Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 396.

fortebettor

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Quote from: Trofo on January 24, 2021, 07:44:06 AM

Quote from: ralle14 on January 24, 2021, 06:04:23 AM

Quote from: Mauser on January 23, 2021, 12:28:53 PM

What are your thoughts on winning the tournament? Maybe Navi will pull through and make it to the finals.

Astralis is going to win it imo, NaVi could make it to the finals if Vitality underperforms but I doubt they will as they've looked very consistent throughout the tournament and probably want another rematch with Astralis after getting stomped on Inferno yesterday.

I agree that Astralis should be a winner of this tournament, they have shown best plays and tactics and have hole team of good performers. Vitality and especially Navi often end up depending on their start players and then falling short if they don't have an exceptional day.

In the consolidation final I am giving advantage to Vitality for the same reasons, Zywoo gets more help from his team than Simple and that should probably be enough to see them book another match against Astralis.

The truth is that the level is getting more and more equal and bookmakers have access to such statistics with machine learning that you will never win anyway. Of course I speak ironically, but the times of good odds without insiders begin to dwindle

hanspeter77

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now live at cs_summit team spirit vs Sproud it look like than Sproud lost Sad

next go mouspsorts vs Furia Esports that gone be an hard match for Furia, Mousesports should win easy.

STT

legendary

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Yea thats a funny one, 2 classic old Nip players vs the new Nip team and thats not a bad team. I think 3 maps is safest bet but also with Dig at ~~2.45x~~ 3x (match started, with nip winning) I'll put a low bet on them. I might add to the 3 maps if I can watch the game. Nip should win going by rankings and I always favor a well practised team all swedish etc. , odds being in their favor is fair enough but Im not truly upto date on either team performances. I'm just rushing as its about to start, I prefer the later games really.

Odds keep moving every time I click place bet, its gone up and wants to confirm Grin

I dont mind they can still come back and its train, problem is this is Dig's pick. Typical upset game, they have to win Nip map pick then I guess, its vertigo which suggests specific practise and strats held ready by Nip, its not looking good for the underdog.

ralle14

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Dignitas @2.35 is way too generous against NiP when they're very close to beating OG yesterday but choked a 15-11 lead on the last map. NiP is still high rank on hltv but they haven't found their form just yet imo this should be 50-50 or 55-45 in favor of Dignitas just from the recent results. I also saw Dignitas tipped on the spreadsheet that STT linked thanks for sharing that with us. Cheesy

docdiss

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Won 4/4 yesterday, feels good. Bets for today:

NiP vs dignitas - MY BET

EG vs FunPlus Phoenix - MY BET

MIBR vs Cloud9 - MY BET

mousesports vs Furia - MY BET

In general betting on favorites at decent odds, one risky bet for Furia but I think that overall they are better team and will show it today, imho those odds are worth a try, GL!

STT

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Furia to beat C9 was one I couldnt decide on and I delayed too long, should have just bet 3 maps. Watching it now, somehow it goes on this long and I was right C9 are genuinely a more impressive team then people are giving them credit for. I realize Furia are ranked way ahead of them but still, skipped this but one to watch.
Valve released stickers for teams even without a recent major, important because it helps fund the teams and raise spirits and competitiveness imo as they all want to stay in the top teams going forward.
16-13 on inferno and last map is train with both teams rated odds equally. I hate train lol can be an awp map I guess

docdiss

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Bets for today:

OG vs dignitas - MY BET

BIG vs Evil Geniuses - MY BET

Gambit vs Spirit - MY BET

Furia vs Cloud9 - MY BET

Just couple of imho rather safe bets but still at decent odds, GL!

Trofo

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Quote from: ralle14 on January 28, 2021, 02:01:04 AM

Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 27, 2021, 12:13:13 PM

gonna leave my LoL thursday pick early, one last unit in a esports game on SB before i go back to the big boy books lol
(boosted to 2.02) no consensus in moneyline for now, some sites have DRX @1.70 odds, some others @2.03 (maybe they're waiting to match Pinnacle lines)...i just think it's gonna be a tough match for both, KT were pretty decent vs. Hanwha and even beat T1 last week...will keep an eye on the picks in the 2nd game and see if i throw a hedge just in case

I also have the same over bet imo DRX should be favored in this series but the over is the best play here since all of DRX previous series went to all three games.

Whoever wins the first game hopefully they throw or do some experiment on the second game just like what Gen G did yesterday against Damwon so we don't have to sweat too much. Cheesy

I also have over on this game on my risky low stake ticket and I have more secure DRX +1.5 @1.35 on my high stake ticket. I am always worried when we all think alike. To easy for bookies to liquidate us on a single game

My other match is 496 to win against Boom @ 1.7, I watched 496 couple of times recently and they are playing super aggressive and fun DOTA. Boom is currently out of form and I expect them to fall behind inside first 10 minutes on each map.

