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Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 404. (Read 80409 times)

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January 31, 2021, 06:22:07 AM
[League]

As I am a fan of LOL, I've noticed the pick of gnar in this meta, where it only has a 41% win-rate in LCK, yet still being picked as somehow Top lane priority champion. Can someone explain why they are consistently picking this champ?

It definitely make me feel awful of my bets, when the team pick this champ  Undecided
I don't play league but from what i've seen Gnar is a decent pick as it gives a good front line for the team and could be the difference maker to win a team fight when using the ult at a good timing to punch in the backline of the enemy team. Sometimes there's too many factors that affects the outcome of the game like getting ganked early, losing objectives, some players are good with it and others aren't.
 

I've come to realize why they are prioritizing gnar in this meta. first, is that he is a range champion so he can punish pretty much any top laner. Second is his ability to become a tank the second his passive goes to 100, which is really needed as an offlaner and part of the team. 3rd, MEGA GNAR has pretty good CC's which also deals a lot of damage in any team fight. Though I see him lacking in his defense when his just a regular gnar, and can be punished by any kind of gank immediately. Also his ult is only available during his mega gnar stage, which can be manipulated by the opposing team.
jr. member
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January 31, 2021, 06:02:16 AM
Hi there, couple of bets for today's CS Summit:

Mousesports - VP: My bet
fnatic - Heroic: My bet

Today's matches will be quite interesting, as there are no clear favorites, so everyone can win, but based on statistics, VP and Heroic play a little more confidently than their rivals. A very important role is for Mouz and Fnatic newbies who have not yet fully found their game on some maps, so there may be a problem in their choice.  Wink
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January 30, 2021, 02:57:34 PM
Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.

Neon's captain got this very versatile way on how they would play or play mind tricks on their opponent DURING the draft and they should really deliver whatever draft that they are doing and they absolutely won fair and square using this kind of drafting. They must have used it within scrimmages because no pro-player would even try testing a supposedly position 1 hero for position 5 although we recently saw Lifestealer as a position 4 in the CIS/EU region.
legendary
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January 30, 2021, 10:28:48 AM
Now live: BIG vs Team Spirit first round win BIG, now BIG have a bit Air up and Spririt must play very good to win.
and later Fnatic vs Cloud9 that gone ba an great match vote for Fnatic  Grin Grin
hero member
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January 30, 2021, 09:35:34 AM
Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.
I also saw that game, their midlane templar was snowballing so hard at the early game until they couldn't catch up anymore.
Yopaj/Japoy is really one of the best mid laners. What I'm waiting for him to have a match are with those EU and NA players and also those tier 1 teams in China.
I've managed to monitor his growth and as a team, they really are developing and improving every tournament that they play. They're still currently underrated.
legendary
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January 30, 2021, 08:23:10 AM
[League]

As I am a fan of LOL, I've noticed the pick of gnar in this meta, where it only has a 41% win-rate in LCK, yet still being picked as somehow Top lane priority champion. Can someone explain why they are consistently picking this champ?

It definitely make me feel awful of my bets, when the team pick this champ  Undecided
I don't play league but from what i've seen Gnar is a decent pick as it gives a good front line for the team and could be the difference maker to win a team fight when using the ult at a good timing to punch in the backline of the enemy team. Sometimes there's too many factors that affects the outcome of the game like getting ganked early, losing objectives, some players are good with it and others aren't.

Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.
I also saw that game, their midlane templar was snowballing so hard at the early game until they couldn't catch up anymore.
hero member
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January 30, 2021, 07:09:47 AM
Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.

Neon overwhelmed TNC on that Game 1 Bo3. They didnt able to catch up and closing the gap in terms of farm and experience from mid-game until to the last phase.

Riki+TA's is already too fat for them to stop, even though they do held up the base for long but farm for Arc warded isnt really enough and MK didnt able to catch up which
they are almost the same networth on the supports of Neon.

