Diff thread May 11 to May 24? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.40 btc - page 9.

testerman

hero member

Activity: 840

Merit: 1000

i think the contest will begin in about 6-7 hours (40 blocks)
am i right?

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Not sure if we are being lulled into a false sense of security but we continue to trogg along nicely, just in negative territory. Yesterday was -2.08% with 141 Blocks and the Period to Date Run Rate, 8 Hours in Today, is at -1.7%. Let's hope this continues, often things change just after Picks Close.... Which of course will be later this time.

Rich

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

My alter ego account bumped thread.

current info coming up

this is block we are at.
https://blockchain.info/blocks

412092 (Main Chain)   2016-05-17 01:42:47

411265 (Main Chain) 2016-05-11 05:37:45 first

so 818 blocks so far

the time is 5 days and 20 hours that is a pace of 840 to be at 0%

so 818/840 = 0.9738 or (-2.619%)

that is a fine number and the real time number.

below is the future pick

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,083,803,151 (+4.55%) way high compared to real time number
Adjust time:   After 1187 Blocks, About 8.4 days
Hashrate(?):   1,373,286,879 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:

gun to my head picking right now I would average them out add a little and pick +1.1

picks should start in around 11 hours. I should be awake at the time since that would about 9 or 10 am east coast time.

judypug1956

sr. member

Activity: 355

Merit: 276

A bump for phil

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: notlist3d on May 16, 2016, 12:33:39 PM

I won't complain at all if we could get a difficulty change of 5 percent or less. I like to stay under that.... but that does not always happen. I just wish we could keep gaining value. It seems like we are stuck around 450's right now. Hard to stay above 460 for long.

The next 2 months or so until having I think will be interesting to watch is something I'm sure of.

we are pretty solid -1% at the moment. prices are at 458-465

would be good to stay at that.

we open in 115 blocks.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

I won't complain at all if we could get a difficulty change of 5 percent or less. I like to stay under that.... but that does not always happen. I just wish we could keep gaining value. It seems like we are stuck around 450's right now. Hard to stay above 460 for long.

The next 2 months or so until having I think will be interesting to watch is something I'm sure of.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: RichBC on May 16, 2016, 12:57:03 AM

So we are 4 Full Days in and things are currently looking like nothing has been added so far. Yesterday was -3.47% with 139 Blocks and Period Run Rate to Date is -1.5%. I too feel that S9 must be being deployed at Bitmain, so we may see the rate lifting later in the Period. Or we may not

this predicting is very hard.... Grin

Rich

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,671,487,550 (+4.85%) this is about 6% off.
Adjust time:   After 1280 Blocks, About 9.0 days we are starting in about 164 blocks
Hashrate(?):   1,385,412,753 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:

https://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M

Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks

Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s

this is closer.

the chart is mostly under the blue line which is negative.

price is stable at 458

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

So we are 4 Full Days in and things are currently looking like nothing has been added so far. Yesterday was -3.47% with 139 Blocks and Period Run Rate to Date is -1.5%. I too feel that S9 must be being deployed at Bitmain, so we may see the rate lifting later in the Period. Or we may not

this predicting is very hard.... Grin

Rich

fr4nkthetank

legendary

Activity: 2294

Merit: 1182

Now the money is free, and so the people will be

exciting times ahead ahoy ! with all the s9 speculation going around....the production will be ramped up on that one. I suspect diff will continue to rise, somewhat dramatically until halving.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: ezeminer on May 15, 2016, 08:16:24 PM

Pretty crazy how difficulty is almost 200B and a year ago it was only 48B.

Well price was under 250 and the s-5 did .51 watts a gh.

So depending on the exact day to compare to about a year we are close to even.

I am on my iPad which sucks to,do a direct comparison .

I will go on the Mac mini and do Jan 1 feb 1 Mar 1 apr 1 May 1 2015

Dec 30 2014 diff = 40.6 price 317

Jan 27 2015 diff = 41.2 price 255

Feb 22 2015 diff = 46.6 price 237

Mar 22 2015 diff = 46.7 price 269

May 03 2015 diff = 47.6 price 240

May 31 2015 diff = 47.5 price 230

today diff is 194 price is 461

So compare us to May 31 2x the price so take the diff of 194 make it 97

and a top notch s-7 with a plat psu will do .25 watts a gh that is ½ the s-5 so 97/2 = 48.5

So an adjusted diff for now = 48.5 as compared to 47.5 the may 31st date of 2015.

So we are about an exact tie if you have an s-7 upgrade from the s-5.

Of course the ½ ing is around the corner so a shake up is coming

ezeminer

legendary

Activity: 2212

Merit: 1118

Lie down. Have a cookie

Pretty crazy how difficulty is almost 200B and a year ago it was only 48B.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Coinbase is over 460, hopefully we can get it to stay for a while. Not by much at 461 and change but I will take it.

And coindesk has a nice API for watching it and other exchanges - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ . I like being able to select the exchanges as some do tend to be higher then others.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: petahashminer on May 15, 2016, 11:58:37 AM

are picks closed?

Angry

this was so quick.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   207,238,205,356 (+6.68%)
Adjust time:   After 1383 Blocks, About 9.6 days <<<<< we start at block 1116!!
Hashrate(?):   1,416,938,451 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.9 minutes
Updated:   13:20 (7.6 minutes ago)

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Quote from: petahashminer on May 15, 2016, 11:58:37 AM

are picks closed?

Angry

this was so quick.

No, they have not opened yet.

petahashminer

legendary

Activity: 1890

Merit: 1037

are picks closed?

Angry

this was so quick.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

and we are drifting just under -1.0%

411846 (Main Chain)   2016-05-15 07:47:01

411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45

we have made 582 blocks so far in 98 hours   20 min should be 590

So 582/590-1 = -1.35% that is the real time number.

really comes close to this
http://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M

Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks

Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s

so above is -1.3%

below is +7.42%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   208,660,205,792 (+7.42%)
Adjust time:   After 1433 Blocks, About 9.9 days    we start at 1116
Hashrate(?):   1,379,685,221 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:

coinbase = $459

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: HerbPean on May 14, 2016, 12:42:38 PM

Hashrate(?): 1,336,112,524 GH/s

1480 => 1336 ... the magic 150 Peta Tongue

comes back time and time again.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Bitwisdom still looks like it is going to hurt:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    209,522,633,526 (+7.86%)
Adjust time:    After 1517 Blocks, About 10.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,345,088,112 GH/s

Price remains pretty even at 455. Still not getting into 460's this period. Hopefully that changes.

HerbPean

legendary

Activity: 1638

Merit: 1005

Hashrate(?): 1,336,112,524 GH/s

1480 => 1336 ... the magic 150 Peta Tongue

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,109,761,072 (+7.65%)
Adjust time:   After 1555 Blocks, About 10.7 days <<< about 3 days to picks starting
Hashrate(?):   1,357,065,541 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.6 minutes
Updated:

the site above is giving a future number based on the last diff +7.56%

the site below has the real time number near 0.0 %

http://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M

Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks

Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s

the graph below shows more under the blue line then over.

Topic: Diff thread May 11 to May 24? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.40 btc - page 9. (Read 7875 times)