You guys are having a very interesting and good discussion so I dont want to intervene but aren't the calculations of you telling Le Pen needs millions based on poll's? And isn't the other guy saying that poll-results aren't reliable just like they weren't in The States? The polls in Turkey said that the NO-side wouldve won too btw.
No, the millions are based on the the number of votes Le Pen has managed to attract over time.
They have never managed to attract support from the left or the l/r centrist in local / eu parlament / parliamentary elections.
For example on the last elections the FN (her party) managed to get 27% votes. She only got 22 right now.
Let's not even start the discussion about Turkey.
That was a result like the one in North Korea or Venezuela.
There is a huge difference between election in France and in the United States.
First, based on the french system Trump would have lost.
No. That is plain wrong. If the POTUS election was solely based on popular vote, then Trump would have polled much more votes than Hillary. Confused? Check the turnout in the heavily Republican counties in deep-blue states such as California and Maryland. The Republicans in California didn't voted, as they knew that their candidate was not going to win. In some of the counties, less than 50% of the registered voters cast their ballot. There were a few deep-red states as well (such as West Virginia and Nebraska), but the population of these states were very low.
Assumptions , assumption and far more assumptions.
The fact is that there are 2 million votes that Trump lost the Popular vote by.
And I can also launch assumption.
Maybe the New Yorkers stayed at home because they new that only half of them voting would get the votes needed.
My town is the bets example for this as the mayor got elected with 78% with a lower than 40% turnout.
Most people stayed at home because we all knew we was going to get elected there was simple no other option.
Theoretically, this does not affect the process of governance, but if the leader is subservient to his wife, he will not be able to manage the country. He can't be a leader at all. Psycho President can always predict features of his reign.
Well, let's have then a president who said goodbye to two wives in the past.
If he gets bored maybe he will divorce the us also....
I've heard Australia has some nice curves