Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 431.

morvillz7z

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NiP did it 3v5 in the 54th round (4th OT) Cheesy

this is probably my sweetest win ever as i had it O2.5

I originally posted (and then deleted) when the game was in second OT and NiP had a map point but failed to convert. Never post before it's all done. Grin

What an absolute thriller that was pheww..., anyway i just wanted to say/brag that i'm 2/2 on the day, had another win on those 3 o'clock Nine to Five 3 matches, backed both underdogs to win a map, and both FATE and KOVA won their map picks.

Avirunes

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 20, 2020, 06:22:11 AM

oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣

Yeah Fnatic haven't been in their best form lately. But still given the previous performances and the changes they have went through i favoured Fnatic over Astralia but they did very well. Vitality on the other hand are a very good team and are currently performing good as well so yeah it will be definitely a good test for them

Trofo

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 20, 2020, 06:22:11 AM

anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next

Now you made me play another ticket. I already have a nice multi which includes Nigma later today but I didn't have to courage to take FTM even though I thought them a good bet. After you wrote this I played another simple double FTM to win @ 1.64 and BIG to win 2:0 @2.6

Also waiting for Izako Boars to take one map but it is not gonna happen so my early CS ticket goes bye, bye.

tomahawk9

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Quote from: Trofo on August 19, 2020, 09:42:37 AM

But that price boost is a thing of beauty.

indeed!

Quote from: Avirunes on August 20, 2020, 03:16:23 AM

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun Cheesy

oof! dev1ce vs ZywOo, comeback of the best awper in the world vs Zywho?? Vitality will be a good benchmark for Astralis to test their abilities, the game vs Fnatic doesn't count, it was child's play 🤣

~~anyhow, i need a change of pace so i'm gonna skip the csgo matches and focus on Dota. FlyToMoon ML https://i.ibb.co/r3BWpqC/gogo.png odds dropped dramatically overnight, currently at 1.66. next~~ edit* huh, for some odd reason, FTM decided to drop game 3 to play Fall Guys 🤔

Also, reminder: LCS playoffs are coming back today with Cloud9 - FlyQuest, anyone expecting a stop from C9 or a close match?

Avirunes

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 19, 2020, 06:27:41 AM

did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic Shocked

Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

Yeah I saw that one. I like the changes in the team. Bubzkji and es3tag platted really well. Hope they can lift up the performance again. I loved the play Astralia displayed in Nuke. There was a round when these two players-Bubzkji and es3tag took won the round against 4 alone.

They have next match against Vitality . Zywoo vs device ,- that would be fun Cheesy

Globb0

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Free spirit

Lots of groan for you there guys.

I was thinking about the form thing. When we are watching these games then report back here. Maybe we can collect some info like "didn't turn up" "unreliable" "frequent overtime"

Ill give it a little think, I may collect in some ideas and publish it in 1.

Here is my picks for today.

ralle14

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Quote from: Trofo on August 19, 2020, 09:42:37 AM

But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.

I agree the price boost is really great when you're making a bet with odds that are above 2.00 and the best part is you can use it on live odds as well.

Quote from: morvillz7z on August 19, 2020, 07:43:45 AM

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2

I got complexity too it's looking really close in the second map currently 13-12 with complexity losing the previous round.

On the mousesports series it might go to a third as Navi pulls ahead in the second half 10-7 atm. I got Navi to win and parlayed it on Complexity.

Trofo

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 19, 2020, 09:20:53 AM

That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

But that price boost is a thing of beauty. I have just took NaVi to win after loosing first map @2,91. Best regular odds I could find were 2.74. I make sure to use a boost for each sport every day. They really give you an edge. If only you could use a boost once every day instead once every 24h. For instance I used my football boost half an hour before yesterday CL match and now I have to wait until 20 minutes before today's match so I can use it again instead of placing the bet now.

tomahawk9

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s0mple's team just lost map 1 to mousebots, wow 🤔

Quote from: morvillz7z on August 19, 2020, 07:43:45 AM

Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 19, 2020, 06:27:41 AM

Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
<...>

That's sportsbet, right? without price boost? good odds
Unfortunately, i've decided to skip SB for esports bets a long time ago cuz of their high margins on esports when compared to esports bookies. For instance, on buffbet, map handicap margins for the upcoming 4 ESL One matches today are 5%, while on sportsbet.io they're 8%, too big a difference (as always), IMO

Quote from: Trofo on August 19, 2020, 07:49:10 AM

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.

man, Nordavind looked so good in the offseason, now they're total crap, wtf?? banned from my future bet slips until they get their shit together lol Grin

Trofo

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Quote from: Globb0 on August 19, 2020, 07:42:54 AM

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

I just watched that match against Nordavind and I feel Avez is taking 3rd map easy. Too bad I can't bet on that on Stake or Sportsbet. I would go with high stake. I gad over 2.5 on that match so enough for me.
It seems like I will finally cash out on some esports but still waiting for K23 to take a map from forZe. They are 12-6 up so hopefully this post will not jinx it. Of course cash out is not available. Would have taken it just now.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 19, 2020, 06:27:41 AM

Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds

Are those buff.bet odds? pretty low, most other bookies have it at 1.90 (my bet)
Complexity disappointed against Heroic in the DreamHack semis, but MAD losing to Nexus just last week is somewhat outrageous no matter the roster changes that they are dealing with right now.

