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Topic: ✪ E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO/LoL : 420 WINS - 69 LOSSES : MIDDLEMAN SERVICES - page 4. (Read 26549 times)

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
won a nice bit off the underdog bet on VOX, i really dont know why peopl,underrate them this much.


underdog bet for you guys
odds arent as great but i still expect the spreads to both win.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250

picks for today, noble's rob-wiz will not be playing tonight, sub TBA.

all 4 of these lines seem to be a win, ace already up 2-0 in the bo5 series, winning the spread on map 1 with a dominating 16-3 score.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250

picks for today, noble's rob-wiz will not be playing tonight, sub TBA.
hero member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 502
i agree, i have seen quite a few of Vox matches and they are a pretty good team. I made some good bets today, they generously gave 8.5+ for vox on both maps. looking forward to the rest of their matches.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
Lol @fnatic losing to vox being -3000 for the map

people underrate vox a LOT (i really mean a lot) because the 'straylan scene is really never seen. they put up a great performance at katowice too, and i think people forgot about that for whatever reason. not as if a sane person would be taking a bet a -3000 odds anyways
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
Lol @fnatic losing to vox being -3000 for the map
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
gfinity league games are easy money right now with the point spread lines, matchups are really 1 sided. shouldnt take too much thinking to bet on which team at these odds.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250

one bonus pick for now, i think map 2 is lunatik's pick, and seeing how they could take a map off nihilum in the bo2 yesterday, there is a chance for an upset.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
also, bankroll has been reset to 200 mbtc (0.2BTC) for betting on fairlay.
currently matched: 52 mbtc
current total: 211.6 mbtc (0.2116 BTC) --> +0.0116 btc

i will be posting similar updates as a means of tracking progress from now on.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
a couple picks for today:

mouz looking real strong the last few times ive seen them, good to see the line up is coming together.
TSM seems to be still dealing a little with their 'choking' issue, but theyre still a whole level above the current dig lineup.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
another pick for today
KeyD stars (you may remember them from katowice) have moved to NA. theyre nutty like shroud.

also on fairlay the format goes event, bet in mbtc, odds, match outcome, and my pick.

edit: teams for gfinity have been announced, C9 doesnt have a chance imo.

what does the 4.00 and 3.00 mean on the side ? how much you wagered on that bet ? or the odd?

that is the bet in mbtc (0.001 BTC).

also for vp v navi, the maps turned out to be mirage and cobble, both of which are strong maps for both teams, and they ended up taking each other's map picks, resulting in 2 losses. unfortunate, but unexpected b/c map picks. mouz did stomp however, with a 16-6 score winning the spread.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
another pick for today
KeyD stars (you may remember them from katowice) have moved to NA. theyre nutty like shroud.

also on fairlay the format goes event, bet in mbtc, odds, match outcome, and my pick.

edit: teams for gfinity have been announced, C9 doesnt have a chance imo.

what does the 4.00 and 3.00 mean on the side ? how much you wagered on that bet ? or the odd?
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
another pick for today
KeyD stars (you may remember them from katowice) have moved to NA. theyre nutty like shroud.

also on fairlay the format goes event, bet in mbtc, odds, match outcome, and my pick.

edit: teams for gfinity have been announced, C9 doesnt have a chance imo.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
free picks for today

VP v navi:
map 1 is navi pick, map 2 is VP pick.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
VP getting utterly stomped on overpass by LGB, completely unexpected, but it happens.
I'm starting to follow your bets.  Do you think betting on eSports is a good idea?  I feel like it's easier to throw in an online game compared to a physical sport, so that's why I'm wondering if I should bet a good amount of bitcoins in esports.

The potential ROI in e-sports is way higher compated to 'real' sports (for now), just because there are a lot more square bettors who move the lines and not a lot of sharp competition.

In real sports, its extremely hard to find value because all +ev spots are dissapearing really fast after the lines come up, as a result of all sharp money with statistical models behind them jumping on them as long as they are profitable.

You are also mistaken in your feeling thats its easier to throw in online game compared to a physical sport. I would argue that the reverse is actually way more true.
Really?  I'm finding it that there are many teams that throw - in fact - I heard that some of them throw just because they bet on themselves to lose. 
But anyways, I'll try my luck and bet on your bets now!  Will get back to you.

yes, that wouldve been the huge ibuypower scandal a few months back, i believe they made a shitload of money off of that too, steel has stated on stream that he has made 100k usd from matchfixing. however, tier 1 teams and most tier 2 teams do not throw afaik. there are incidents where teams that get listed on lounge for the first time have a tendancy to do so, but more often then not they dont care enough to throw (see onlinebots and stormberg incident)
legendary
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1029
VP getting utterly stomped on overpass by LGB, completely unexpected, but it happens.
I'm starting to follow your bets.  Do you think betting on eSports is a good idea?  I feel like it's easier to throw in an online game compared to a physical sport, so that's why I'm wondering if I should bet a good amount of bitcoins in esports.

The potential ROI in e-sports is way higher compated to 'real' sports (for now), just because there are a lot more square bettors who move the lines and not a lot of sharp competition.

In real sports, its extremely hard to find value because all +ev spots are dissapearing really fast after the lines come up, as a result of all sharp money with statistical models behind them jumping on them as long as they are profitable.

You are also mistaken in your feeling thats its easier to throw in online game compared to a physical sport. I would argue that the reverse is actually way more true.
Really?  I'm finding it that there are many teams that throw - in fact - I heard that some of them throw just because they bet on themselves to lose. 
But anyways, I'll try my luck and bet on your bets now!  Will get back to you.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
uunfortunately, TSM got cocky(?) and decided to go t side first on overpass after winning the knife round, and ended up not doing so well. Don't know what happened, but was not expecting this, lot of upset victories from underdog teams today as well.
in addition, fairlay gives the count of mbtc won within the last week, so ill be using that. Also will be restarting the count for units and whatnot, unit size is still 4mbtc, bankroll is at 0.2 btc. from some betslips i placed earlier, i think my bankroll is at ~0.23 right now, not counting the winnings from nitrogen.

quick update as well, second map for titan v mouz has been rescheduled.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
bonus pick:
odds changed in between my opening the bet page and pressing confirm, odds are decreasing as i type as well.

hiko will be playing for Nihilum (confirmed on stream, really.), predicting hiko alone will probably outskill all of LG by himself kappa
but really, hes good and will be an amazing addition to the team.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
a random few of the bets i placed on fairlay, moving on from nitrogensports, grading takes way too long and fairlay offers better odds.

these free picks were chosen randomly.
a word on fnatic v tsm; tsm seems to have a playstyle that counters fnatic; theyve shown great performances against fnatic in particular, and expect them to win the match, but not betting on a spread because fnatic is fnatic, the best team in the world at the moment.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250

elevate are playing poorly in addition to method playing fantastic right now, but nihilium is still the overall better team here.
edit: direct nade on a teammate 10 feet away, bit of communication issues here

as predicted, nihilium takes the map vs elevate, a bit closer than i thought it would be though, 16-13
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