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Topic: ⚽ Football Friendly Match is Hard to Predict - page 10. (Read 1511 times)

sr. member
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how about you?
You should say some friendly games are harder to predict, not all. In a friendly game between Brazil for example, where they use all their first team players, and they are playing against a country like Malta, there is a 99% chance of them winning, and this game, a friendly game will be easy to predict even though there is a 1% chance of a draw game which will be because of Brazil not playing well. The chances of a very weak team in soccer winning a stronger team will be only because the stronger team play a lesser standard of football than they play and not because the weaker teams will outplay the stronger team. If the Stronger team play with the standard that they are known for, there will no chance of the weaker team winning. In those kind of friendly games, after you have seen the team selection and formation, you will know if the stronger team is serious about winning or not.
legendary
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We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
And today the odds have changed a lot for Indonesia to @35.00 and @1.02 for Argentina, if you want to keep betting on this match that isn't serious maybe you can choose another market such as the number of goals over 4. But I don't think Argentina will try to be able to score a lot goals in this match and Indonesia also has the opportunity to score goals, so my prediction will only end 3-1 or 4-1 so over 4 with the actual odds is also not very attractive @ 1.5 is enough because it's impossible for the match to end in a draw and choose Argentina on the money line is more unpleasant.
sr. member
Activity: 756
Merit: 454
I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?

For me I feel friendly games are not to be trusted in terms of giving winning or even double chancing any team, is best you go for goals and there's every possibility of getting a win rather than selecting teams that would win.
Like game of Germany vs Ukraine, everyone knows how good the Germany team are, they're always touching the ball around but of recent they {Germany} have been off color and that's why someone who has studied how poor they have been won't go for a win rather than GG or Over2.5. I'd advise you avoid a straight win in friendly games even on club friendlies too.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1775
I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,
It didn't only happen to you, I also experienced a failure in a bet where I placed a score bet for a certain club, but the facts on the ground were the opposite, what I experienced was a friendly football match between.
* Skotlandia vs. Norwegia (1-1).
* Palestine vs. Iran (1-1)
* Singapure vs. Papua Nugini (2-2)
* Dan satu lagi Belanda vs. Jepang (0-0).

The four clubs that I bet on in a friendly match, especially inter-state football, the four of them gave me a headache, it really was a bet that stressed me out, to be honest, I didn't expect that the match could end in a draw, annoying, like there was an element of collusionin game.

Today 18/6/23 singapore vs. Solomon Islands and Mauritius vs. Kenya, the game has been more and less 70', of course I want to see the final result of their match, whether it ends in a draw or vice versa.
hero member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 770
So if most Friendly Match results end with a draw, why we don't bet on a draw? isn't that a profit?.
As we can see until the end of June [1], there are dozens of friendly matches we can bet. But, like you said, hard to predict, German lost again in Poland (16/6), and last night, we get a draw again in Ecuador vs Bolivia.

So, there is euphoria in Indonesia when they have a special guest team (world cup champion), Argentine. I don't brave to bet on a draw, because most likely (where don't have a strong defender) Indonesia will get lots of goals from Argentine.

[1]. https://www.eurosport.com/football/international-friendlies/calendar-results.shtml

Does this apply to Indonesia vs Argentina? Lol.  Grin
There is a difference in quality it seems, Argentina has the best quality players who always appear regularly at every club. Although Di Maria and Messi will not play, perhaps Argentina is too strong for Indonesia.
Although Indonesia does have players of European descent who are ready to appear, but it seems that not conceding much ball is a good record. Indonesia has good motivation, they have never lost a home match while with Sin Tae Yong. It seems that PSSI's new football gurus in Indonesia started the stint period well. They also prepare a lot and call the players descendants.
sr. member
Activity: 784
Merit: 372
Vinicius Jr managed the game without Neymar due to Neymar's absence in yesterday's game. Because currently the most powerful player in the Brazil team is VinnyJr, a very promising player.
And scored a goal at the last moment and kept the team close to victory, proving that Brazil is one of the best teams. Brazil was in control for most of the match. Guinea tried hard to stay on the field but despite many attacks, only one attack was successful. But in this match I notice that Brazil counter attack more which is why Brazil team can score 4 goals.
hero member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 570
I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?
I haven't had thoughts on betting on friendly matches because I know they aren't any firm of serious games and just as the implies, so they are expected to be without much efforts and struggles because you don't expect players to work themselves or possibly  sustain any form of injury in a friendly match and end up not playing for a real time match.
If I was to bet on a friendly match, judging from your post, then I think I will have to place most of my bets as draw with a very small amount of money.
But I wish to know if friendly  matches have any better or higher odds when betting because personally  I don't think the odds on such games will be high as people might not be so interested to bet on them.
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1338
I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?
I have always made a point of never making a single bet when there is a friendly or exhibition match, and the reason is simple, neither team is going to play with their stars and even if they do they will not play as they usually do, and why would they? It is an exhibition match and there is nothing at stake, so I hope you just learned your lesson, as if predicting the result of a match was already difficult trying to do so for an exhibition match is practically impossible.
sr. member
Activity: 1386
Merit: 406
Brazil's young team had a huge 4-1 win over Guinea yesterday. In this first anti-apartheid protest match, Brazil took to the field wearing an all-black jersey. Vinicius Jr. was the iconic player of this friendly match in Brazil. Vinicius Jr was awarded the number ten jersey for this protest match against Guinea. We saw the presence of most of the young players in this Brazil team and they were able to perform brilliantly in this match. 

