[DOTA 2] Thursday again 3/3 @ Dota 2. Let's try to predict Friday's matches.
ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS is entering day 7. We will watch the 4th round in the group A, as OG and VirtusPro will continue their fight for 1st place. Let’s analyse all upcoming Friday matches.
Nigma - B8: B8 1.5, 2.20 @
BetOnBitVirtus Pro - ViKin.gg: Virtus Pro, 1.38 @
BetOnBitHellRaisers - Gambit: Over 2.5, 1.93 @
BetOnBitOG - Cyber Legacy: OG -1.5, 1.81 @
BetOnBitNigma is a big big favourite here, according to all sportsbooks. Most sportsbooks have surprisingly low odds on Nigma’s win, around 1.10. How is that possible if we take a look on the rankins and the current standings. Nigma is currently the last placed team in the group, with the 1 match won and 2 lost. They even have the worst map win-loss ratio. From their 3 matches, they’ve managed to win only 2 maps from 7. They’ve shown very bard performance in both matches vs 2 CIS teams. Close 2-1 win vs Cyber Legacy, and devastating 0-2 loss vs Gambit, showed us that they are really lost now. Seems like they didn’t take this tournament too seriously, because surely they have the capacity to be top 2 in the group for sure. Dendi’s B8 has the same match score, but they have much better map win-loss ratio. They took a map off OG and they have beaten HellRaisers. They surely can surprise Nigma here, and take a map. Nigma didn’t show anything special, even though they are big favourites here to take the match.
Vikin.gg really impressed me so far. But that’s mainly because most of the stronger teams did fail, not taking the tournament seriously. They won against Gambit and OG, and lost to HellRaisers, a statistically worse team than Gambit and OG. VirtusPro still didn’t lose a match here in this tournament. They have won all their 3 matches vs their CIS opponents, Cyber Legacy, Gambit and HellRaisers. Even though VirtusPro is playing with a standin on position 1, I do believe they will win vs Vikin.gg. Decent odds on VP win.
Their last clash was 4 months ago, when Gambit still dominated CIS scene. Now there is a slightly different situation. VirtusPro is rising, and Gambit kinda lost their identity from last year. HellRaisers and NaVi joined battle for the top of the CIS. Gambit are slight favourites here, but I do think this match is pretty much even, and we can see all 3 maps. Both teams have 1 win and 2 losses from 3 rounds played. However, HellRaisers have slightly better map win-loss ratio. Gambit impressed us with their win vs Nigma, while HellRaisers showed really good performance vs 3rd ranked Vikin.gg team.
Really interesting match as the last match of the day. Those 2 teams never faced each other in the official matches. Cyber Legacy is on 3 lose streak in all their Dota 2 official matches. Looking at their 3 matches in this league, OG showed us meme performances, picking unusual tactics and heroes. But it appears like Sumail and company are enjoying their matches, that’s all that matters for them obviously. On their way, they still managed to win something. OG won vs B8 and Nigma, but they lost to Vikin.gg. Surprisingly the only match where they didn’t drop a map was vs Nigma, where they won 2-0. Cyber Legacy is with the B8 the weakest team in this group A. Hopefully we won’t see any surprises here, as I think even if OG will again joke around, they could still take the match with 2-0.
Be careful please, this league is very weird, everything is possible.
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