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Topic: Fauci says the vaccine will only be about 50% effective. - page 2. (Read 615 times)

legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
i done the 3d math in another topic, but i forgot the actual numbers(which i said).
but using just basic math of a dummy 2x factor i was just showing numbers that even a dumb person can see

the numbers are more than 2x but i didnt wanna complicate the maths.
in hindesight yea maybe i could of looked up the better math. but at the time i just wanted to make a quick dumb example because it appears a few dumb people cant understand how distance helps

but as you say 100k becomes 11k(1ft)... becomes1.2k(2ft)....becomes 137(4ft)..... becomes 61(6ft)
which is large change for just a 2m distance

who would want to fight a battalion of 100k attackers or just 61 attackers, i know what id choose
legendary
Activity: 2926
Merit: 1386
...
(i forgot actual numbers but basic logic double distance=half the risk math)
instead of inhaling say 100k particles by being 6inches away from someone(hugging them)
being 1foot away.(shoulder to shoulder) would be 50k
being 2foot away (arms length) 25k
being 4foot away (both at arms length to touch hands) 12.5k
being 6foot away~9k

thus decreasing the risk by over 10x just by not being in kissing distance and instead 2m apart,....

No that's crazy wrong.

Dispersion of an aerosol in a cloud is a 3 dimensional dispersion and inverse cube applies. So roughly, 2x the distance would be 1/9 the density of particles.

Are you pulling a Fauci?
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
This doesn't mean that Fauci is out of his positions at the CDC/NIH, etc. All it means is that the new guy is IN with the White House.


Good News: Fauci's Out and Common Sense Might Be Returning



These days it seems there is not much good news out there. People are still panicked over the coronavirus, governments are still trampling civil liberties in the name of fighting the virus, the economy — already teetering on the edge of collapse — has been kicked to the ground by what history may record as one of the worst man-made disasters of all time: shutting down the country to fight a cold virus.

That's why we'll take good news wherever we can get it, and President Trump's hiring of Dr. Scott Atlas to his coronavirus task force may just be that good news we need. As the media has reported, President Trump has sidelined headline-hogging Anthony Fauci in favor of Atlas, the former Stanford University Medical Center chief of neuroradiology.

Recall, Fauci was the "expert" who told us a few months ago that we would never be able to shake hands again.

Fauci's advice, forecasts, and assessments proved to be wildly wrong, contradictory, and just plain bizarre: Don't wear a mask! You must wear a mask. Masks are important as symbols. Put on goggles. Stay home! Churches must be severely restricted but Black Lives Matter marches and encounters with strangers met over the Internet are perfectly fine.

...

North Dakota and Sweden did virtually nothing to lock down or restrict their populations and they actually fared better than lockdown states in the US. They had lower death rates, their hospitals were never over-run with Covid patients, and they have an economy to go back to.


Cool
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
the issue with saying "increase our resistance" is that some people dont understand the difference between
1.mineral deficient organs.
2.mineral inefficient organs(dont absorb well even when overdosed minerals)
3.damaged organs
4. organ failure

so idiots start trying to sell supplements saying it will solve/help the 'resistance' issue.
issues are that 2,3,4 wont get helped by overdosing on minerals. most of the minerals the body cant handle just get excreted out when they use the bathroom the same day
those in the first category also dont just absorb it all. your body even if it can absorb at normal healthy levels wont take in the excess but excrete it


the ultimate best option for resistance is to not get a high dose viral load to need to have a large fight against
which is where the social distancing stuff comes in

(i forgot actual numbers but basic logic double distance=half the risk math)
instead of inhaling say 100k particles by being 6inches away from someone(hugging them)
being 1foot away.(shoulder to shoulder) would be 50k
being 2foot away (arms length) 25k
being 4foot away (both at arms length to touch hands) 12.5k
being 6foot away~9k

thus decreasing the risk by over 10x just by not being in kissing distance and instead 2m apart
wearing a face covering can be 20%(knitted scarf)<70%(thick cloth) extra effective to reduce the viral load
and 95% if it a proper surgical mask

thus if you cant avoid 2m distance you could wear a face covering/mask to be helpful to reduce the load

less virus inhaled = less of a battle
less virus inhaled = more time needed for virus to replicated to enough numbers to affect you
more time to replicate to numbers enough to effect you = more time for your body to adapt and fight back

its simple logic
after all, basic common sense is if you are downwind from some graffiti artist spray painting a wall.. would you want to be really close to them and get their paint on you. or keep your distance

idiots saying get up close get sick get herd infected and buy loads of supplements are just not following logic
full member
Activity: 1904
Merit: 138
★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!
I agree, so many countries are searching for a vaccine to develop it on their own. It's not like all the big pharma companies work together and share all their findings. Governments and Companies are working against each other to the first one to actually have a good vaccine available. I am not even convinced yet that these vaccine will help in the long run. Personally I am going to wait for others to take the vaccines first. I don't want to be the lab mouse.

maybe you should actually research the facts
all major countries have actually done an international agreement to share their research and also the recipe

also no vaccine not even russia is going to release to general public until phase 3 trials are done
UK,US,RUSSIA all have 'mass' trials in the next few months of a few thousand people.