Joelinton scored the first goal in the debut match for the Brazilian team. Then the three Real Madrid stars each got a goal. A great match was played between the two teams against apartheid.
legendary
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I always avoid to bet on friendly match because both of the teams playing without any motivation to win, not to mention the match might be rigged.

I consider a good time to bet on football match is during the middle of season because during early season many players aren't stable and near the end season, usually many teams will not play very good since they already in secure position.
Apart from not having the motivation to win, it's not worth betting on friendly matches because there could be many other reasons, namely not playing the main squad team players and being able to become squad team players in the second tier so you're not sure they will play seriously, it's also a friendly match, of course playing with enjoy the game no matter win or lose.

That's why I also never bet there other than the league, because betting on the league more matches will play seriously to secure their position in the league rankings, can't wait for the league to start again to make money from sports betting. because usually i earn money betting big league or other big championship event in europe.
hero member
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Merit: 585
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
-snip

Talking about Indonesia's friendly match against Argentina which will take place tomorrow, it has been announced that the star players who cannot participate are Otamendi, Di Maria, and of course the GOAT Lionel Messi. Surely La Pulga fans in Indonesia will be very disappointed because they cannot see the idol directly playing with Argentina against Indonesia later. I do not recommend betting on friendly matches like this, but if you are sure and feel it is only for entertainment you can bet on matches that Argentina will obviously win, of course.



We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
it is indeed very difficult for Indonesia to beat Argentina in this friendly match but have we forgotten that there are always surprises in every football match?
this is just speculation, the odds are given by the bookies for Indonesia @25 and Argentina @1.03 and a draw @15. If we try our luck betting on Indonesia or a draw, wouldn't it be very profitable if the score ends in a draw or Indonesia wins.

I have no advice on betting on this match but if just to try our luck there's no harm in trying.
sr. member
Activity: 2842
Merit: 326
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I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?
Friendly matches are not competitive enough to bet on, many friendly matches are played by some countries or clubs to allow the manager try or access some new players infact some clubs or countries would not play their first team squad so I wouldn't bother to bet on those matches infact majority of the players will play softly to avoid being sustain an injury, it's obvious that the Morrocan team didn't play with full strength this is a country that came fourth in the last World Cup that is expected to win convincingly against a minnow Cape Verdean but drew the match likewise Germany a strong team forced to draw Ukraine.
sr. member
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So, there is euphoria in Indonesia when they have a special guest team (world cup champion), Argentine. I don't brave to bet on a draw, because most likely (where don't have a strong defender) Indonesia will get lots of goals from Argentine.

several argentina star players will not play in a friendly match with Indonesia. there are even rumors that Argentina will field their second-tier players to face the Indonesian national team.
however, Argentina is the number 1 team in the world. they won the world cup. Even with young and second-tier players, of course, it won't be easy for the Indonesian team even if it's just holding them to a draw.

if you still want to bet on a friendly match, it's better not to bet on a draw. but maybe Indonesia has a chance to score goals. the match against Palestine, and Indonesia looks quite aggressive. although in quality of course Argentina is far above Palestine.

Talking about Indonesia's friendly match against Argentina which will take place tomorrow, it has been announced that the star players who cannot participate are Otamendi, Di Maria, and of course the GOAT Lionel Messi. Surely La Pulga fans in Indonesia will be very disappointed because they cannot see the idol directly playing with Argentina against Indonesia later. I do not recommend betting on friendly matches like this, but if you are sure and feel it is only for entertainment you can bet on matches that Argentina will obviously win, of course.



We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
Argentina is a very strong team and the World Cup winners will surely win the match. In the FIFA ranking, Argentina is in the first place and Indonesia is number 149, where the difference is almost sky-high. Although some of the best stars will not participate in the match, Argentina is the most likely to win. Indonesia is not such a strong team that given the highest betting rate it is certain that Indonesia will lose. While various gambling platforms offer odds ×1.03 for Argentina and ×26.00 for Indonesia and draw ×19.00, it is currently understood that Argentina will win. Betting in Argentina won't give you a very good profit but here you are sure not to face any losses. But it is sure to lose money if you screw up in Indonesia because Indonesia will never catch up with Argentina. And Indonesia cannot draw with Argentina, of course Indonesia will lose the match by many goals.
hero member
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Well, for this reason I don't like to bet on friendly matches. Strong teams play only to fulfill their obligations, they will not play as usual because there is no title race there. Friendly matches are like training for the strong team and it is an honor for the weak team to be able to compete directly with the team that has the best ranking on the FIFA list. On paper, Germany and Morocco were able to win the match, because this match was held outside a tournament that gave a trophy, they were just having fun on the field.
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 662
I always avoid to bet on friendly match because both of the teams playing without any motivation to win, not to mention the match might be rigged.