Edit: Called it, the game finished with only result possible to screw all out tickets

ralle14

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 27, 2021, 12:13:13 PM

gonna leave my LoL thursday pick early, one last unit in a esports game on SB before i go back to the big boy books lol
(boosted to 2.02) no consensus in moneyline for now, some sites have DRX @1.70 odds, some others @2.03 (maybe they're waiting to match Pinnacle lines)...i just think it's gonna be a tough match for both, KT were pretty decent vs. Hanwha and even beat T1 last week...will keep an eye on the picks in the 2nd game and see if i throw a hedge just in case

I also have the same over bet imo DRX should be favored in this series but the over is the best play here since all of DRX previous series went to all three games.

Whoever wins the first game hopefully they throw or do some experiment on the second game just like what Gen G did yesterday against Damwon so we don't have to sweat too much. Cheesy

Edit : Our over ain't looking good now man KT performing way too good.

STT

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I saw c9 tipped to beat Nip and earlier Dig to beat Complexity which I would have gone with if I had seen it in time, the old school Forest and Friberg can handle this but maybe I can watch them next time.

So I went 3 maps on the c9 game as perhaps its contentious but anyhow I still cant say I know and this match especially seems hard to call because either team has not done great recently. Only c9 beat Spirit and thats a good result to have as spirit are often a deadly team.

https://www.hltv.org/matches/2346219/nip-vs-cloud9-cs-summit-7

I can see why nip would be the favorites, all speaking the same native language helps and I believe c9 is a newer arrangement probably still learning to coordinate but once again I hope 3 maps comes through, its better gameplay if neither team wipes the other on every map.

hanspeter77

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Today in cs_summit
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Cloud9 that gone be an great match 2 realy good teams, Ninjas should win.

Tomorrow in cs_summit
OG vs Team Dignitas OG will win the better team.

tomahawk9

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Quote from: Trofo on January 27, 2021, 11:17:08 AM

I am faithful to Sportsbet and Stake simply because they have great loyalty programs.

totally forgot about 'em, they tend to be pretty awesome once you reach high tiers...i'm still a peasant in the lower tiers but getting nice rewards every now and then Cheesy

and 25mBTC limit ain't that bad like you said, i thought it was much lower. i know a guy, a sharp bettor who does this for a living, who got limited to 0.5mbtc in some no name bookie LOL, literally a "gtfo my site! you're wrecking us" 🤣

gonna leave my LoL thursday pick early, one last unit in a esports game on SB before i go back to the big boy books lol

(boosted to 2.02) no consensus in moneyline for now, some sites have DRX @1.70 odds, some others @2.03 (maybe they're waiting to match Pinnacle lines)...i just think it's gonna be a tough match for both, KT were pretty decent vs. Hanwha and even beat T1 last week...will keep an eye on the picks in the 2nd game and see if i throw a hedge just in case

Trofo

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 27, 2021, 11:06:20 AM

@Trofo sounds like you're gonna have to start shopping for an esports site that offers higher limits in order to keep a consistent profits and get the most value (something you're not getting on SB). Obviously, sites like SB, FJ or Stake are not one of those, so if you wanna try out one of the well-established bookies on this forum, you're out of luck. Have you tried Pinnacle yet? i remember you saying you had an old acc there

I am faithful to Sportsbet and Stake simply because they have great loyalty programs. Stake is giving me free money every Saturday and once every month. Sportsbet clubhouse is giving back even more, last few rewards in titanium tier were all well above 5 mBTC each which is nice bonus and helps me stay in the green. Also that multi insurance is great thing and I end up getting free bets almost every time I loose ticket. They are even nice enough that limit is still 25mBTC even though BTC has gone way up.

I don't mind the limits since they are mostly on low tier tournaments and actually keep me in check. It is not a good idea to bet big amounts on tournaments with small prize funds

No matter I am doing good at the moment they actually saved me a lot of money in some occasions.

tomahawk9

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Cats on Mars

@Trofo sounds like you're gonna have to start shopping for an esports site that offers higher limits in order to keep a consistent profits and get the most value (something you're not getting on SB). Obviously, sites like SB, FJ or Stake are not one of those, so if you wanna try out one of the well-established bookies on this forum, you're out of luck. Have you tried Pinnacle yet? i remember you saying you had an old acc there

Quote from: ralle14 on January 27, 2021, 09:03:45 AM

That series between Heroic and mouseports yesterday should've easily went to three maps but Heroic decides to throw I really thought they had Vertigo in the bag once they took the lead in the second half. Insane performance by Karrigan I haven't seen an IGL put up an insane performance like that lol.