Even with this international agreement, I guess these pharma companies are racing on their own as huge money is involved with it. And with global requirement, they will not be out of the market. But of course, we will not know the potency of these vaccines and it would take time to really assess their effectiveness to combat the virus. But for the moment, we need to increase our resistance from potential sickness, not only with this virus but other sicknesses that may give us vulnerability to this disease.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
I agree, so many countries are searching for a vaccine to develop it on their own. It's not like all the big pharma companies work together and share all their findings. Governments and Companies are working against each other to the first one to actually have a good vaccine available. I am not even convinced yet that these vaccine will help in the long run. Personally I am going to wait for others to take the vaccines first. I don't want to be the lab mouse.

maybe you should actually research the facts
all major countries have actually done an international agreement to share their research and also the recipe

also no vaccine not even russia is going to release to general public until phase 3 trials are done
UK,US,RUSSIA all have 'mass' trials in the next few months of a few thousand people.
hero member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 534
Governments usually add their own interests also don't believe that thus far no government has been ready to take the proper steps to stop the virus. most are protecting themselves until the vaccine arrives. Fawcett is true that the vaccine are going to be about 50% effective because nobody has yet invented a vaccine to regulate the virus. and every one of this is often happening during a in no time time and out of the traditional trend of creating antidotes. there's no guarantee that this antidote will add any room.

I agree, so many countries are searching for a vaccine to develop it on their own. It's not like all the big pharma companies work together and share all their findings. Governments and Companies are working against each other to the first one to actually have a good vaccine available. I am not even convinced yet that these vaccine will help in the long run. Personally I am going to wait for others to take the vaccines first. I don't want to be the lab mouse.
legendary
Activity: 2926
Merit: 1386
trump is no expert. so looking for an adviser that jsut kisses pesidents ass rather than telling him the facts is not a good idea

atlas has been kissing many poliitcians ass for years and is more motivated by politics than by biology/fact

i cant see this going well as it will just turn into an echo chamber of whatever delusions trump comes up with just being repeated by atlas

other experts dont fear correcting idiots and thats whats best.
just hearing idiots and then hearing what idiots say get repeated by others. is never good

It's reached the point where Fauci has low credibility. Very low credibility.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
trump is no expert. so looking for an adviser that jsut kisses pesidents ass rather than telling him the facts is not a good idea

atlas has been kissing many poliitcians ass for years and is more motivated by politics than by biology/fact

i cant see this going well as it will just turn into an echo chamber of whatever delusions trump comes up with just being repeated by atlas

other experts dont fear correcting idiots and thats whats best.
just hearing idiots and then hearing what idiots say get repeated by others. is never good
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
Governments usually add their own interests also don't believe that thus far no government has been ready to take the proper steps to stop the virus. most are protecting themselves until the vaccine arrives. Fawcett is true that the vaccine are going to be about 50% effective because nobody has yet invented a vaccine to regulate the virus. and every one of this is often happening during a in no time time and out of the traditional trend of creating antidotes. there's no guarantee that this antidote will add any room.

Trump is moving to stop the senseless pandemic.

Who Is Dr. Scott Atlas? Trump's New Covid Health Adviser Seen As Counter To Fauci And Birx - https://www.forbes.com/sites/mattperez/2020/08/12/who-is-dr-scott-atlas-trumps-new-covid-health-adviser-seen-as-counter-to-fauci-and-birx/#ae4b34a20a4f

Cool
member
Activity: 252
Merit: 11
Governments usually add their own interests also don't believe that thus far no government has been ready to take the proper steps to stop the virus. most are protecting themselves until the vaccine arrives. Fawcett is true that the vaccine are going to be about 50% effective because nobody has yet invented a vaccine to regulate the virus. and every one of this is often happening during a in no time time and out of the traditional trend of creating antidotes. there's no guarantee that this antidote will add any room.
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
I don't trust governments, but I trust vaccines... Having intimate knowledge of the subject really helps you tone down all the background noise... Vaccines help.