Quote from: ralle14 on August 18, 2020, 06:47:28 PM

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win. Cheesy

Complexity and G2 should win, can't say the same for NaVi, to me they are one of the most unpredictable teams out there.
FaZe vs. Heroic this game could go either way, no clear cut favorite here.

I had an early bet on Nine to Five 3, Copenhagen Flames O2.5 + ForZe -1.5

complexity please don't fuck this up, will ya? i need that 2/2

Globb0

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Free spirit

I backed Nordavind against Avez.

Watching that now pretty smug cos Avez lost me last few times. But its 1 all now since Nordavind just couldn't close it out at 2:0.

2 overtimes in a row so far.

Im still not really feeling Avez, Im betting against them until I see better.

tomahawk9

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Cats on Mars

did anyone watch Astralis yesterday? they crushed Fnatic Shocked

Bubzkji was outstanding and es3tag with some great plays too, Astralis looking pretty good!

couple of tickets today: Complexity -1.5 at 1.78 odds (mad lions without Bubzkji are looking pretty bad atm, seems like they need more time for everyone to be in the wavelenght). FaZe - Heroic O2.5 maps at 1.95

Quote from: morvillz7z on August 18, 2020, 04:39:57 PM

Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

coulda been a 2/2 wins for me yesterday but i underestimated Chaos...not a great start for Furia Undecided

Globb0

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Free spirit

I have scaled it back today, lots of smaller ones back to winning please.

Oh yeah who said my parlays are hard to follow if they won or not? Ill have a think about a better way to show it or a summary view or something.

ralle14

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Quote from: morvillz7z on August 18, 2020, 04:39:57 PM

Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

I had bets on these two, both had a good chance to take their map pick but couldn't close it in round 30 then it went to overtime and everything is just going the way of the other team.

Maybe it's just underdogs stepping up as there's more circuit points on the line. This reminds me of that previous tournament when mousesports still had a good form then suddenly lost way too much against weaker teams.

Hopefully tomorrow we get to see at least two favorites win. Cheesy

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 18, 2020, 11:30:58 AM

@morvillz7z stay away from BIG, they're a coin flip, today they lose against a tier 4 team, tomorrow they could beat Vitality 32-0, too unpredictable

Yeah, pretty much...

I was excited to check out some of the matches today but only ended up watching the opening map (Overpass) on BIG vs Sprout match, big were a BIG no-show in this one, only tabseN with a few nice plays 1v2 and 1v3. Kinda lost interest after that, my second parlay lost too, Fnatic couldn't stop the new Astralis roster, had the lead on train in OT, which is a map they usually play very well on, but lost.

BIG (favored by the bookies) - lost
NiP (also favored) - lost
Fnatic (slight advantage odds wise) - lost
Furia - having a hard time, lost the opening map and playing catch up as we speak

A day full of surprises, Vitality being the only team getting the job done.

Globb0

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I went 10£ up to £60 but dipping now around £30 cos a few bad days.

Some days I leap forward 10 or 20 other days are pain. (Avez cost me 3 parlays yesterday. The commentators were stunned)

Here I just placed this. Watching games and betting the opposite then add a few sure's. Seems to work for me.

tomahawk9

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@morvillz7z stay away from BIG, they're a coin flip, today they lose against a tier 4 team, tomorrow they could beat Vitality 32-0, too unpredictable

@Globb0 i wanna know whether you're winning your accas or not right now, but it's pretty difficult to keep up with all the games in your bet slips, well, at least we can remove the ones with BIG Cheesy

VIT-Herectics about to start, no more surprises plz, i want a clean 2-0 for Zyw0o & Co 🙏 btw, i updated Calendar and few other things in the OP (:

Globb0

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Avez lost me about 30 quid yesterday, 13.50 on 1 parlay. Damn. Think I be skipping them they looked awful again this morning (lost more)

Heres my mash up for today so far. Cant help myself.

morvillz7z

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on August 18, 2020, 05:18:27 AM

Finally, top tier CSGO is back!

Hell yeah, it was about time! I'm kicking off the week with two parlays.

BiG -1.5 + Vitality -1.5 total odds 2.79
~~BIG should win fairly easily against Sprout~~, though the last meeting between these two teams was won by Sprout in two maps back in May.
I'm trusting ZywOo and his squad to not screw this one for me hehe

OG vs. Nip O2.5 + fnatic vs. Astralis O2.5 total odds 3.55
This one a bit riskier, but teams seem equal in terms of performance, overall rankings, and map pool selection, those should be close games. A small question mark on Astralis' new additions..let's see how those two players fit in.

edit; meh

Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 431. (Read 77078 times)