Cloud9 at slight underdog odds against a struggling NiP team seems like a no brainer even though they had the tougher match up they should've kept it somewhat close.

damn Heroic fluke bots, man :/ Mouse and Karrigan tho 🔥🔥

Well, another big tourney just started: DreamHack, but the matches today are kinda meh. Spirit - Forze is the russian classic of this era, but both teams just went through some roster changes it seems so not sure if i want to drop some money on this match. Spirit have a new guy that will replace iDisbalance, and Forze no longer have Xsepower (benched maybe?), game's literally a toss up

ralle14

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That series between Heroic and mouseports yesterday should've easily went to three maps but Heroic decides to throw I really thought they had Vertigo in the bag once they took the lead in the second half. Insane performance by Karrigan I haven't seen an IGL put up an insane performance like that lol.

Cloud9 at slight underdog odds against a struggling NiP team seems like a no brainer even though they had the tougher match up they should've kept it somewhat close.

hanspeter77

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Tomorrow in DreamHack
BIG vs HellRaisers BIG will win,they the better, hard match for Hellraisers.
FunPlus Phoenix vs Evil Geniuses hard to say who will win im think Evil.

at CS_summit
FaZe Clan vs MIBR yeah im love wachting when play FaZE they realy good team.

Trofo

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 26, 2021, 10:57:22 AM

huh, is it me or you seem to hit multis consistently? that second one woulda covered all of my losses from last week,, hella nice, man 👍

Since I only play multis it would be really bad for my budget if I weren't hitting them Grin

Too be fair I am usually hitting doubles or trebles for high stake and not the multis like I posted above. But I can't play my usual high stake multi on eSports since my stake gets limited so tickets I post in this thread are usually more x5 multi for lower stake. That goes especially for eSports handicaps since limits on them are much stricter than on ML or under/over.

tomahawk9

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@ralle the ML at 1.80 is pretty good, Mouse odds got slashed in almost all bookmakers after american punters woke up Cheesy

current odds at 1.7x, sounds like Mouse left a good impression yesterday vs. FaZe. GL!

Quote from: Trofo on January 26, 2021, 10:34:57 AM

That over 2.5 on Heroic looks like a really good pick but I am not following it. Would not want to jinx it for you. I already got correct all eSports games I played today so I feel like playing any more would be pushing it

https://imgur.com/q92iKbW

By the way, all usual markets are now available on Sportsbet. I guess they just needed more time to get it done properly.

yeah those bookies had all the markets available in the rest of the CSGO games, it was only in OG - Fnatic where prematch lines were gone for some reason :/

huh, is it me or you seem to hit multis consistently? that second one woulda covered all of my losses from last week,, hella nice, man 👍

Trofo

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 26, 2021, 07:57:10 AM

anyways, sportradar (or was it Betradar? i forgot the name of this provider) is back with their bullcrap, ffs! https://i.ibb.co/886tjHs/d8fg6.png
Fnatic - OG about to start and FJ, SB, bitsler, stake, etc, they are only offering moneyline, rest of the markets are closed...well, that's the kind of push i needed to finally top-up my esports bookie accounts Roll Eyes

i'll prolly go O2.5 maps in Heroic - Mouse, Nuke and Train should be free wins for both teams respectively

That over 2.5 on Heroic looks like a really good pick but I am not following it. Would not want to jinx it for you. I already got correct all eSports games I played today so I feel like playing any more would be pushing it

https://imgur.com/q92iKbW

By the way, all usual markets are now available on Sportsbet. I guess they just needed more time to get it done properly.

ralle14

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on January 26, 2021, 07:57:10 AM

the other day i was wondering "where the f*ck did the thunderpick shills go"?, but i just realized that i have these turds on Ignore which is why i kept missing their posts...i might start reporting these shills and see if they'll start polluting this thread with their mindless and smelly shitposts

anyways, sportradar (or was it Betradar? i forgot the name of this provider) is back with their bullcrap, ffs! https://i.ibb.co/886tjHs/d8fg6.png
Fnatic - OG about to start and FJ, SB, bitsler, stake, etc, they are only offering moneyline, rest of the markets are closed...well, that's the kind of push i needed to finally top-up my esports bookie accounts Roll Eyes

i'll prolly go O2.5 maps in Heroic - Mouse, Nuke and Train should be free wins for both teams respectively

Interesting to know that Bitsler also uses betradar and yeah the lack of updated market does suck when it happens. Anyway best of luck on the over I think that should be an easy hit since both of them looked great yesterday.

I should've just taken the over too but I already locked my pick on mousesports kind of a risky bet hoping frozen pops off again.

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 396. (Read 77123 times)