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Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 431. (Read 80314 times)

newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
September 24, 2020, 04:46:51 AM
Bets for today:

c0ntact vs mousesports - MY BET
Movistar Riders vs SKADE - MY BET
EG vs Furia - MY BET

Couple of safe bets at decent odds, hoping for easy 3/3
legendary
Activity: 3458
Merit: 1940
Shuffle.com
September 23, 2020, 12:59:48 PM
We can hope as much as we want but NaVi won 2:0 very easy. I don't know what Nigma thought with drafting today but both maps looked very distinctly in favor for NaVi after drafting faze. In first map Nigma started well even with that odd draft but then over extended once and after that it was all over.
They had a good strat in the early game taking the map and jungle of NaVi but they failed to siege the high ground until the gold lead became insignificant once the enemy cores had enough items. Their draft looked good in the second map but NaVi had the better execution by jumping on Miracle most of the time whenever they see him on the minimap.

Team Secret had a bad start against VP Prodigy going down in the first map and the live odds went up to 1.8 for the series win at one point before stomping the next two maps.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
September 23, 2020, 10:02:03 AM
fuuuuuuck you Nigma! they lost and now i'm going through my worst losing streak of the month (3)

#: Heroic - OG - Over 2.5 @1.99 LOST
#: Evil Geniuses - Team Liquid (LIVE) - Over 26.5 @1.80 LOST
#: Nigma - Natus Vincere - Nigma @1.6 LOST
next ticket #: OG - Alliance - Over 2.5 @2.18 WIN https://i.ibb.co/b6J1sq6/o25.png
edit* ^ phew! anyone watched the match? OG was trolling with Oracle mid in game 2 and still won...wut?  Cheesy

look on the bright side @Harko, at least now u know that those sort of multis with extremely low odds picks are not worth it, so you won't be making the same mistake in the future Smiley

@toke  do you know a bookie that's offering lines for the ASL Season10? the books that i use don't offer brood war events
Try FortuneJack, I know he bets there often
Nitrogen and Stake have SC/BW lines too.
k, thanks
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
September 23, 2020, 09:08:36 AM
OGA Dotapit is back once again with another online tournament and i'm going with Team Nigma and Secret (-1.5) for a combined odds of 2.1. Team Nigma faces the new roster of NaVi which is basically the FlyToMoon guys. In the previous Dotapit tournament they also faced each other right away and it ended 2-0 for Team Nigma.

The golden rule for CIS-gamblers - "Don't bet for NaVi, Don't bet against Na'Vi."  Grin
Hope that Nigma will take that match 2-0.

We can hope as much as we want but NaVi won 2:0 very easy. I don't know what Nigma thought with drafting today but both maps looked very distinctly in favor for NaVi after drafting faze. In first map Nigma started well even with that odd draft but then over extended once and after that it was all over.
Thats why i am avoiding betting on NaVi =) Imho, dota 2 betting is much more easier to bet/predict after pick/during match. So thats why i prefer live-betting for dota
But, i have to say NaVi did a good job in this match=)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
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September 23, 2020, 08:00:47 AM
OGA Dotapit is back once again with another online tournament and i'm going with Team Nigma and Secret (-1.5) for a combined odds of 2.1. Team Nigma faces the new roster of NaVi which is basically the FlyToMoon guys. In the previous Dotapit tournament they also faced each other right away and it ended 2-0 for Team Nigma.

The golden rule for CIS-gamblers - "Don't bet for NaVi, Don't bet against Na'Vi."  Grin
Hope that Nigma will take that match 2-0.

