Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL) - page 75. (Read 23808 times)

[DOTA 2] It's time for the ESL One Los Angeles Europe & CIS playoffs. 4 matches today:

Nigma - Chicken Fighters: Chicken Fighters 1.5, 1.77 @ BetOnBit
Alliance - ViKin.gg: Alliance, 1.54 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - Team Spirit: Team Spirit 1.5, 1.72 @ BetOnBit
Team Secret - OG: OG 1.5, 1.79 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. Very risky picks for playoffs today. Go with winners if you want "safer bets" - winners like VP, Secret, Nigma, Alliance. But odds are pretty low.

MY TWITTER: RAND1919

Man yesterday was brutal I really didn't do well.

Also not as much fun if you cant watch the games.

Get REKT bettors!
EG threw so hard in the 2nd game with the four spirits + Bristleback draft and got decimated in the 3rd game.

Well, EE sama had decent performance overall, and he carried the team with Medusa

Do you mean Jacky LMao? I also don't see him as a good player, but maybe he has something special outside the way he plays? Like in making a strategy or doing a draft.

Wait a sec, you mean when we placed a bet on BetOnBit, the odds for that bet will be fixed according to the specific time that bet was placed?

At least you can follow his twitter and turn on his tweet's notification for now.

yeah mate that would be really great , either telegram or discord dedicated channel for notifications
you don't have to make it a group where people can chat since it can be time consuming and some people may start spamming it with referral links or whatever
just a channel for notifications when you make the picks , also it becomes much easier for live picks in case you want to start doing some live bets in the future

Thank you man for your feedback! Free telegram group is actually a good idea too, a lot of people asked me how they can get instant notifications about my picks. I could possibly make that too or reorganize discord channel.

been really enjoying your picks especially that I used to bet on sports daily till the pause happened and I have so little knowledge about esports
I know you are thinking about telegram paid group but for now and as long as you are sending free plays can you please make a general telegram channel for picks notifiactions and you can ask your followers to join it in case they want notifications right after picks are made

Odds are constantly changing. On every sportsbook, that's normal stuff. So sometimes is good to use early odds, and sometimes is good to wait until few minutes before the match starts to exploit the odds. Number 1 reason of odds changing is how people place bets (if a lot of people are placing bets on team 1, odds will get lower and lower, and team 2 odds will go higher and vice versa). Other reasons are - some news from a team, player change, map change, tournament updates etc...

Decent #Dota2 day. 5/8.

✅ OG - Gambit: OG -1.5, 2.26
❌ Nigma - Vikingg: Vikingg 1.5, 1.54
❌ VP - B8: VP -1.5, 1.47
❌ HR - CL: CL 1.5, 1.47
✅ Liquid - NaVi: Liquid, 1.90
✅ Secret - Unique: Secret -1.5, 1.36
✅ Alliance - CF: Alliance, 1.85
✅ NiP - Spirit: Spirit, 1.55

Profit overall! It was quite intense day with few surprises, but in the end, it ended pretty okay. Ofc, the matches that i've lost were the matches that i was most sceptical off. Especially VirtusPro vs B8.

GG!

Cloud 9 Disband> Make New Team NP > Disband Again > Now Re-Life Cloud 9 Again with the same roster ~LOL~.

Seeing their roster, IDK why they always picking Jacky Mao A.K.A EE Sama to the roster team.

A few years after he out from "Team Secret" there is still no improvement at all about his game play. Watching his stream a couple of times, still same like the oldest EE always throwing the games not just on the public match also on the tournament.

Who's waiting for EG vs Cloud9? C9 (5.8x) is heavily underdog here. Years ago, they used to be a good team, but now EG is heavily favorite with only 1.1x multiplier. It's like saying there is no chance C9 will win lol. They come back from 2 years inactivity just to become a punching bag. So sad...

Man I was out. I queued up lots of little bets here and there

This was a bloodbath.

Got destroyed.

I believe all odds will be always changing before the match was started, then the fixed odds is went the match already started and everyone cant put the bets.

I never see an odds who already determined by the gambling platform and have a fixed ods, I mean all depends the pool and how much money on the pool/user who betting on that match.

I bet on a Dota2 match for the first time on the platform that I used for my cs go bets and noticed the odds change often and it is hard to keep up with them if betting live.
I think as soon as the players have their picks of characters put in while the lines are closed to prematch ones this determines who the favorites are.
In cs go this doesnt happen since they are only map picks and doesnt favor as much as a powerful character pick for one team versus another.

OK Im in on several of these. Some as a spread.

The betting odds on this match at BetOnBit has changed again. Now Team Spirit is the favoured one.

And it makes sense if Team Spirit is being favoured in this match because Team Spirit is the real rising star in this tournament (even though it's only in the group stage so far). Especially Ergon as their midlaner, he played with a very good performance in the recent matches.

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Damn, Vikin.gg lost 0-2 against Nigma. Being out drafted 2 times, I think they were underestimating Nigma's meepo strat.

I'm glad for your new predictions on Dota 2. Your choices are quite good yet risky, most are on the handicaps but I still have confidence there since the playoffs are fast approaching after this round-robin games for Group A and Group B of the Europe and CIS region.
While Virtus Pro and Team Secret already secured the upper bracket, I hope they will still play more seriously in their upcoming matches, no throw 

[DOTA 2] ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS group stage is coming to an end. This is the last group matchday. Both groups will be played on Thursday, as this is the last round. After those matches we will find out which 4 teams from each group are moving on to the playoffs. Let’s make a short analysis of all upcoming matches.

