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Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 71. (Read 12658 times)

hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
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Hey boys and girls. I've scanned the games for today and found an interesting one to bet with. Check the details below.   Wink

Pick for October 14, 2019 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 7:30 PM CST, NHL
Match: Chicago Blackhawks - Edmonton Oilers
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the BLACKHAWKS ML for 4.5 UNITS (1.89 ODDS).


I'm backing the Blackhawks on Monday night. Chicago jumped out to a quick 2-0 lead over Winnipeg last time out but spent about half the game skating like they had their skates on the wrong feet, then lost in OT. I did see things I liked from Chicago and really, once going to OT it was a 50-50 game. They've been at home for a while now, this marks their third straight on home ice and after losing their first two I expect an intense effort. Edmonton is off to a great start - but we're not quite buying just yet and this will be their 4th road game since October 8. Strong spot for Chicago and we'll back them on Monday.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.

hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Hey guys. Apologies for not posting any pick yesterday. Had to do something for my family and didn't have the time to to study the games available. I don't to give some half-ass-researched game so there you go. Most probably, I'll be able to put some plays today as I have more free time now. See you later.  Wink

#LookingForGame
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
I'm feeling it. I'm really feeling it. LOL. . Sweat towel activated on that game, huh. The game was somehow back-and-forth so we don't know who's gonna win at the end but we are in luck, I guess. 1 more win in the bag. I'm clearly seeing the board now and am very happy about it. Currently looking for game and hopefully, another winner.  Wink

#LookingForGame

just a general question, since you seem very involved with sports betting in the United States,

there were a few systems of statistical arbitrage being discussed, and how especially during the last hour of betting you could find some guaranteed wins by taking opposite sides from different bookies, have you ever looked into it and made money out of it ? Would be even better if it's achieved on sites that accept crypto...

I would strongly recommend arbitrage methodologies as betting outright doesn't seem to be working out very well for you so far...

Hey man, thanks for visiting my thread. Really appreciate it.  Wink

About your question, this is a very well-thought one and really an interesting method to make a profit out of sports betting. Yes, I looked at it (arbitrage) and it is very promising because your are really targetting a guaranteed profit as long as all the necessary qualification for an arbitrage betting/trading has been met. Though, it is quite cumbersome because you need to have different accounts to almost all the bookies out there and they must have bankroll within it. Others use this method and they definitely earn significant profit because of it. But, this specific method is not my cup-of-tea and honestly, I don't enjoy this kind of betting.

I'm slowly earning my lost units and as you can see, my wins are gaining momentum against my losses. The only reason that I have negative units was because I didn't control my bankroll at the start of this thread. Currently, I'm being consistent with my bankroll management and the result is already being seen. I'm very positive that I'll be able to win all those units that were lost and earn some profit if I continue my method.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1656
I'm feeling it. I'm really feeling it. LOL. . Sweat towel activated on that game, huh. The game was somehow back-and-forth so we don't know who's gonna win at the end but we are in luck, I guess. 1 more win in the bag. I'm clearly seeing the board now and am very happy about it. Currently looking for game and hopefully, another winner.  Wink

#LookingForGame

just a general question, since you seem very involved with sports betting in the United States,

there were a few systems of statistical arbitrage being discussed, and how especially during the last hour of betting you could find some guaranteed wins by taking opposite sides from different bookies, have you ever looked into it and made money out of it ? Would be even better if it's achieved on sites that accept crypto...

I would strongly recommend arbitrage methodologies as betting outright doesn't seem to be working out very well for you so far...
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
I'm feeling it. I'm really feeling it. LOL. . Sweat towel activated on that game, huh. The game was somehow back-and-forth so we don't know who's gonna win at the end but we are in luck, I guess. 1 more win in the bag. I'm clearly seeing the board now and am very happy about it. Currently looking for game and hopefully, another winner.  Wink

#LookingForGame
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Here is today's free play. Hope you like it everyone.  Wink

Pick for October 12, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 1:00 PM CST, NCAA FBS
Match: Eastern Michigan Eagles - Ball State Cardinals
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the BALL STATE +1.5 for 1.67 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).


I think this Eastern Michigan team has taken a big step backwards this year. The Eagles lost a lot of players from last year and they can be difficult to replace for a team that doesn't recruit well like EMU. The signs this team is down this year has shown up in their last two games as they needed a miracle punt block to with 10 seconds left to beat FCS foe Central Connecticut State. There's no excuse for that performance by EMU as CCSU is an average FCS program in a game they were favored to win by 32.5 points. One of the wins this year by CCSU was a 3 point win over Fordham in a game they caught their fair share of breaks. That same Fordham team played Ball State the following week and was blasted by the Cardinals 57-29. Eastern Michigan then had two weeks to prepare for last week's game against Central Michigan but it made no difference as they were hammered in that game 42-16 by the Chippewas.

