Adjust time:   After 609 Blocks, About 4.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,219,055,168 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.3 minutes
6 blocks: 58.6 minutes
Updated:   23:40 (30.0 seconds ago)

I have a real time number of (+0.142%)

with 609 blocks to go we have 1406 made and 1404 is the norm maybe we hit that magic 0

TheYankeesWin!

sr. member

Activity: 464

Merit: 301

What is the diff % in real time?

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 26, 2016, 11:58:40 PM

Quote from: notlist3d on March 26, 2016, 11:43:43 PM

What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate.

But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month.

this is a good point last time I looked at their big wallet they were around 36000 btc I should check it

https://blockchain.info/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V

31,999 btc

they sold 63 btc worth of gear since this post.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 27, 2016, 11:32:30 AM

Quote from: edonkey on March 27, 2016, 11:08:08 AM

The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425.

A nice spike upwards.

It is a nice sign not the 450 I keep hoping for. But it is something positive which is good. I wonder how much of it is due to people buying BTC to buy S7's personally. I might be giving them to much credit, but the new coupon price was a little surprising to me.

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

Quote from: notlist3d on March 26, 2016, 11:43:43 PM

What could be interesting is what will happen if they start selling lots of S7's at new coupon price. We might see a temporary negative from machines being unplugged and shipped. How much... like anything hard to speculate.

But I do see them selling a decent amount at new coupon S7 price. Could be an interesting next month.

I don't think it will be enough to move the needle, the S7 has been on the market too long now for that to happen. Plus everything they are selling is already running so it will have a net 0 effect on network hash power.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Quote from: philipma1957 on March 27, 2016, 11:32:30 AM

Quote from: edonkey on March 27, 2016, 11:08:08 AM

The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425.

A nice spike upwards.

Yes very nice, back through £300, let's hope it can build from here?

Rich

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: edonkey on March 27, 2016, 11:08:08 AM

The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425.

A nice spike upwards.

edonkey

legendary

Activity: 1150

Merit: 1004

The price is shooting up this morning. I had a sell order at $422 that had sat there for 10 days. The price just blasted through and is now trading around $425.

Topic: Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc - page 3. (Read 6256 times)