OG - Gambit: OG -1.5, 2.26 @ BetOnBit
Nigma - ViKin.gg: ViKin.gg 1.5, 1.54 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - B8: Virtus Pro -1.5, 1.47 @ BetOnBit
HellRaisers - Cyber Legacy: Cyber Legacy 1.5, 1.47 @ BetOnBit
Team Liquid - Natus Vincere: Team Liquid, 1.90 @ BetOnBit
Team Secret - Team Unique: Team Secret -1.5, 1.36 @ BetOnBit
Alliance - Chicken Fighters: Alliance, 1.85 @ BetOnBit

OG is currently holding 2nd place in the group with 4 wins and 2 losses. Even if they lost 5 maps totally until now, it is expected that they can win vs what looks like a weak Gambit. Gambit is 2-4 in the group stage and they need a win to finish in top 4. However, as this is the last round, both teams need to win, and if we have a serious match OG is a much better team, even though they have 2 standins. OG win is a safe bet, but i’m running for the odds, and expecting OG 2-0 Gambit.

Vikin.gg are on the 5 match win streak in all Dota 2 tournaments they play currently. In this tournament they are currently the 3rd ranked team with 4 wins and 2 losses. On the other side, Nigma is not looking like a top tier team at the moment, as they are struggling a lot. With 3 wins and 3 losses they need this win to stay in the top 4. Vikin.gg showed good games already in this tournament, and I don’t see a reason why they shouldn’t be able to take a map off vulnerable Nigma. Nice odds on handicap.

This match can be a double edged sword. VirtusPro already secured 1st place in the group and they are safe. On the other side B8 are on the bottom, currently on the last place, and they don’t have a chance to advance anymore. It is questionable how this can affect the teams. Will VirtusPro take this clash seriously or they will joke around or will B8 even try to win or they don’t care anymore? Truth is somewhere in the middle, but I do think VirtusPro can easily win vs the weakest team in this group.

This match is a fight between 6th ranked HellRaisers and 7th ranked Cyber Legacy. The winner of this match still has a chance to finish at top 4 and advance on. Well, depends on the other results in the group. Both teams have only 2 wins out of 6 matches, with HellRaisers having a slightly favoured map win-loss ratio. HellRaisers are slight favourites here, but let’s guess this will go to all 3 maps. CL handicap is heavily possible.

We are exploiting the odds, remember? None of those teams have any chance to advance on, as both teams are at the bottom of the group B. Liquid had 0-5 until yesterday’s match vs NiP, which they comfortably won with 2-0. Seems like they are playing better when there is no pressure attached. NaVi has 2 wins and 4 losses but they didn’t show anything special in this tournament either. This will be the clash without stakes, and we can expect anything here. I’m picking Liquid and amazing odds.

Team Secret are the most dominant team in this tournament so far with 6 wins and 0 losses. They’ve only lost 2 maps so far. I really love Unique, they are one of the real underdogs who showed amazing performances. Sadly, they’ve replaced 1 player in the last day or so and they are playing with a new player in position 4. Something is going on within the team, as they were looking really solid until now. They are out of this tournament, they don’t have a chance to advance on and their late game is still very weak. Secret demolished Alliance in the last round with 2-0, I think they can do this to Unique too. Anything other than Secret win would be a big big surprise.

Chicken fighters are holding 3rd place in the group, while Alliance are holding 4th place. Chicken fighters are 1 win better than Alliance, as they have 4 wins and only 2 losses. Who would have thought that they would perform so good. For a new squad that is a really impressive performance that we’ve witnessed in this group stage. Alliance was demolished by Team Secret in the last round in under 46 minutes (both maps included), while Chicken Fighters managed to turn around map 3 vs Unique and they have won the match with 2-1. Pretty even match and even odds on this one. I chose Alliance, as I do think NikoBaby is one of the best carries currently in Europe. CF don’t have players of such caliber. Close match, anyway. 3 maps highly possible. Very risky bet.

Extra prediction:

NiP vs Spirit - Team Spirit made a positive impact on the casters and on the whole community. They are playing so nicely and aggressive, that not a lot of teams can adjust to that. They are right beneath Team Secret in the rankings, and they have a high chance to finish at top 2 and secure an upper bracket playoff position. NiP got demolished by last placed Team Liquid, and I’m not sure what happened in that game. NiP needs a win here in order to get into top 4. This will be a hard match, and NiP are favoured by sportsbooks. But I give a better chance to Team Spirit, odds are amazing.

All very risky bets and handicaps, be careful, or go safe!

GL! PM me for discord / google sheet!

MY TWITTER: RAND1919

Yes, correct. This is the final day for the group stages and it's the last day determining which team will be eliminated and the ones who will proceed to the playoffs.

You can keep the track of the region through liquipedia.

https://liquipedia.net/dota2/ESL_One/Los_Angeles/2020/Online/Europe_CIS

Just scroll at the bottom of it, you'll see the bracketing and upcoming matches and those teams who are already advanced and waiting for their opponents on the playoffs.

I think it is final games of the group stages. There are two groups and all the teams from same group play at the same time to avoid match fixing and calculating as much as possible.