Topic: Diff thread May 11 to May 24? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.40 btc - page 6. (Read 7875 times)

+4.8 = tss

now open!!

-1.4% = edonkey  nice pick

-1.1 = philipma1957   if it hits I will roll it back in.
-1.0 = Cuidler
-0.9 = cpfreeplz
-0.6 = slastar

+0.0 = HerbPean

+0.1 = talks_cheep
+0.2 = topiOleg
+0.5 = indiemax
+1.0= NeuroticFish
+1.1 = petahashminer
+1.2 = Psi
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 = adaseb
+1.6 = wpt1wpt1
+1.7 = zebedee
+1.8 = Biodom
+1.9 = Mike8
+2.0 = testerman
+2.1 = Kexkey
+2.2 = Erumara
+2.3 = navigatrix

+2.5 = Veves1

+2.8 = Notlist3d
+2.9 = Mikestang
+3.0 = lolxxxx

+3.2 = gnaoui
+3.3 = tertius993
+3.5 = Lindin99
+3.7 = Amph
+3.9 = ingiltere

+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.6 = tss
+5.5 = vapourminer
+6.1 = fr4nkthetank

+6.3 = jacobmayes94

+8.1 = Brob12321



@ adaseb  


 I may end up doing that with eth coin as I can see ETH + BTC enjoying a mutual beneficial  partnership.

see how they can help each other

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/will-eth-coin-rescue-btc-coin-from-asic-builders-1477094

I think we should do a difficulty speculation thread for ETH. Pretty sure more people care about ETH difficulty now more then BTC difficulty.

+5.5 = vapourminer

+1.7 = zebedee

Thank you

now open!!

-1.4% = edonkey  nice pick

-1.1 = philipma1957   if it hits I will roll it back in.
-1.0 = Cuidler
-0.9 = cpfreeplz
-0.6 = slastar

+0.0 = HerbPean

+0.1 = talks_cheep
+0.2 = topiOleg
+0.5 = indiemax
+1.0= NeuroticFish
+1.1 = petahashminer
+1.2 = Psi
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 = adaseb
+1.6 = wpt1wpt1

+1.8 = Biodom
+1.9 = Mike8
+2.0 = testerman
+2.1 = Kexkey
+2.2 = Erumara
+2.3 = navigatrix

+2.5 = Veves1

+2.8 = Notlist3d
+2.9 = Mikestang
+3.0 = lolxxxx

+3.2 = gnaoui
+3.3 = tertius993
+3.5 = Lindin99
+3.7 = Amph
+3.9 = ingiltere

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+6.1 = fr4nkthetank

+6.3 = jacobmayes94

+8.1 = Brob12321


A REAL TIME DIFF NUMBER IS BELOW

https://blockchain.info/blocks

412351 (Main Chain)    2016-05-18 21:00:40     current block for this jump
411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first block  for this jump


so 1087 blocks made so far

time is   7 days 15 hours 10 min

7   x 144   = 1008
15 x 6       =     90
 1  x 1      =        1

total 1099 for 0%
 
so 1087/1099 -1  =   (-1.09%)

as time winds down that real number gets hard to lift ,but we could average  + 10 % from now to the end of the diff     which would get us over +4%

My wife is fostering kittens, so I asked them for their guess instead of our cats. Here's what the kittens said:

-1.4% = edonkey

+3.0% = lolxxxx

+2.9% = Mikestang

We lost the big peak thankfully, I'm thinking that was next gen tech being tested/burned it.  There's hundreds of PH out there still waiting to come online...

now open!!

-1.1 = philipma1957   if it hits I will roll it back in.
-1.0 = Cuidler
-0.9 = cpfreeplz
-0.6 = slastar

+0.0 = HerbPean

+0.1 = talks_cheep
+0.2 = topiOleg
+0.5 = indiemax
+1.0= NeuroticFish
+1.1 = petahashminer
+1.2 = Psi
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 = adaseb
+1.6 = wpt1wpt1

+1.8 = Biodom
+1.9 = Mike8
+2.0 = testerman
+2.1 = Kexkey
+2.2 = Erumara
+2.3 = navigatrix
+2.5 = Veves1
+2.8 = Notlist3d
+3.2 = gnaoui
+3.3 = tertius993
+3.5 = Lindin99
+3.7 = Amph
+3.9 = ingiltere

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+6.1 = fr4nkthetank

+6.3 = jacobmayes94

+8.1 = Brob12321


 

+1.6 = wpt1wpt1


 

+0.5 = indiemax   

thanks 

now open!!