The Ball State Cardinals will take this one home or atleast cover the spread.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Woah woah woah, wait right up there. Are we going in a mini-streak right here right now?  Grin .  We are slowly winning back are lost units in the past weeks and I'm very pumped up about it. Another winning day yesterday and boy oh boy, the write up that I provided hit it head on. The Ducks blew them off in a very fashionable way and won by 42 f*cking points. Should have gotten those spreads with the higher odds for better winnings, right?  Wink

We do have so many games today in different sports and I'm currently looking the best game that I could get with the best odds. See you later for my free pick.

#LookingForGame  Cool
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Here's the free pick for today along with it's write up (as usual).  Wink Enjoy and hope you like it.

Pick for October 11, 2019 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 9:00 PM CST, NCAA FBS
Match: Oregon Ducks - Colorado Buffaloes
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE the OREGON -20.5 for 1.75 UNITS (1.82 ODDS).


Both the side and the total in this game jumped out at me. It is time that Oregon just absolutely demolishes someone. It's coming. You know it is coming. Why not now? Why not on a Friday night, nationally televised game in Autzen Stadium? This is a chance for Oregon to make a statement and I think that they will do just that. They have momentum coming off a big win over California last week. And they won't be looking ahead to the Washington game because it is a prime time game in front of a raucous home crowd.

Oregon's 17-7 win over California was a misleading final score. They came up short on three different red zone trips, with two turnovers and a missed field goal. They had another fumble in Cal territory and that really should've been a 20+ point blowout. The week before that they had their foot on Stanford's throat and, again, should've won that game by at least three touchdowns. Colorado is an inferior opponent and I think that the Ducks are going to get that statement blowout win.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Apologies for those who are waiting for my pick today. I had some connectivity issues during the day and was unable to post it here. Though I've had the chance to bet on my smartphone and good news about it. We won again today with some significant units. Please check the details below for reference/proof. I'll make sure to post some free plays today and hopefully, it's a winner.  Wink

Pick for October 10, 2019 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 7:00 PM CST, NHL
Match: Winnipeg Jets - Minnesota Wild
WIN - PICK: TAKE the JETS on the MONEYLINE for 1.5 UNITS (1.8 ODDS).

hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Aaaannnddd we got a big winner yesterday. The Cardinals blew the gates wide open and score 10 points in the 1st inning, FIRST F*CKING INNING.  Grin That play just felt so good and as you can see, my write up held up its own ground. Though I must say, I felt really bad about the Braves. They are on the final game of their series and they were greeted with a 10-run deficit at the start of it. Very hard for the players and the fans of Atlanta.

 

Anyway, look forward to my next free pick. I'm still checking the games with good lines so just stay put and wait for my upcoming post.  Wink
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Hi, I am just curious, is this the original thread title or you just edited it?
It's my first time to see this kind of thread that encouraging people to fade you, and if they really do that, they would be positive now because you are negative -14.96 UNITS, or you win rate percentage is only 45%.
Hey man, sorry for the super delayed response on your message. Just got the time to check if someone is really watching my thread and replying to it. LOL . .Anyway, the title that you are seeing right now is the edited one. Originally, there's no "FADE ME" in the title but it seems very appropriate right because I lost significant amount of units in my previous bets. But, I'm slowly climbing up again and picking my bets religiously than ever.

My last free pick is looking very good right now and this might be in the bag.  Grin
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
What a loss from our last free play. Bases are loaded several times on that game but they just couldn't connect and make a run for it. I really thought that we would hit OVER on that game because of the instances the bases were loaded but I guess we gotta deal with it.  Sad I skipped yesterday's pick as I'm not quite confident in giving them here. So here we are, another day with another free pick.  Wink

Pick for October 9, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 4:02 PM CST, MLB POSTSEASON
Match: Atlanta Braves - St. Louis Cardinals
WIN - PICK: TAKE the CARDINALS on the MONEYLINE for 2.5 UNITS (2.01 ODDS).


St. Louis starter Jack Flaherty has been beyond sensational over the last few months as he's posted the 3rd lowest ERA EVER by a starting pitcher during the second half of an MLB regular season. Flaherty last start was another excellent outing but is being overlooked a bit as he had some bad luck in that game as Atlanta scored all three of their runs against him with two outs. A deeper dive shows that Flaherty's average velocity in his last game was close to the highest it's been in any game this season along with the fact he also set a personal record for the season with 23 swings and misses in the contest. That stat shows just how great he's been as he's been tops among all National League starting pitchers in swinging strike percentage since September 1st. October baseball is about dominant pitching and no one has been more dominant this season or in the past few years than what we are seeing right now from Flaherty. Take St. Louis to get this done.



Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
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Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
We had a push yesterday. I guess I must say it is better than a loss.  Grin . Moving forward with another pick for today. Here it goes.

Pick for October 7, 2019 (MONDAY)
Game will start on 5:40 PM CST, MLB POSTSEASON
Match: Washington Nationals - Los Angeles Dodgers
LOSS - PICK: TAKE the OVER 8 for 1.5 UNITS (1.93 ODDS).