I don't trust either the government or those who offer vaccines. In my view, humanity must defeat viruses naturally, not with the vaccines they are trying to impose on us.

I agree with you. But of course this doesn't bring profit to the companies. We must work on our immune system, not wait till the vaccine arrives.


Or get hydroxychloroquine + zinc. But if HCQ isn't abailable, get one of its many sister medications.

Cool
full member
Activity: 672
Merit: 109
I don't trust governments, but I trust vaccines... Having intimate knowledge of the subject really helps you tone down all the background noise... Vaccines help.

I don't trust either the government or those who offer vaccines. In my view, humanity must defeat viruses naturally, not with the vaccines they are trying to impose on us.

I agree with you. But of course this doesn't bring profit to the companies. We must work on our immune system, not wait till the vaccine arrives.
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
^^^ So THAT's why the more you test with the PCR, the higher your rate of Covid infection goes, until it's 100%. Hey, thanks for the info.

Cool
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
PCR is just a machine. that was not designed for covid. it had multiple purposes

its the specific chemicals and other equipment that is used in combination that is the diagnostic mechanism for covid

yes it includes centrifuges during this PCR test
and the funny part is you think only centrifuges alone is all that needed and you have many times been crying out that centrifuges is the only way..

not realising that its a combination of many processes in one

a centrifuge alone is meaningless. because you then have to extract and the test the bit you extracted.
so dont play dumb thinking a centrifuge alone is the real way
so dont play dumb that PCR is the alone process and thus not the real way

and just wake up and understand theres more complexity to it of multiples processes under the umbrella term 'pcr test'
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
Quote from: BADecker link=topic=5267657.msg54982942#msg54982942
When you have 100% Covid indicated by PCR, the other steps don't matter.

this is why i think you have no clue

PCR diagnosed covid
analogy
doctor diagnosed illness

what your not understanding is that the doctor uses extra things you dont know to come to the diagnoses
even if an umbrella term is 'doctor' or 'pcr' is used along side diagnosed.. alot more goes into it
other parts, equipment, and processes are involved


once you realise the process involved in a covid test the reagents, primers pipettes, centrifuges, scanners enzymes and other diagnostic stuff..
you start to realise the most important thing. that you just had no clue whats involved

This is why anybody can know that you don't have any clue. Even the creator of the PCR test said that it wasn't supposed to be used for diagnosis.

When PCR is used, the more it is used in a locality, the greater the percentage of whatever it is looking for. This means that even if Covid exists in only 1% of the people, constant use of PCR will gradually bring the look of it up to 100%.

You are so in the dark ages, franky1.

Cool
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
Quote from: BADecker link=topic=5267657.msg54982942#msg54982942
When you have 100% Covid indicated by PCR, the other steps don't matter.

this is why i think you have no clue

PCR diagnosed covid
analogy
doctor diagnosed illness

what your not understanding is that the doctor uses extra things you dont know to come to the diagnoses
even if an umbrella term is 'doctor' or 'pcr' is used along side diagnosed.. alot more goes into it
other parts, equipment, and processes are involved


once you realise the process involved in a covid test the reagents, primers pipettes, centrifuges, scanners enzymes and other diagnostic stuff..
you start to realise the most important thing. that you just had no clue whats involved
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
From personal observation, I reckon that 80% of the UK has immunity. and one of the papers this morning puts it as high as 90% ( outside care homes ). It's hard to find sensible information, as the money Pharmers seem to suppress and distort everything. There is also considerable blocking of content as a result of legal threats. Just try to find information about the $500 million compensation fund that PayPal had to set up because it was misusing clients funds. That was all over the net for a week or two, and then it vanished, just as PayPal relocated outside the US.

Did you just say 80% of UK has immunity based on your own personal observation? Is that based on you thinking that 80% of people in the UK have already have it, or that their body just has a natutal immunity to COVID?

Very curious on the line of thinking there. Because here's my line of thinking:

CDC says that we probably catch 1/10 cases that actually have COVID. Meaning that for every 10 cases that there really are, only one of them are caught by tests. Lets consider this for New York where they have about 474k cases that have been confirmed. From that, you could say that another 10x the amount of people have it. So that would mean that 4.7m people in New York had it at a point.