-1.1 = philipma1957   if it hits I will roll it back in.
-1.0 = Cuidler
-0.9 = cpfreeplz
-0.6 = slastar

+0.0 = HerbPean

+0.1 = talks_cheep
+0.2 = topiOleg

+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.1 = petahashminer
+1.2 = Psi
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 = adaseb

+1.8 = Biodom
+1.9 = Mike8
+2.0 = testerman
+2.1 = Kexkey
+2.2 = Erumara
+2.3 = navigatrix
+2.5 = Veves1
+2.8 = Notlist3d
+3.2 = gnaoui
+3.3 = tertius993
+3.5 = Lindin99
+3.7 = Amph
+3.9 = ingiltere

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+6.1 = fr4nkthetank

+6.3 = jacobmayes94

+8.1 = Brob12321


 
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   201,002,348,844 (+3.47%)

Adjust time:   After 966 Blocks, About 6.7 << >>days picks stop at 716

Hashrate(?):   1,380,554,927 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   10:45 (3.8 minutes ago)


@ topiOleg    

 0.40 BTC is the highest it ever reached  I am thinking it will be hit this time.

A REAL TIME DIFF NUMBER IS BELOW
https://blockchain.info/blocks

412314 (Main Chain)    2016-05-18 14:42:09     current block for this jump
411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first block  for this jump


THAT is   1050 blocks made  in 7 days 9 hours.

7 x 144 = 1008   
9 x    6 =     54

1062  would be 0%

so 1050/1062-1 =  (-1.1299%)   real time number 



 Yeah  I don't understand some of the picking strategy of the players.  This is a good prize about 185 usd.
Waiting  until we are at blocks 725- 750  lets you have a much better idea.  Picking at 1075 -1116   keeps you much more unlikely to hit.

Just look below and see that bitcoin wisdom is finally showing a lower number.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   200,068,663,301 (+2.99%)   <<<<<< closer to real number


Adjust time:   After 959 Blocks, About 6.7 days <<<<<<<< picks close at 716  about 2 days


Hashrate(?):   1,364,437,112 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   12:50 (1.9 minutes ago)


So to get to the point  picks close at  block 716  two days or so.  real  number is low under 0 

I hope we drop more.  I wonder if bitmaintech has started shipping batch 17 or 18 it was due to ship the 23rd.

+2.8 = Notlist3d

Thanks!

Hopefully someone get lucky, but so far most of the picks are far from real time number. But things might change before the difficulty adjustement is made, the short term variance (miners luck) in hashrate is pretty high.

block generation time is decreasing slightly, i think diff increase will be between 0 - +5 %

now open!!

-1.1 = philipma1957   if it hits I will roll it back in.
-1.0 = Cuidler
-0.9 = cpfreeplz
-0.6 = slastar

+0.0 = HerbPean

+0.1 = talks_cheep
+0.2 = topiOleg

+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.1 = petahashminer
+1.2 = Psi
+1.3 = VRobb

+1.5 = adaseb

+1.8 = Biodom
+1.9 = Mike8
+2.0 = testerman
+2.1 = Kexkey
+2.2 = Erumara
+2.3 = navigatrix
+2.5 = Veves1

+3.2 = gnaoui
+3.3 = tertius993
+3.5 = Lindin99
+3.7 = Amph
+3.9 = ingiltere

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

+6.1 = fr4nkthetank

+6.3 = jacobmayes94

+8.1 = Brob12321


 
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   201,002,348,844 (+3.47%)

Adjust time:   After 966 Blocks, About 6.7 << >>days picks stop at 716

Hashrate(?):   1,380,554,927 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   10:45 (3.8 minutes ago)


@ topiOleg    

 0.40 BTC is the highest it ever reached  I am thinking it will be hit this time.

A REAL TIME DIFF NUMBER IS BELOW
https://blockchain.info/blocks

412314 (Main Chain)    2016-05-18 14:42:09     current block for this jump
411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first block  for this jump


THAT is   1050 blocks made  in 7 days 9 hours.

7 x 144 = 1008    
9 x    6 =     54

1062  would be 0%

so 1050/1062-1 =  (-1.1299%)   real time number  

ok thank u so much. 

+0.2 = topiOleg

Maybe you should not increase the price when not hit, 0.4 BTC is worth one month of S7 mining!