We are not going to get to 100 diff and 1000 ph . before the ½ .
unless price jacks upwards quite a bit.
We are already close to a 60 diff and likely to go over 60 at the next adjustment. I don't see any reason why there cannot be growth to 100 by the middle of next year even at the current Bitcoin price. There are 23 adjustments until then.
Mining, and the push for faster miners, will continue before and after the halving.
you don't understand why a builder with 10% of the hash loses money by expanding to 15% of the hash you think he makes more money if he does that.
the problem is 4-6 guys all have 10 to 15% of the hash each. they all can build bp and then the other 4-6 guys match them.
So what hey have been doing is swapping gear with out really expand hash by a ton.
they have s-3's at .75watts they have s-5s at .50watts now they have s-7s at .25watts
so they ⅓ their power so many think they will 3x their hash . if the top 6 builders all do this they all gain nothing and they spent money to make the gear.
so they try to ⅓ their power and 1.5x or 1.2x their hash.
if the top 6 builders do this. they keep the same share of the network and they spend less on power.
This is what has stopped the crazy growth the last year.
unless your gear is god like say .01 watts a gh and really cheap to build expansion of hash matching your efficiency gain is a loser economically.
so s-5 at .5 and s-7 at .25 for example does not pay to 2x the hash power
if the other builders can match you. but if antminer ½ the power and 1.25x the hash and are matched by the other builders antminer makes more money.
this is very simple math.
