Topic: ⚽ Football Friendly Match is Hard to Predict - page 4. (Read 1511 times)

@Cryptmuster I agree with you because player’s will not risk their career by underperforming in these matches especially when the fringe player’s know that the coach will select them if they perform well. @Silberman if any big amount is made during friendlies then the authorities are bound to investigate hence I don’t feel that all friendly matches could be easily be fixed.

Players who consider gambling as a way to make money on gambling will never bet on friendly matches, the exception may be the presence of some insider information about this match. And so there are quite a lot of official matches, and they are almost all year round, with the exception of small periods of the off-season. Friendly matches are a good way for a coach to assess the current condition of the players, which is why in such matches the coach often makes a lot of substitutions per game.

For me, playing friendly matches is similar to training; I don't believe the players will force themselves to play difficult games; when playing friendly matches, you will see small clubs beating big clubs; you can never predict who will win the match; friendly games are similar to making the players more fit before the league begins; and the coach rests some key players due to injury. When a player is injured during a friendly, it is a terrible thing to happen to him because it damages his team and keeps him on the sidelines. Playing friendly is not so essential, and when it comes to predicting, you may bet money on a large club to beat a little club and lose.

But this is where it's wrong for people to expect victory from friendly matches hoping the club will play as well as possible just because the club is great, but you need to know that friendly matches don't necessarily field the main squad players and they can only field second-tier players so it also can't be said that matches are easy to predict. , this is why it is never recommended to bet on friendly matches because it is very risky.

Your expectations will be beaten by the facts on the field so don't expect that the favorite club can win, there are always surprises for anyone who bets in friendly matches of course there are many factors as you said where the coach doesn't expect the result of the match like that, that's why people always assume this is a serious match.  

Its seems hard to predict with club friendly match than national teams, usually all club friendly match or pre season match used young player composition and almost main player still not in starting eleven. Looks bet for small teams against bigger teams is not mistake looking on current starting line up from bigger teams. Club friendly match will begin few weeks later and many teams has schedule against with small or bigger teams but its risk when betting on club friendly match than national teams friendly match.

Update social media account which one team want to bet, we can see there player list name one day before club friendly match start and could be source to know starting line up filled by young player or main player.

We must also not forget that the chances for friendly matches to be fixed go up exponentially compared to official games, during an exhibition match no one is really expecting top performance from the players and they know that weird things could happen, so the people behind fixing games can more easily convince some of those players to throw the game away as it is almost impossible there could be negative repercussions for doing so, and while this is unlikely to happen with the top clubs, it would not surprise me if it happened with lesser known leagues and teams.

I've colleagues that are willingly to stake on friendly games because the rules are simple, in most cases average clubs defeats the superior ones. All games have a cost, and we don't expect players to expend the same kind of effort they did in competition to demonstrate around in Friendly game, which is out of the question. Friendly games aren't more important as competitive ones like Laliga or the English Premier League, or even the UEFA Champions League. Friendly games are not competitive games; every result is thought to be set in order to fit the desires of elite sports gamblers.

The truth is , in my personal opinion, I don't believe in friendly matches, although sometimes they don't have friends, in the case of my national team they can Play very well, they can even Beat teams like Argentina and Brazil, but when it comes to do the qualifying rounds, which is when it really is necessary for them to win and for them to be constant, they tend to disappoint and come last in the table, to tell the truth, when it comes to Friendly Matches , I don't see them, because they have false Illusions, the Other teams may not play with their entire arsenal , and most of the time the coaches go to these matches to test the new Ppayers , those of other categories as well as see how they look in the Professional.


I very much respect the decision of each person to place their bets, but placing bets based on the fact that it is pure friendly games is something that goes down to luck, because you do not know which players you are going to play with, firstly because some players do not they lend them due to their clubs, second the risk they have of getting injured in a friendly match is imminent, the players from other teams may be new, novices and they are being tested, it is not very good that the best players who are stars risk themselves in friendly matches, then placing bets based on friendly soccer matches is not good.

In friendly match the best bet is GOAL-GOAL, its been play with an average players. nothing serious about the game. because there is no price to be won after the game, its just a preparation for the season ahead, so if you're staking, use spare money, knowing its not an important game.

Friendly matches are being played a lot these days as teams that will play in preliminary qualification for the Champions League want to see the condition of their players,of course in such games it is very difficult to predict the outcome of the game but not only that,also it is very difficult to predict with goals,both teams to score or other type of bets and the reason is simple,we don't know how the players of each team will behave as they have no real objectives in these games except to test their form.Therefore it is much better to refrain from betting on such games or the risk of losing money will be bigger than in normal games that have an objective in them.

