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Topic: Diff thread May 11 to May 24? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.40 btc - page 10. (Read 7724 times)

hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Yesterday was +5.56% with 152 Blocks but the small number of Blocks so far means we have big variance swings. As Phil says real time we are still negative although we are gradually moving up and 8 Hours in are now at -0.6%.

Richj
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
and we are picking up speed today see chart below






411644 (Main Chain)   2016-05-13 21:43:45


411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45

we have made 380 blocks so far in   64 hours    should be  384

so 380/384 -1 =    -1.04 %   This is real time  and very early but decent speeds as of now.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Price is up a little bit at 455.  Would like to see a slow growth to over 460... don't know if we will get that though.  Would be nice.

Bitwisdom does not look to pretty right now:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    210,962,771,580 (+8.60%)
Adjust time:    After 1645 Blocks, About 11.2 days
Hashrate(?):    1,360,019,035 GH/s
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
+3.5 = lindin99
+5.5 = Veves1
Reading the rules too hard for you guys?

Be nice bro.



 To be honest I was  going to get nasty, but It is a multi-country  contest and English may be a third or fourth language for some players.
I have made more then one mistake in these Diff threads.  I also continue to hope one thread for one contest everyone follows all rules and makes zero mistakes.


If you want to have fun look this thread up.

The start of the prizes were in this thread.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/new-diff-thread-jan-27th-to-feb-11-573-to-009-938186


do you remember seriouscoin?
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
+5.5 = Veves1

this pick does not count too soon


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,804,463,083 (+8.00%)
Adjust time:   After 1702 Blocks, About 11.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,360,503,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):  
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:

After Blocks    needs to be  1116    we are at 1702
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
+3.5 = lindin99


this pick does not count too soon


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,804,463,083 (+8.00%)
Adjust time:   After 1702 Blocks, About 11.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,360,503,064 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:

After Blocks    needs to be  1116    we are at 1702
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
So first full Day of the new Period and we saw -3.97% with 139 Blocks. Things are up a little this Morning but the Run Rate so far this period is holding around -3.9%. The change to the pick window will add to the tension and make this even more of a do I go for the pick I want or wait to see what is happening game....  Smiley


Rich

legendary
Activity: 1134
Merit: 1005
hero member
Activity: 1064
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Well I could use a -1 or -2 % drop

but we are only 223 blocks into this jump


411487 (Main Chain)   2016-05-12 20:40:07
411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45


so time is 39 hours = 234 blocks

made is 223 blocks


223/234 -1 =  -4.70% 

but so many blocks left  we can do back to back 165 block days and be at +6%

I delayed picks by 100 blocks  since I want us to hit this contest.

so by the time we are 900 blocks  made with 1116 blocks left we will have a better idea.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Phil  do we have  an update on blocks?
The post immediately above yours has all the info you could want, plus links to click to take you to find more.  The time it took you to post this question you could have answered it yourself.

A big drop off as of now

Looks like they mis-timed turning off their hash, or we are seeing next gen hardware coming off line to be boxed up for distribution.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
The good news on value is we are not really going down to much on this period after May 10's drop.   But we are not going up really much either with price around 451.  I kinda like the coindesk chart if you have not used it ever might check it out - http://www.coindesk.com/price/   I personally use coinbase when I sell (normally to pay electricity) but it is easy to select what exchange on it to view.

Bitwisdom currently:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    209,557,270,044 (+7.88%)
Adjust time:    After 1811 Blocks, About 12.5 days
Hashrate(?):    1,363,831,731 GH/s
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
still doing a solid negative for real numbers



411432 (Main Chain)    2016-05-12 11:07:55   current block made
411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first block made



so this means 167 made in 29 hours 30 minutes    should be 177 blocks

so 167/177-1 = -5.65%     but we are only 167 blocks in.


All hashrate is below the  current blue line below as this has not been updated since the one in the  above post.

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
You are lazy https://blockchain.info/blocks/1462938239540




  we are at block 117

Height   Time   Relayed By   Hash   Size (kB)


411382 (Main Chain)   2016-05-12 03:41:44   117 made since diff started

411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first


so 117 made in  22 hours

should be at 132

so 117/132-1  =    -11.36%    crazy low at the moment.  


thats is right from + 8 to -11   but it is early.



look at chart we are under big time


sr. member
Activity: 464
Merit: 301
Phil  do we have  an update on blocks?
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Yeah I shifted picks 100 blocks later as 0.40 btc is pretty high and I want a winner.

So by the shift it should have a easier time to pick a winner.

also 0.40 btc is our biggest btc prize ever.

We should have a lot of picks.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   210,638,878,472 (+8.43%)
Adjust time:   After 1936 Blocks, About 13.2 days   >>>>>> 1116 is the start point
Hashrate(?):   1,426,876,562 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.9 minutes
Updated:


http://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   411344
Total BTC   15.534M
 
Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   195057429883 in 1936 blks    A big drop off as of now
 
Network total   1300218.499 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.70 / 632 s






we are at 1% or less 'real' time

price is 455 at coinbase.

So waiting til block 1116 will give a better idea  what to pick
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1005
That one is going to be hard to guess.

My guts tell me we are going to to see some slowdown in the hashrate with a very low diff... but I don't really trust it ! hahahha  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1068
0.4BTC, holy cow!  That's quite a prize for a free pick-em game.

I think the on and off hash power may have been some of this next generation gear being tested or burned in, and now it's here to stay.

Yeah, lots of rollovers with the .1 range.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
0.4BTC, holy cow!  That's quite a prize for a free pick-em game.

I think the on and off hash power may have been some of this next generation gear being tested or burned in, and now it's here to stay.
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