Just for context 20m people live in New York meaning that even on the high end of the scale, that would mean that only about 25% of NY had Corona. Herd immunity isn't achieved until you hit about 75-80%

for once your actually quite accurate
in some area's of NY some neighbourhoods had 69% some had 59% and some had 13%. calculating the populations over all they suggest NY the epicenter city had ~26% overall spread

then outside the city in NY state.. the numbers went below 13%
then outside NY state the numbers were even lower

best guess is about 5% is the upper max spread of all americans. (but suggestions are much lower)
funny part is idiots like say badecker who was crying that the lockdown was implemented in his state(arizona) when case numbers were super low.. thus admitting less cases in his state/no cases(when he flips to virus is fake)) .. but then says that his state is somehow then at herd immunity the next time he flips..
thus contradicting his other words
its just stupid how these idiots pretend the virus is fake then suddenly flip to say people already had it. and then even more stupid to say its important to be 'herd immune' while not realising if they really thought it was fake/not harmful. then immunity wont be important as there is no harm

it just shows how stupid these 'we need herd immunity' people are because they dont even understand the crap the talk about

Heh, not sure who exactly I've been inaccurate in recent communications, though it is totally possible.

But back onto the topic here. Yeah - some areas were totally harder hit then others and MAY have herd immunity just within that particular community. Still though, in one of the hardest hit states in regards to cases (second to California and now Florida) they are still not even CLOSE to the numbers we would have to hit to have herd immunity come into effect.

The amount of death and illness that was seen on New York was horrible, imagine doubling the amount of people sick and a bit more?

Not a good idea at all. All this talk about your immune system and herd immunity is from people who don't understand how herd immunity works.

Herd immunity can work, yes, but you need 70-80% of the population to get COVID. No one wants that.


Herd immunity doesn't mean that nobody will get sick. All it means is that most won't get sick.

I think the whole country has herd immunity, and only the few are getting sick.

Cool
legendary
Activity: 3906
Merit: 1373
Fauci says the vaccine will only be about 50% effective.


That's because he knows it will only be about 10% effective.     Cool
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1285
Flying Hellfish is a Commie
From personal observation, I reckon that 80% of the UK has immunity. and one of the papers this morning puts it as high as 90% ( outside care homes ). It's hard to find sensible information, as the money Pharmers seem to suppress and distort everything. There is also considerable blocking of content as a result of legal threats. Just try to find information about the $500 million compensation fund that PayPal had to set up because it was misusing clients funds. That was all over the net for a week or two, and then it vanished, just as PayPal relocated outside the US.

Did you just say 80% of UK has immunity based on your own personal observation? Is that based on you thinking that 80% of people in the UK have already have it, or that their body just has a natutal immunity to COVID?

Very curious on the line of thinking there. Because here's my line of thinking:

CDC says that we probably catch 1/10 cases that actually have COVID. Meaning that for every 10 cases that there really are, only one of them are caught by tests. Lets consider this for New York where they have about 474k cases that have been confirmed. From that, you could say that another 10x the amount of people have it. So that would mean that 4.7m people in New York had it at a point.

Just for context 20m people live in New York meaning that even on the high end of the scale, that would mean that only about 25% of NY had Corona. Herd immunity isn't achieved until you hit about 75-80%

for once your actually quite accurate
in some area's of NY some neighbourhoods had 69% some had 59% and some had 13%. calculating the populations over all they suggest NY the epicenter city had ~26% overall spread

then outside the city in NY state.. the numbers went below 13%
then outside NY state the numbers were even lower

best guess is about 5% is the upper max spread of all americans. (but suggestions are much lower)
funny part is idiots like say badecker who was crying that the lockdown was implemented in his state(arizona) when case numbers were super low.. thus admitting less cases in his state/no cases(when he flips to virus is fake)) .. but then says that his state is somehow then at herd immunity the next time he flips..
thus contradicting his other words
its just stupid how these idiots pretend the virus is fake then suddenly flip to say people already had it. and then even more stupid to say its important to be 'herd immune' while not realising if they really thought it was fake/not harmful. then immunity wont be important as there is no harm

it just shows how stupid these 'we need herd immunity' people are because they dont even understand the crap the talk about

Heh, not sure who exactly I've been inaccurate in recent communications, though it is totally possible.

But back onto the topic here. Yeah - some areas were totally harder hit then others and MAY have herd immunity just within that particular community. Still though, in one of the hardest hit states in regards to cases (second to California and now Florida) they are still not even CLOSE to the numbers we would have to hit to have herd immunity come into effect.

The amount of death and illness that was seen on New York was horrible, imagine doubling the amount of people sick and a bit more?

Not a good idea at all. All this talk about your immune system and herd immunity is from people who don't understand how herd immunity works.

Herd immunity can work, yes, but you need 70-80% of the population to get COVID. No one wants that.
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