Troll on PoS5 isnt something new and we had seen in the past. Actually any heroes can really fit out Pos5 depending on how he would utilize skills and how well
on using up support items.
Some might say that nothing is special with that because of the item selection of their pos 5 Troll. But it's still a pos 5 that managed to get items in the long run. I agree that any hero can be of a good pos 5 but you don't usually see this kind of hero lineup in a tournament. OG is doing the same in every meta but this is rare to watch.
Anyway, Neon took the game 2-1.
hero member
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January 30, 2021, 06:38:02 AM
Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.

Neon overwhelmed TNC on that Game 1 Bo3. They didnt able to catch up and closing the gap in terms of farm and experience from mid-game until to the last phase.

Riki+TA's is already too fat for them to stop, even though they do held up the base for long but farm for Arc warded isnt really enough and MK didnt able to catch up which
they are almost the same networth on the supports of Neon.

Troll on PoS5 isnt something new and we had seen in the past. Actually any heroes can really fit out Pos5 depending on how he would utilize skills and how well
on using up support items.
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 603
January 30, 2021, 06:18:11 AM
Who is tuning in the Dota Pro Circuit in SEA in Upper Division? Who watched TNC versus Neon's first game? That pos 5 of Neon, Jaunuel always gets to use crazy heroes to become pos 5.
Before it was Void pos 5, with the first game, he used Troll as pos 5.
jr. member
Activity: 56
Merit: 2
January 30, 2021, 06:09:44 AM
Hello, couple of bets for today's CS Summit:

VP - NiP: My bet
fnatic - Cloud9: My bet
OG - Heroic: My bet

I go for favourites today, because they are all pretty stable and have already shown a good game in the tournament. Moreover I would like to watch how Jackinho will show yourself up to the end of cs summit. GL with your bets!  Wink
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January 30, 2021, 05:19:34 AM
[League]

As I am a fan of LOL, I've noticed the pick of gnar in this meta, where it only has a 41% win-rate in LCK, yet still being picked as somehow Top lane priority champion. Can someone explain why they are consistently picking this champ?

It definitely make me feel awful of my bets, when the team pick this champ  Undecided
member
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January 30, 2021, 03:42:19 AM
What are your thoughts on winning the tournament? Maybe Navi will pull through and make it to the finals.

Astralis is going to win it imo, NaVi could make it to the finals if Vitality underperforms but I doubt they will as they've looked very consistent throughout the tournament and probably want another rematch with Astralis after getting stomped on Inferno yesterday.
I agree that Astralis should be a winner of this tournament, they have shown best plays and tactics and have hole team of good performers. Vitality and especially Navi often end up depending on their start players and then falling short if they don't have an exceptional day.

In the consolidation final I am giving advantage to Vitality for the same reasons, Zywoo gets more help from his team than Simple and that should probably be enough to see them book another match against Astralis.

The truth is that the level is getting more and more equal and bookmakers have access to such statistics with machine learning that you will never win anyway. Of course I speak ironically, but the times of good odds without insiders begin to dwindle
legendary
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January 29, 2021, 12:39:08 PM
now live at cs_summit  team spirit vs Sproud  it look like than Sproud lost Sad
next go mouspsorts vs Furia Esports that gone be an hard match for Furia, Mousesports should win easy.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4172
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January 29, 2021, 08:12:16 AM
Yea thats a funny one, 2 classic old Nip players vs the new Nip team and thats not a bad team.    I think 3 maps is safest bet but also with Dig at 2.45x 3x  (match started, with nip winning) I'll put a low bet on them.    I might add to the 3 maps if I can watch the game.   Nip should win going by rankings and I always favor a well practised team all swedish etc. , odds being in their favor is fair enough but Im not truly upto date on either team performances.    I'm just rushing as its about to start, I prefer the later games really.