We can hope as much as we want but NaVi won 2:0 very easy. I don't know what Nigma thought with drafting today but both maps looked very distinctly in favor for NaVi after drafting faze. In first map Nigma started well even with that odd draft but then over extended once and after that it was all over.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
September 23, 2020, 08:00:16 AM
DreamHack qualifiers starts today, so here goes an acca, been a while since i placed one of those https://i.ibb.co/wLgCrKF/ezpz.png
Following you with very similar multi for low stake. I just took Sprout to win 2:0 and added one more game x6tence over 2.5 for boost. That way your ticket will be a wining one and that one game will screw me over  Wink
Why did you take Sprout map 2. Do you know that map will be Sprout pick? If affirmative how do you know that? Usually underdogs picks first but that is not always the case. Is there some kind of rule? I usually wait for map picks and then place those kinds of bet live.

@toke  do you know a bookie that's offering lines for the ASL Season10? the books that i use don't offer brood war events
Try FortuneJack, I know he bets there often

Nitrogen and Stake have SC/BW lines too.  I only started using FJ after their campaign ended to show some appreciation for their generosity.  That sig campaign padded lots of my losses.  Lol.  Cheesy

Anyway the market for round of 16 will prolly be up next week.
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
September 23, 2020, 05:51:04 AM
OGA Dotapit is back once again with another online tournament and i'm going with Team Nigma and Secret (-1.5) for a combined odds of 2.1. Team Nigma faces the new roster of NaVi which is basically the FlyToMoon guys. In the previous Dotapit tournament they also faced each other right away and it ended 2-0 for Team Nigma.

The golden rule for CIS-gamblers - "Don't bet for NaVi, Don't bet against Na'Vi."  Grin
Hope that Nigma will take that match 2-0.
legendary
Activity: 3458
Merit: 1940
Shuffle.com
September 23, 2020, 05:45:57 AM
DOTA pit returns today and I have already placed my bets on team Nigma against NaVi, I have them as basic ML @1.55 on my multi and I have a single that Nigma wins 2:0 @2.7 (SB boost). Should come easily according to the stats (latest form, recent H2H) and eye test. I am not touching the rest of eSports for now. Maybe I'll add another ticket later.
I also have Team Nigma to win the series but I parlayed them with Secret (-1.5) for a combined odds of 2.1. Team Nigma faces the new roster of NaVi which is basically the FlyToMoon guys. In the previous Dotapit tournament they also faced each other right away and it ended 2-0 for Team Nigma.
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
September 23, 2020, 05:44:38 AM
Here is my small odd 3-game parlay 
https://i.imgur.com/st9VtWe.png

Betting on just one of the underdogs would have been at least 4x profitable than the odds of the favorites combined,

https://i.imgur.com/DPionQ6.png

That's the point of betting indusrty =) Betting on underdogs with smaller amount several times gives same or even bigger results than wagering on favorites.  Sad
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
September 23, 2020, 04:31:20 AM
Here is my small odd 3-game parlay 
https://i.imgur.com/st9VtWe.png

Betting on just one of the underdogs would have been at least 4x profitable than the odds of the favorites combined,

newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
September 23, 2020, 03:40:43 AM
Today betting only on Dreamhack Open:

Heretics vs C0ntact - MY BET
x6tence vs mousesports - MY BET
North vs Endpoint - MY BET

Heretics vs C0ntact should be an even match although I'm going for Heretics here, x6tence bet is completely unlogical but at 6.28 odds I will give them a chance will small 5€ bet and North should be clear favorites and odds ain't that bad for such team (1.40) so at least that most likely will be a guarantee win even if other two bets will fail
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
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September 23, 2020, 02:34:25 AM
DOTA pit returns today and I have already placed my bets on team Nigma against NaVi, I have them as basic ML @1.55 on my multi and I have a single that Nigma wins 2:0 @2.7 (SB boost). Should come easily according to the stats (latest form, recent H2H) and eye test. I am not touching the rest of eSports for now. Maybe I'll add another ticket later.

