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Topic: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread - page 97. (Read 29914 times)

legendary
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It's clearly now that RedBull has the strongest car for this weekend as I think in the qualifiers , Max can be faster with almost half a second which in insane just to think about it! Charles said in FP3 that after just one lap on quali pace , the tyres are gone and he doesn't have the grip anymore ...was that a bait or not ? I think it wasn't and Ferrari is really lacking pace on both quali pace but also race pace which is way more important that qualifiers. I will stick with my plan that RedBull will win both qualifiers and then the race without any big problems.

Dark horse of the weekend ? Should be Hamilton again as he has a good chance to finish top 3 if the car will have the race pace tomorrow as they said it will.
legendary
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This first part of this weekend went really great for Ferrari, both Sainz and Leclerc were really fantastic ! Hope to see them tomorrow between 1st and 2nd place and to win grand prix on sunday ! Anyway, I'm really surprised
to see that Red Bull wasn't so competitive, in this kind of circuit they are really strong, but let's see tomorrow what will happen !
The ferrari's are looking mighty for practice. I watched P1 & P2 yesterday and they both beat out Vestappen having him finish in third for both practices.
P3 is about to start and the odds makers have Lecerc and Verstappen both neck and neck at the exact dead set odds for winning the race even before qualifying had finished.

Red bull cars did not look good on this french track as the announcers had mentioned max opted for the soft tires for practice and don't quite know why since it looked like he was racing on ice. Bad choice but maybe to fool the other drivers. Who knows but it I think it will be a Ferrari day tomorrow with Sainz messing up again late in the race with car troubles.
legendary
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^ Yeah, finally makes sense of his 21/1 odds to win, which I took anyway, I know he won't have the fastest lap but they'll be plenty of opportunities to get to the front with laps to spare and defend. Still took LeClerc as my pole and winner for the pool though, Ferrari will gamble today and I like when the odds are stacked against them.
legendary
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BREAKING: Ferrari's Carlos Sainz is set to take a grid penalty
He'll currently take a 10-place grid drop after he exceeded his allocation of control electronics


Well , it seems things are not great for Sainz in this weekend and neither for Ferrari as they were looking to take strong points with both of the cars. However, if Sainz manages to finish in top 3 , then Ferrari still have strong chances to get top 5 with both cars and also a safety car can be precious for Sainz during the race.

It will be a huge penalty, especially on this track where we have no sprint race or big possibilities of overtaking.

Are they using the new pumped version of the engine?
legendary
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This first part of this weekend went really great for Ferrari, both Sainz and Leclerc were really fantastic ! Hope to see them tomorrow between 1st and 2nd place and to win grand prix on sunday ! Anyway, I'm really surprised

to see that Red Bull wasn't so competitive, in this kind of circuit they are really strong, but let's see tomorrow what will happen !
legendary
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^ There is also a small hope that Sainz won't listen to team orders (they will always of course say they do and that's standard) -- if we recall, that's exactly how he won British GP. Team defended him and he himself didn't outright admit it, but he did have a kinda valid argument at the time (he felt he could better defend LeClerc against a supposedly faster car.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 629
Verstappen, Max - 2.15
Leclerc, Charles - 2.50
Hamilton, Lewis - 8.75
Sainz Jr., Carlos - 20.10

The fact that Hamilton is quoted higher than Perez, Sainz and Russell in my opinion is unfair.

Thanks for sharing this, funny thing is I'd probably have taken Sainz at around 8/1 (knowing it's of course going to be LeClerc to take priority in any team finish) but you're right, it's not just unfair, it has to be wrong.

Hamilton more than twice as likely to win than Sainz? Am I missing something here?

Took a bet anyway, couldn't help it. I always feel once they break their duck, another win's coming soon. 21/1 for an F1 "Blackjack".

I got this explanation:

Boris i think you are missunderstanding a few things.

-Sainz change the engine and penalize.
-Perez its more strange but.... Ferrari and Red Bull anounce from this GP they are going to give team orders, so GG to Perez and Sainz they are second drivers.
-Most important Mercedes its improving so much and this its a Mercedes GP.

So if you plus all the things i said before LH can be favourite against CS and SP.