I would agree, but up to a certain point... because starting from mid-July and early August there will be friendly matches for team teams and not (only) for national teams. Each year I watch with interest and I have also placed some (small) bets...
this is a really interesting season moment because many of these teams (even if of high-level) have a lack of preparation and playing against opponents with better physical shape...
see below 11 matches and at least 6 "uncommon" results...(if you count also GG or under 2,5 ... there are more "uncommon results"...

It's true that that is the reality and if we have full expectations if the superior team can win easily against a weak team then that is a big mistake and often the results are reversed if the weak team wins. Maybe that's basically we can judge the results of the friendly match and also this is not an official competition where a good team should win the match.

On the other hand, friendly matches are very good for testing some young players who have just entered the national team squad and it can be a good benchmark for the coach to give his assessment later. For gambling, I think that friendly matches are really not worth the trouble, but as long as you only intend to find entertainment by risking money on the match, then it's okay even if the results are not as expected.

Friendly match are hard to predict because they are less entertaining and that is because it is just a friendly match, you won't get the same performance that you can get out of a La Liga football match or Champions League since this is just a friendly match you should expect less performance and possible manipulation because when things are not be taken very seriously it will be easier for the football coach to take bribe behind the back and take accept defeat for the money.

I also have some friends that are into football gambling specifically, They always complain about friendly matches and none of them have ever bet their money on any friendly matches because they believe that it is less fun and more harder to predict.

I don't know yet, is the friendly match can add points to push rank FIFA? If not, maybe FIFA must implement it, this might be a motivation for the big country to take seriously when they play against the underdog team. Apart from practice, Friendly Match can also bring spectators and sponsors to the tribune, this might add to the income for the association, and they will get many benefits if can grow the rank also. the more friendly matches, the more they get opportunities to benefit. certainly have to pay attention also for the state of the player from injury and fatigue.

After all, why do we have to bet on those who are not superior because there is very little chance of winning it.
There are lots of betting options in the casino and we can choose several sports bets to get bigger chances of winning and Odds.
Only those who can't do research and analysis bet on an not underdog team or athlete.

But for friendly football matches, betting on a team that is not at the top can give us victory, considering that almost all friendly matches always end in results that don't make sense.

Obviously because of its name which has a word "friendly" on it. It could mean that participants don't need to be harsh with each other, especially to the professional player because they will likely be a match to a weaker opponent. They need to make sure that the game was only entertaining and they are giving chances to that weak players to score.

So if we are betting on it, I think we should go to the weaker teams the most as they are the ones who will likely win the game. Maybe sometimes the game can also end up with a draw so we can also choose it when we are betting. In gambling, disappointments are expected. Most especially if you take it seriously.

The low winning rate? What is low for you? We have had this example here lately between Brazil and Senegal and the friendly match that ended 4-2 for Senegal and the odds if I recall correctly were above 7. I think that was a good opportunity to for the underdog with a good probability of winning or maybe go for a double chance bet with win and draw for Senegal and the odds would probably still have been acceptable. In a serious game it often doesn't pay off that well to go with the underdog. But in these friendly matches it happens more often that the big favorite doesn't really care and loses.

The main problem with betting on the underdog is the low winning rate, after all if the odds given by a casino are low for a team or an athlete then most likely they are right about them and the chances to get the win are not very high, however a person which knows what they are doing could make money by betting on the underdogs, but psychologically this is a very difficult strategy to follow, as after you lose several times in a row you will have the desire to change gears and use another strategy.

Upsets do really happen on sports betting which is something that it is really hard to point out because no matter how well or hard you do try on studying on a certain match up and on that certain teams then it wouldnt

really be giving out that 100% assurance about that sure win thing.There are really that underdogs which could beat up high tier teams which us doesnt really even believe that it could possibly happen.
When we do speak about sports betting then we do know that it would really be that sensible that we should really be that trying out to go along on whats the gamblers favorite on a certain match up.
We do have that moneyline or simply the favorites on which it would really be considering on betting on them.There are really indeed times which you would be having those hesitation on doing so
and might consider out the underdog, this is why intuition and gut feeling is sometimes relevant when it comes to sports betting i should say.

Of course, being an athlete or a professional football player must deal with the injury problem. That's why a football player should understand when he must play seriously and when he doesn't need to play too seriously. If it is an important match, a player will play very seriously and don't really care about the possibility of injury. But in a friendly match, a football player seems not to play very seriously because the result of the match isn't so important for the team.

Sure, a friendly match is the time to try a new tactic or a new starting line up. This is a serious matter, but the coach won't force the players because the result of the match isn't so important part. Because of this matter, betting on a friendly match will be harder than usual matches.