I consider a good time to bet on football match is during the middle of season because during early season many players aren't stable and near the end season, usually many teams will not play very good since they already in secure position.
hero member
Activity: 2156
Merit: 521
So, there is euphoria in Indonesia when they have a special guest team (world cup champion), Argentine. I don't brave to bet on a draw, because most likely (where don't have a strong defender) Indonesia will get lots of goals from Argentine.

several argentina star players will not play in a friendly match with Indonesia. there are even rumors that Argentina will field their second-tier players to face the Indonesian national team.
however, Argentina is the number 1 team in the world. they won the world cup. Even with young and second-tier players, of course, it won't be easy for the Indonesian team even if it's just holding them to a draw.

if you still want to bet on a friendly match, it's better not to bet on a draw. but maybe Indonesia has a chance to score goals. the match against Palestine, and Indonesia looks quite aggressive. although in quality of course Argentina is far above Palestine.

Talking about Indonesia's friendly match against Argentina which will take place tomorrow, it has been announced that the star players who cannot participate are Otamendi, Di Maria, and of course the GOAT Lionel Messi. Surely La Pulga fans in Indonesia will be very disappointed because they cannot see the idol directly playing with Argentina against Indonesia later. I do not recommend betting on friendly matches like this, but if you are sure and feel it is only for entertainment you can bet on matches that Argentina will obviously win, of course.



We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
sr. member
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So, there is euphoria in Indonesia when they have a special guest team (world cup champion), Argentine. I don't brave to bet on a draw, because most likely (where don't have a strong defender) Indonesia will get lots of goals from Argentine.

several argentina star players will not play in a friendly match with Indonesia. there are even rumors that Argentina will field their second-tier players to face the Indonesian national team.
however, Argentina is the number 1 team in the world. they won the world cup. Even with young and second-tier players, of course, it won't be easy for the Indonesian team even if it's just holding them to a draw.

if you still want to bet on a friendly match, it's better not to bet on a draw. but maybe Indonesia has a chance to score goals. the match against Palestine, and Indonesia looks quite aggressive. although in quality of course Argentina is far above Palestine.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 2054
Well, we have seen there are many friendly matches where the results are far from what we expected. most likely it will end in a draw, or both teams will score a lot of goals. based on my observations, it tends to be like that. although in fact, the results are not always specific.
So if most Friendly Match results end with a draw, why we don't bet on a draw? isn't that a profit?.
As we can see until the end of June [1], there are dozens of friendly matches we can bet. But, like you said, hard to predict, German lost again in Poland (16/6), and last night, we get a draw again in Ecuador vs Bolivia.

So, there is euphoria in Indonesia when they have a special guest team (world cup champion), Argentine. I don't brave to bet on a draw, because most likely (where don't have a strong defender) Indonesia will get lots of goals from Argentine.

[1]. https://www.eurosport.com/football/international-friendlies/calendar-results.shtml
hero member
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You have idea of friendly matching betting but you missed it somewhere and I also think that is why Op also lost. Friendly match betting is in two types.
1. Nations friendlies
2. Club friendlies
While Nations friendlies always most times end in draw or under 2.5 goals,
Club friendlies end in win and over 2.5 goals. This is the key to succeed in friendly matches bet and it had worked for some times and I am sure it will continue to work.
You are correct, but also wrong. You are correct that 30% to 40% of international friendly matches are under 2.5 goals, but most of the matches are not ending in draw. I have preferred to bet on clubs, not countries. Even I do prefer to bet on club leagues and cup, I do not bet on country leagues like UEFA national league and others like world cup. But as I check what you are saying that it is most of the time under 2.5, that is correct, but over 95% of the recent played friendly international matches were won.
Yea they win most times but the goal margins are not much, that is for nations but clubs can give goals but when people also lose is that the bookmakers do not have good records of some of these nations and they just come up with odds based on the name and popularity of the country, in some times surprises hold all of us.
Every type of betting requires time and patience in order to understand how things work and follow the right steps.
sr. member
Activity: 616
Merit: 314
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I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?

Yes a friendly its a must to avoid, no matter what you think , because players doesnt play like they normally play, they dont engage in the game at the 100%, plus a lot of diferent rules like more substitutes than normal games, and also experiments in terms of formation made by the manager.

Also national team football its very diferent than normal club games.
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