But in my opinion, it partially explains only the odds of Sainz, but does not cancel the disproportionately large odds of the first three (moreover, these odds will most likely become even less interesting for bets after the qualification). And objectively speaking, the bet you made even with the Sainz penalty looks profitable, 1 to 27 hahaha! I think that at a distance of even 20 races, Sainz has a close to 100% chance of winning at least one race.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
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^  It was already expected earlier this week after Sainz's car blew up at the Austrian GP last weekend.  So if it's a 1 - 2 battle for Leclerc and Verstappen, it would be kinda safe to say Sainz gets third or fourth on the grid.  That makes him 13th or 14th to start the race on Sunday.  It makes for an interesting scenario for Sainz to finish on the podium lined at 4.00 at Stake.  Finishing top 6 should be more possible but there isn't much value at 1.40.  With the risks involved in F1 it's totally not worth it..  Even as a parlay piece.  
legendary
Activity: 3430
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BREAKING: Ferrari's Carlos Sainz is set to take a grid penalty
He'll currently take a 10-place grid drop after he exceeded his allocation of control electronics


Well , it seems things are not great for Sainz in this weekend and neither for Ferrari as they were looking to take strong points with both of the cars. However, if Sainz manages to finish in top 3 , then Ferrari still have strong chances to get top 5 with both cars and also a safety car can be precious for Sainz during the race.
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 3724
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Verstappen, Max - 2.15
Leclerc, Charles - 2.50
Hamilton, Lewis - 8.75
Sainz Jr., Carlos - 20.10

The fact that Hamilton is quoted higher than Perez, Sainz and Russell in my opinion is unfair.

Thanks for sharing this, funny thing is I'd probably have taken Sainz at around 8/1 (knowing it's of course going to be LeClerc to take priority in any team finish) but you're right, it's not just unfair, it has to be wrong.

Hamilton more than twice as likely to win than Sainz? Am I missing something here?

Took a bet anyway, couldn't help it. I always feel once they break their duck, another win's coming soon. 21/1 for an F1 "Blackjack".
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 629
I continue to follow the quotes of the riders, but yesterday I mixed up the thread and accidentally wrote down my observations not here, so I'll copy it:

There are still 3 whole days before the race, it is still unclear how the free practice and qualification will go, but the bookmakers see Verstappen as a clear favorite again:

Verstappen, Max - 2.15
Leclerc, Charles - 2.50
Hamilton, Lewis - 8.75
Perez, Sergio - 12.90
Russell, George - 15.90
Sainz Jr., Carlos - 20.10

It turns out that if he wins the pole position or starts from the first line, then the odds of him winning will be around 1.6 again (absolutely uninteresting for betting). The fact that Hamilton is quoted higher than Perez, Sainz and Russell in my opinion is unfair.
legendary
Activity: 2632
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I'm telling you, it will be a RedBull circuit. Max had pole last year and he only made a slight mistake after the start that gave Lewis the opportunity to move in front. This year will not be the same as Mercedes are nowhere near RedBull and Ferrari are still trying to figure out what happened with Sainz engine. RedBull are coming here after a defeat on home ground and after what I've read and saw in the news and also rumors , I think Redbull might take nr 1 and 3 on the grid.

Yet again ...I might be wrong but we will see... Smiley

According to rumors Sainz will take a penalty and change the engine but it is not confirmed yet.

About the track and the last year: it makes no sense the car are different so they will all start from Zero.

Mercedes right now is in good shape and maybe they will be even the dominant car after SPA with the regulation change.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 1207
I'm telling you, it will be a RedBull circuit. Max had pole last year and he only made a slight mistake after the start that gave Lewis the opportunity to move in front. This year will not be the same as Mercedes are nowhere near RedBull and Ferrari are still trying to figure out what happened with Sainz engine. RedBull are coming here after a defeat on home ground and after what I've read and saw in the news and also rumors , I think Redbull might take nr 1 and 3 on the grid.

Yet again ...I might be wrong but we will see... Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2828
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Lewis Hamilton won't be participating in the first practice race due to an agreement with Mercedes to allow an up and coming driver to have a run for this practice race.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/formulaone/article-11032863/Lewis-Hamilton-practice-French-Grand-Prix-rookie-Nyck-Vries-set-feature.html
I don't think this will affect Hamilton's performance for the race in the France much.
legendary
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I definitely agree that France "was" a Mercedes track, but right now we are seeing Mercedes end up with a much slower car this year and they are not the best anymore. I think it's going to end up with either Ferrari or Red Bull win once again, it wouldn't be a shock.