Heretic - c0ntact over 2.5 looks good for me and will be part of that other ticket for sure if I decide to play it.
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 603
September 22, 2020, 06:26:19 PM
I'm very much disappointed with the run and performance of Fnatic Dota 2 on the BTS Pro series SEA. Execration has already been eliminated and Fnatic is endangered to be the next team. It's either Team 032 or Fnatic that will be out of the tournament. If Fnatic wins against Neon with 2-0, they are still in and 032 is out. But if not, 032 is in and Fnatic out.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
September 22, 2020, 09:37:13 AM
Why did you take Sprout map 2. Do you know that map will be Sprout pick? If affirmative how do you know that? Usually underdogs picks first but that is not always the case. Is there some kind of rule?
to anwser the first question: I thought they were the higher ranked team and would pick 2nd map 😂😭

as for the rules: in some tourneys, as you know, the lower ranked team picks first, like in the ESL pro league. Same thing happens in DreamHack where they take into account the Regional Major Rankings. But, i forgot about RMR and i assumed that Sprout were the higher ranked because of the HLTV ranking, but, to my surprise, FATE are oficially the higher ranked team,, See here: https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/DreamHack/2020/Fall/Europe/Qualifier (meh, low stake acca =P my main ticket will be on EG - Team Liquid later today)

but there are some tournaments where there's no ranking system and teams will knife before the match and the winner will choose which team ban/picks first
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 2789
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September 22, 2020, 07:07:02 AM
DreamHack qualifiers starts today, so here goes an acca, been a while since i placed one of those https://i.ibb.co/wLgCrKF/ezpz.png
Following you with very similar multi for low stake. I just took Sprout to win 2:0 and added one more game x6tence over 2.5 for boost. That way your ticket will be a wining one and that one game will screw me over  Wink
Why did you take Sprout map 2. Do you know that map will be Sprout pick? If affirmative how do you know that? Usually underdogs picks first but that is not always the case. Is there some kind of rule? I usually wait for map picks and then place those kinds of bet live.

@toke  do you know a bookie that's offering lines for the ASL Season10? the books that i use don't offer brood war events
Try FortuneJack, I know he bets there often
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 994
Cats on Mars
September 22, 2020, 06:14:43 AM
I've updated the Calendar in the OP...only 3 more days for LoL Worlds 2020 play-in! also, OGA Dota Pit returns tomorrow

DreamHack qualifiers starts today, so here goes an acca, been a while since i placed one of those https://i.ibb.co/wLgCrKF/ezpz.png

@toke  do you know a bookie that's offering lines for the ASL Season10? the books that i use don't offer brood war events
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
September 22, 2020, 04:12:09 AM
Day 6 of the ASL Season 10 live in about 45 mins or so...  Parlayed Sharp and Action at 2.03ish.  Let's win some monies!

SC/BW Afreeca Starleague Season 10, Ro.24 Day 6
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AULX7Mf3CSU

Edit:  Ugh...  What bad timing lifting his barracks. 
newbie
Activity: 79
Merit: 0
September 22, 2020, 03:33:11 AM
Couple of bets for today:

EG vs Liquid - MY BET
Furia vs Chaos - MY BET
Gen.G vs Cloud9 - MY BET

Considering recent form of both teams Liquid at odds 2.22 is imo a bargain, Furia are clear favorites there is no doubt and Gen.G vs C9 will be an even matchup although personally I have placed bet on Gen.G.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
September 21, 2020, 11:28:49 PM
Been quite a while I made a bet on Esports with usual sports back to it's fullest, I however got an impressive 7 mBTC freebet from FortuneJack to gamble on esports (you all might wanna check, should in case you got it too)

Here is my small odd 3-game parlay 
https://i.imgur.com/st9VtWe.png
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
September 19, 2020, 05:07:48 PM
i'll be following Heroic - OG (O2.5 maps), i'm expecting a close match
EDIT* OGarbage, ffs! go back to Nine to Five and Eden Arena



Same pick as you, and a third straight losing ticket this week for me (1-4 overall), previous two lost thanks to the unpredictable mousesports (who by the way beat Vitality today and qualified for the playoffs)...strange times! ESL Pro (EU) playoff phase will resume on 29th, so i think i will take that week off to clear my head. hehe
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