Not going to slow down the Dodgers on offense here as they have found their rhythm and Scherzer has been more than hittable as of late and LA got it going big time yesterday. One cannot ignore the Nats bullpen ERA of 8.22 their last 5 games here. Rich Hill has posted a 1.59 ERA his last 3 starts but bear in mind that only accounts for 5.1 innings of work as he was pulled early in all 3. The Dodgers score 5.5 runs per game on the road, Washington who will pull out all the stops tonight, also score 5.5 runs per game at home. These are 2 of the Top 10 offenses in all of baseball, I expect that to show today and especially late for LA against this bullpen.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Another BIG win yesterday guys. We are really getting the heat out of sports betting right. Don't have much time now so I'll just provide the free pick today.  Wink

Pick for October 6, 2019 (SUNDAY)
Game will start on 12:00 PM CST, NFL
Match: Pittsburgh Steelers - Baltimore Ravens
PUSH - PICK: TAKE the RAVENS -3 for 1.5 UNITS (1.81 ODDS).



I'm laying the points with the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore ran into the KC Chiefs two weeks ago and despite a major effort, fell 5 points short. Make a couple early 2-point conversions and we might have had a different result. After Baltimore's defense was gashed in back to back games we trust in John Harbaugh and staff to have his stop-unit ready for redemption against this pedestrian offense. Yes, the dynamics have changed with Big Ben out for the season - but Baltimore is still on 4-0-1 ATS run in Pittsburgh. The road team has covered each of the last 5 meetings and we'll look for the head-to-head trends to continue in the same direction. Finally, the Steelers have covered just 2 of their last 10 playing on a Sunday following a Monday game.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1160
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Hi, I am just curious, is this the original thread title or you just edited it?
It's my first time to see this kind of thread that encouraging people to fade you, and if they really do that, they would be positive now because you are negative -14.96 UNITS, or you win rate percentage is only 45%.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
What do we have here. Another win yesterday! Are getting the lady luck here?  Grin . Would like to to continue this run and I'll be doing that by providing you another play today. Check this out!

Pick for October 5, 2019 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 6:00 PM CST, NCAA
Match: UAB Blazers - Rice Owls
WIN!!! - PICK: TAKE UAB BLAZERS -9 or -8.5 for 2 UNITS (1.78 ODDS).


UAB was brought back from the dead and they have been remarkable in their performance, especially when playing at home. They have a solid defense giving up just 15.5 points through 4 games this season. Rice has won just 3 of their last 31 games. They are not winning this game either and thus we will lay the points and expect a double-digit victory by the Blazers.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
We are slowly making our way to the positive side of units for this thread. We made 3 straight winning bets in the past days and I believe that's the first time that it happened here in my thread. So, let's not waste any time and let's proceed to my free pick for today. We are going with NHL today as I'm seeing some good odds in the said event.

Pick for October 4, 2019 (FRIDAY)
Game will start on 9:30 PM CST, NHL
Match: San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights
PICK: TAKE UNDER 6.5 goals for 2 UNITS (2.05 ODDS). WIN


Both of their past games went UNDER. I'm also expecting that to happen here especially if they will not change their two goalies. Additionally, the Knights are 2-5 O/U following a win and they are also 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games. Expect this to become a low-scoring game. Let's cash this in.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Yehey, we won again the other day.  Grin . Another good news is that I also won again yesterday but didn't have the time to post it for those who tail (or fade) me. Here's the details about that pick.


Pick for October 3, 2019 (THURSDAY)
Game will start on 2:00 PM CST, UEFA Europa League
Match: Rosenborg BK - PSV Eindhoven
PICK: TAKE PSV -0.5 goals for 1.5 UNITS (1.87 ODDS). - WIN

hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
A much needed win yesterday. Hoping this will start our streak.  Grin Here is the pick for today.

Pick for October 2, 2019 (WEDNESDAY)
Game will start on 7:09 PM CST, MLB
Match: Oakland Athletics - Tampa Bay Rays
PICK: TAKE UNDER 7.5 for 2.5 UNITS (1.78 ODDS). - WIN


A classic pitchers duel here in my opinion and runs will be at a premium. Morton and Manaea square off for the AL Playoff 1 game one and done. Manaea has limited innings this year but in 5 starts went 4-1 on Unders and allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in all his 5 starts. Morton is solid for Tampa and held Oakland to 1 run in 13 innings pitched against them this season. The Rays are not a high scoring team and the A's last 6 games all went Under.

Best of luck and Grind On everyone.  Wink
hero member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 606
Buy The F*cking Dip
Yes money line is a great way to go especially when you are betting the underdog as most pay time and a half.  I like to bet ML on the underdogs myself unless the favorites are favored 2 win by an outstanding amount. Now in football if the favorite is favored to win by 21 points I may take the underdog for +21. But if the diffrence is only 2 or 3 points I will bet the ML.

Where as Betting the favorite ML if they a super favorite you may bet 2 or 3 dollars to win just 1. So it is always good to check the percentage before beting it.
Good analysis here and I agree with what you said. Also, there's an analysis that I read about NFL in its 1st week (this year) stating that 90%, you read it right, 90% of games with 1 to 3 points difference goes with the underdogs. I can't find the source of it but I'm sure that I read it like that. This kind of statistics provide a clear view on the trends that is currently happening in a given sport or event. This makes handicapping fun.
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