I am not saying that there will be zero Mercedes win this year, there will be at least one win, and I am guessing Russell will win one at least but that's not this one. They will end up with a win a lot later when they fix all of their problems and they will improve the car even more. Because it's not going to be just end up with something big, it's going to be something "eventual".
legendary
Activity: 1582
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Man, its a Mercedes circuit, and take an eye because being a Mercedes circuit and if Mercedes really bring another upgrade here we can see really close or fighting for the win.

Also the odds are seeing this.
legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 1207
This is a RedBull circuit after all. I've been waiting rumors and news all week long and it seems RedBull has the advantage again even if the news said that their front wing has some new problems ...they are all fake. So, I will expect a Verstappen win here with Lec on 2nd place and I think Russel will make it to top 3 as Mercedes has improvised their car again. Ferrari , are still shocked with what happened with Sainz car as the implosion was big enough to crack the back of car which is just insane to think about it. Undecided
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 1465
.... It's very good to follow the dispute between Ferrari and Red Bul in the improvement of their cars and drivers
Yes, this is certainly an interesting sight. 
Of course, let's not forget the Mercedes. 
But all these tachnic details, such as fighting dolfining or adjusting the wing, can be negated in just one unfortunate maneuver of the pilot.  And here you begin to wonder what is more important, all these technical problems and their solutions, or the clarity of human actions and, if possible, the absence of gross errors.
  This is what makes races and F1 and indeed any races on cars interesting, that the result is very difficult to predict due to such different circumstances. 
You also need to add weather, different tires, a schedule of races to change tires and a lot of other nuances.
legendary
Activity: 2828
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F1 back again this weekend this time on one of the legendary tracks in France.


practice: https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/formula-1/formula-1/grand-prix-de-france-2022-practice-1/grand-prix-de-france-2022-practice-1-62d5a02e72fdbcc2105d8082

race: https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/formula-1/formula-1/grand-prix-de-france-2022-race/grand-prix-de-france-2022-race-62cb2199c059bc1e1a051dfb

Don't forget to put your selections in before qualifying the F1 prediction pool:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60572764

I did and see Leclerc doing another one up for the Ferrari team on this hard track.
legendary
Activity: 3262
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It turns out that if those who have already bet on Verstappen and lost their money will try to win back, then they will bet even more money on him in the next race ... so we will see even crazier odds like 1.4  Grin
It's pretty funny. In football or tennis, if a team does not win, the odds of winning it in the next game increase, but in formula 1, the opposite picture has been observed so far.
Doing a martingale on Verstappen? I mean not the worst of the ideas, of course he would eventually win one race, we all know that. But, will it be easy to do that? I mean it's not like you just gamble 100-200-400-800 in that situation, because to get it back, you need to gamble more than 2x of it to just recoup what you just lost, and that means if he loses 3-4 races in a row, you would be out a huge amount, depending on what your base bet was.

I am not saying it's a bad idea, I am just saying that you have to have a deep pocket to test something like this. This isn't dice where you can gamble a million times back to back, you need to make sure that you gamble a bit before you could gamble again after a week or even longer break.

I do not bet on formula 1. This is just my reasoning about those who bet on his victory with such ridiculous odds of 1.5-1.6. In my opinion, such bets are absolutely unprofitable whether it is a martingale or not. And I understand that even with such ridiculous odds you can be profitable (in the end, before the end of the season, Verstappen will win several races, this is obvious), but this will be 3-4% of profit in half a year - this is of no interest to anyone.


I also not bet in formula 1 because there is an high risk to do that, there are too much variant and it is so easy to lose (see what is happened to verstappen last two weeks or carlos sainz last week). There are also odds

that isn't so appetible, so, I prefer to avoid it. Soccer will be always my preferite way to bet  Grin

Betting on formula 1 is a very difficult task that's why I don't do formula 1 bets either, I prefer to just follow the news about formula 1 and I also can't watch all formula 1 races without getting sleepy. I've tried several times to sleep a lot and then start watching the races, but it doesn't even take 30 minutes for the race to start and I'm already asleep. That's why I don't bet on Formula 1. It's very good to follow the dispute between Ferrari and Red Bul in the improvement of their cars and drivers
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