Topic: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest - page 1489. (Read 548741 times)
March 31, 2014, 04:56:06 PM
My luck turning in good for me today I have some good pay from this faucet thanks OP for this great opportunity in free for us
March 31, 2014, 01:55:56 PM
Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? 
I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals):[0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855
[9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls)
[9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls)
[9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls)
[9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls)
[10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls)
sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1
average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) = 0.00003750 BTC
Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.
Thanks for the calculation! Average return of 3750 per roll and people may do 10 banner impressions in average because of the multiply game and 1000impressions need to earn him 0.00375 not counting what he gets back with the multiply game, what he gives to refs and costs, that's a lot to get from 1000impressions
1.5millions impressions get them 5.5BTC on bitcointalk atm : https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/advertise-on-this-forum-round-116-526958
March 31, 2014, 11:36:57 AM
This week I have pay on Sunday thanks for fourth payout 
March 31, 2014, 11:13:56 AM
Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals):[0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855
[9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls)
[9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls)
[9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls)
[9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls)
[10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls)
sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1
average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) = 0.00003750 BTC
Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.
March 27, 2014, 11:34:44 AM
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
It is possible that those affiliates only did a few rolls each but my affiliates still do more than 1roll/each/week after 2months so I presumed they got similar stats but all affiliates may not be created equal
You are right for the 63% I remembered it being 53-58% but your math is correct here; 1/20,000 is pretty good, let's roll!
Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
March 27, 2014, 09:27:54 AM
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange. Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
March 27, 2014, 05:10:00 AM
wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... 
Sure, i'll add that in the next update.
March 27, 2014, 04:26:05 AM
wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time...
March 27, 2014, 03:52:53 AM
Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?
You migh want to reconsider.
Read this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/got-free-time-just-dont-waste-it-on-faucets-509107
You migh want to reconsider.
Read this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/got-free-time-just-dont-waste-it-on-faucets-509107
Here is an excellent post from Portnoy about why faucets are not as much of a waste of time as many people may think : https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1088930
Of course, working for Bitcoins or buying them directly is the best way to get a lot of coins fast but I don't think people who used to do Gavin's original faucet (which gave out 5 bitcoins every dispense back in the day) regret spending a couple of minutes a day doing it. If you believe in Bitcoin and think that it's value will only appreciate in the long term, spending a couple of minutes a day doing faucets may end up to be well worth your time in a couple of years.
March 27, 2014, 03:26:16 AM
Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?
You migh want to reconsider.
Read this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/got-free-time-just-dont-waste-it-on-faucets-509107
You migh want to reconsider.
Read this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/got-free-time-just-dont-waste-it-on-faucets-509107
March 27, 2014, 03:21:26 AM
Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability
***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?
***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059
The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000
Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000
Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday
I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something
Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?
Haha yeah, I do make a profit but it is quite small. This takes up all my free time, I had a couple of other ideas but they have been moved to the back burner for now. I try to keep adding features to the site, have a big update coming in a couple of weeks.
March 27, 2014, 03:11:25 AM
Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability
***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?
***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059
The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000
Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000
Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday
I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something
Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?
March 27, 2014, 03:01:43 AM
Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability
***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?
***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059
The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000
Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000
March 26, 2014, 11:23:31 PM
Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability
***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?
***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059
The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000
March 26, 2014, 12:40:36 PM
Then I was being optimistic.
March 26, 2014, 12:19:28 PM
Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
March 26, 2014, 12:19:03 PM
I didn't have so much luck. But hope keeps alive they say.
I am trying 12 to 18 time daily just because of this I have some good amount in my wallet every week 
March 26, 2014, 12:18:04 PM
I didn't have so much luck. But hope keeps alive they say.
March 26, 2014, 12:16:55 PM
Today I have good day because 2 time I hit some good amount in single roll 9950
March 26, 2014, 12:10:39 PM
Thanks for the tip. I 'm gonna try this for a while.
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