Odds keep moving every time I click place bet, its gone up and wants to confirm  Grin   I dont mind they can still come back and its train, problem is this is Dig's pick.   Typical upset game, they have to win Nip map pick then I guess, its vertigo which suggests specific practise and strats held ready by Nip, its not looking good for the underdog.
legendary
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January 29, 2021, 07:45:00 AM
Dignitas @2.35 is way too generous against NiP when they're very close to beating OG yesterday but choked a 15-11 lead on the last map. NiP is still high rank on hltv but they haven't found their form just yet imo this should be 50-50 or 55-45 in favor of Dignitas just from the recent results. I also saw Dignitas tipped on the spreadsheet that STT linked thanks for sharing that with us.  Cheesy

newbie
Activity: 79
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January 29, 2021, 03:53:40 AM
Won 4/4 yesterday, feels good. Bets for today:

NiP vs dignitas - MY BET

EG vs  FunPlus Phoenix - MY BET

MIBR vs Cloud9 - MY BET

mousesports vs Furia - MY BET

In general betting on favorites at decent odds, one risky bet for Furia but I think that overall they are better team and will show it today, imho those odds are worth a try, GL!
STT
legendary
Activity: 4172
Merit: 1462
January 28, 2021, 06:47:16 PM
Furia to beat C9 was one I couldnt decide on and I delayed too long, should have just bet 3 maps.   Watching it now, somehow it goes on this long and I was right C9 are genuinely a more impressive team then people are giving them credit for.   I realize Furia are ranked way ahead of them but still, skipped this but one to watch.
   Valve released stickers for teams even without a recent major, important because it helps fund the teams and raise spirits and competitiveness imo as they all want to stay in the top teams going forward.
16-13 on inferno and last map is train with both teams rated odds equally.  I hate train lol   can be an awp map I guess
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
January 28, 2021, 05:13:34 AM
Bets for today:

OG vs dignitas - MY BET

BIG vs Evil Geniuses - MY BET

Gambit vs Spirit - MY BET

Furia vs Cloud9 - MY BET

Just couple of imho rather safe bets but still at decent odds, GL!
legendary
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January 28, 2021, 02:49:42 AM
gonna leave my LoL thursday pick early, one last unit in a esports game on SB before i go back to the big boy books lol
(boosted to 2.02) no consensus in moneyline for now, some sites have DRX @1.70 odds, some others @2.03 (maybe they're waiting to match Pinnacle lines)...i just think it's gonna be a tough match for both, KT were pretty decent vs. Hanwha and even beat T1 last week...will keep an eye on the picks in the 2nd game and see if i throw a hedge just in case
I also have the same over bet imo DRX should be favored in this series but the over is the best play here since all of DRX previous series went to all three games.

Whoever wins the first game hopefully they throw or do some experiment on the second game just like what Gen G did yesterday against Damwon so we don't have to sweat too much.  Cheesy
I also have over on this game on my risky low stake ticket and I have more secure DRX +1.5 @1.35 on my high stake ticket. I am always worried when we all think alike. To easy for bookies to liquidate us on a single game Smiley

My other match is 496 to win against Boom @ 1.7, I watched 496 couple of times recently and they are playing super aggressive and fun DOTA. Boom is currently out of form and I expect them to fall behind inside first 10 minutes on each map.

Edit: Called it, the game finished with only result possible to screw all out tickets
legendary
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January 28, 2021, 02:01:04 AM
gonna leave my LoL thursday pick early, one last unit in a esports game on SB before i go back to the big boy books lol
(boosted to 2.02) no consensus in moneyline for now, some sites have DRX @1.70 odds, some others @2.03 (maybe they're waiting to match Pinnacle lines)...i just think it's gonna be a tough match for both, KT were pretty decent vs. Hanwha and even beat T1 last week...will keep an eye on the picks in the 2nd game and see if i throw a hedge just in case
I also have the same over bet imo DRX should be favored in this series but the over is the best play here since all of DRX previous series went to all three games.

Whoever wins the first game hopefully they throw or do some experiment on the second game just like what Gen G did yesterday against Damwon so we don't have to sweat too much.  Cheesy

Edit : Our over ain't looking good now man KT performing way too good. 
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